Houston Astros
1. Chris Burke - 2B - Age 25 - ETA: Now
.315/.396/.507, 16 HR, 52 RBI, 76/55 K/BB, 37 SB in 483 AB for AAA New Orleans
.059/.200/.059, 0 HR, 0 RBI, 3/3 K/BB, 0 SB in 17 AB for Houston
The Astros are still debating about whether to insert him into the starting
lineup at the start of this year, but Burke should be the team’s long-term
second baseman and No. 2 hitter. The 2001 first-round pick is probably more
Mark Loretta than Craig Biggio, but there’s not anything wrong with that. A
former shortstop, he shows plenty of range at second base, though he lacks
consistency at times. His basestealing ability could make him a $20 fantasy
second baseman once he gets the at-bats. The Astros are expected to let him
compete for a starting job this spring, with Biggio moving back to second
base if things don’t work out. He’ll bat at the bottom of the lineup
initially, but he should eventually switch spots with Adam Everett.
2. Fernando Nieve - RHP - Age 23 - ETA: July 2006
10-6, 2.96 ERA, 136 H, 117/40 K/BB in 149 IP for Single-A Salem
2-0, 1.56 ERA, 12 H, 17/8 K/BB in 17 1/3 IP for Double-A Round Rock
Despite a great ERA for Single-A Salem, Nieve didn’t make as much progress
as the Astros would have liked last season. That mostly had to do with his
curve and especially his changeup. Nieve relies on a low-90s sinking fastball
to generate grounders and strikeouts. His curve is a plus pitch at times. His
change isn’t, but he is working on it. Nieve has the potential to be a No. 2
starter if the changeup comes. He shouldn’t see the majors this year.
3. Ezequiel Astacio - RHP - Age 25 - ETA:July 2005
13-10, 3.89 ERA, 155 H, 185/56 K/BB in 176 IP for Double-A Round Rock
The third pitcher acquired from the Phillies in the Billy Wagner deal may now
be the most valuable property. Astacio put up fine ERAs while in the
Philadelphia farm system, but weak strikeout numbers made him look like little
more than a middle reliever. Incredibly, he fanned more batters last year than
he did the previous two years combined. He’s added velocity yet still has
plenty of movement on his fastball, giving him No. 3-starter potential. He’ll
probably be the first starter called up by the Astros this season.
4. Taylor Buchholz - RHP - Age 23 - ETA: May 2006
6-7, 5.23 ERA, 107 H, 74/29 K/BB in 98 IP for Triple-A New Orleans
Buchholz immediately became the Astros’ top prospect after being picked up in
the Wagner trade, but he had a disappointing first half for New Orleans and
he hurt his shoulder not long after it looked like he had turned things around.
He underwent offseason surgery, leaving his status unclear for the beginning
of this season. With his 91-94 mph fastball and top-notch curve, Buchholz
still has plenty of upside, and he is a full two years younger than Astacio.
It appears less likely that he’ll contribute this year, but there’s no
reason to give up on him yet.
5. Mitch Einertson - OF - Age 18 - ETA: 2009
.308/.413/.692, 24 HR, 67 RBI,70/32 K/BB, 4 SB in 227 AB for Rookie Greeneville
.143/.143/.571, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 2/0 K/BB, 0 SB in 7 AB for SS Single-A Tri-City
So how did he last until the fifth round? It probably had something to do with
him being 5-foot-10. Einertson made a huge impression after being drafted last
year, leading the Appalachian League in homers by eight and slugging percent
age by more than 100 points. He did strike out a lot, but he also had a fine
walk rate, giving him an 1105 OPS. It’s likely that he’ll continue to demonst
rate 30-homer power. More questionable is whether he’ll keep his average up.
The Astros also need to find a position for him. He played center last year,
but he probably doesn’t have the range to man that position in the majors.
Since there’s no reason to stick him in a corner just yet, a move to second
base has been considered. He’s just turning 19 in April, so there’s no rush.
6. Josh Anderson - OF - Age 22 - ETA: 2007
.324/.402/.425, 4 HR, 31 RBI, 47/33 K/BB, 47 SB in 299 AB for low A Lexington
.268/.315/.379, 2 HR, 21 RBI, 53/13 K/BB, 31 SB in 280 AB for high A Salem
Anderson disappointed after his promotion to the Carolina League, but he
showed enough at Lexington to earn a place in the top 10. The 2003 fourth-round
pick did a great job of getting on base in the South Atlantic League and was
successful on 78 of his 91 steal attempts over the course of the year. I give
him the nod over Willy Taveras because he has the more power of the two. He’s
not quite as good of a center fielder, which could lead to a difficult choice
for Houston a couple of years from now. Anderson likely will return to Salem
for the start of this year, but another midseason promotion should follow.
7. Matt Albers - RHP - Age 22 - ETA: 2007
8-3, 3.31 ERA, 95 H, 140/57 K/BB in 111 1/3 IP for Single-A Lexington
A suspension by the organization cut into his season, but Albers’ stock is
climbing. A draft-and-follow signed in 2002, Albers throws 92-94 mph and has
a hard curveball. His changeup is an average third pitch. Better command will
be required as he climbs the ladder.He also needs to keep an eye on his weight.
