談談鐵路和德國工業革命

[TigerKick (龍戰于野 其血玄黃)]

其實也不是我談啦

歷史沉澱的智慧，我們不要浪費青春再發現一次。

所謂第二次工業革命，對德國來說，鐵路是先鋒， 也是發動機。

1977年 The Journal of Economic History有篇論文

分析比較了鐵路在德國工業革命的特殊地位

Railroads and German Economic Growth:

A Leading Sector Analysis

with a comparison to the United States and Great Britain

The Journal of Economic History volume XXXVII Sep 1977 Number 3

Rainer Fremdling , University of Munster and University of Pennsylvania



我摘抄他的結論：

Most importantly, relevant to ecomomic growth theory, the Ger-

man case study implies that a single innovation was "vital for eco-

nomic growth during the nineteenth centure" thereby falsifying

Fogel's conclusion as a theoretical generalization.

He correctly claims that "a multiplicity of innovations that were

applied to a broad spectrum of economic processes" was responsible

for the industrialization. We must, of course, remember that the

diverse structures among innovations responsible for industrialization

in different countries or at different times allowed different oppor-

tunities to substitute one innovation for another. Not all innovations

had equal effects on economic growth. Railroads, however, were

undoubtedly one of the most influential during the nineteenth century.

According to Fishlow, the innovation of the railroads was important

in the United States, and this is even more true of Germany, where

the industrial revolution cannot be explained without it. The

influence of railroad construction on the British growth process must

be reinterpreted since recent econometric research has neglected the

effects of foreign railroad construction, from which Great Britain must

have profited a great deal.

Further comparative studies on other countries and a quantification

of the international transfer effects created by the railroad will

demonstrate that neither contemporaries nor generations of economic

historians went astray by emphasizing the extraordinary importance

of the innovation of the railroad for economic growth during the

nineteenth century.


前面我說話口氣不好。 先道歉了。



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◆ From: 128.227.1.25
推 JosephChen:推
推 armed:可以把這個結論翻譯一下嗎?我討厭英文-.-"
推 TigerKick:可是我覺得翻譯很難說得比原文更好。  Orz
推 luba2:恩，原文不難解讀，看原文比較好喔XD