8. Chad Qualls - RHP - Age 26 - ETA: Now
3-6, 5.57 ERA, 134 H, 72/30 K/BB in 106 2/3 IP for Triple-A New Orleans
4-0, 3.55 ERA, 34 H, 24/8 K/BB in 33 IP for Houston
Qualls was an effective reliever for the Astros over the final two months of
last year despite struggling for Triple-A New Orleans. He actually never had
an ERA better than 3.72 as a minor leaguer, but he was still regarded as a
pretty good prospect because of his sinker-slider combination. It appears that
the Astros see Qualls as a long-term setup man, which might be for the best. He
was a starter until the middle of last season and he has four pitches, but a
lack of concentration and poor stamina have been problems for him. He’ll keep
his spot in the Houston pen this year.
9. Willy Taveras - OF - Age 23 - ETA: April 2006
.335/.402/.386, 2 HR, 27 RBI, 76/38 K/BB, 55 SB in 409 AB for AA Round Rock
.000/.000/.000, 0 HR, 0 RBI, 1/0 K/BB, 1 SB in 1 AB for Houston
.400/.421/.500, 0 HR, 2 RBI, 2/0 K/BB, 2 SB in 18 AB for Scottsdale (AFL)
The Astros picked up Taveras in the Rule 5 draft from Cleveland last year and
then retained his rights as part of the Jeriome Robertson deal. It turned out
to be a great trade for Houston after Taveras had a breakthrough season in
Double-A. The native of the Dominican Republic can fly in center field and on
the basepaths. There are still questions about his bat, however. Since Taveras
only occasionally gets the ball out of the infield and he doesn’t walk a lot,
he’ll have to continue to hit over .300 to be a quality major league regular.
I’m not convinced it will happen, but he will receive chances, with perhaps
the first coming this year.
10. Ben Zobrist - SS - Age 23 - ETA: 2008
.339/.438/.463, 4 HR, 45 RBI, 31/43 K/BB, 15 SB in 257 AB for SS Tri-City
Even though the Astros lacked a first-round pick, the early returns suggest
they had a great 2005 draft, with Einertson and Zobrist making the top 10 and
LHP Troy Patton and OF Hunter Pence just missing. Zobrist, a sixth-round pick,
showed a nice bat and surprisingly strong skills at shortstop. He was, however,
old for the New York-Penn League. Since he turns 24 in May, the Astros need
to be aggressive with him. He can’t afford an off year.
2004 top 10: Taylor Buchholz, John Buck, Fernando Nieve, Jason Lane,
Chris Burke, Mitch Talbot, Hector Gimenez, Tommy Whiteman,
Chad Qualls, Jared Gothreaux
2003 top 10: John Buck, Jason Lane, Henri Stanley, Brad Lidge, Rodrigo Rosario
Derick Grigsby, Tommy Whiteman, Chris Burke, Jimmy Barrett,
Osvaldo Fernando
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> -------------------------------------------------------------------------- <
作者: BALUA (回憶都是痛苦ㄉ) 看板: Astros
標題: Re: Roto Top 10 Prospects
時間: Thu Feb 10 17:35:46 2005
Houston Astros
1. Chris Burke - 2B - Age 25 - ETA: Now
.315/.396/.507, 16 HR, 52 RBI, 76/55 K/BB, 37 SB in 483 AB for AAA New Orleans
.059/.200/.059, 0 HR, 0 RBI, 3/3 K/BB, 0 SB in 17 AB for Houston
太空人還在爭論球季開始時是否應該把Burke 放進先發打線裡，不過他應該是這隻球
隊長期的二壘手和二棒。這位2001年第一輪看起來比較像Mark Loretta而不是Biggio
，不過這也不是什麼錯誤。之前是游擊手，他在二壘展現很大的防守範圍，然而他有
時候會缺乏穩定性。只要他得到足夠的打數，他的盜壘能力可以讓他在FB成為20塊的
二壘手。太空人預定如果他表現不如預期就讓他在春訓和回到二壘的Biggio競爭先發
二壘的位置。他一開始應該會打後段棒次，不過他最後應該會和Adam Everett互換棒
次。
2. Fernando Nieve - RHP - Age 23 - ETA: July 2006
10-6, 2.96 ERA, 136 H, 117/40 K/BB in 149 IP for Single-A Salem
2-0, 1.56 ERA, 12 H, 17/8 K/BB in 17 1/3 IP for Double-A Round Rock
儘管在高階1A Salem有不錯的防禦率，不過Nieve 沒有表現出像去年太空人所高興的
進步幅度。這主要是跟他的曲球還有尤其是變速球有關。Nieve 依靠low-90帶有伸卡
尾勁的直球製造滾地球和三振。他的曲球有時會是相當不錯的球路。他的變速球就不
是了，不過他正在磨練變速球。如果變速球練好，Nieve 有成為二號先發的潛力。他
今年應該不會在大聯盟出現。
3. Ezequiel Astacio - RHP - Age 25 - ETA:July 2005
13-10, 3.89 ERA, 155 H, 185/56 K/BB in 176 IP for Double-A Round Rock
在Billy Wagner交易中從費城換過來的第三名投手現在也許是交易中最有價值的部分
，Astacio 過去在費城農場時投出不錯的防禦率，不過差勁的三振次數讓他看起來頂
多是中繼投手的料。難以置信他在去年投出比之前兩年加起來還多的三振。他的球速
變快而且仍然保有很棒的尾勁，讓有他三號投手的潛力。他很有可能是今年太空人第
一個叫上去的先發投手。
4. Taylor Buchholz - RHP - Age 23 - ETA: May 2006
6-7, 5.23 ERA, 107 H, 74/29 K/BB in 98 IP for Triple-A New Orleans
在Wagner交易中被挑走後，Buchholz馬上變成太空人的頂尖新秀，不過在New Orleans
他有個令人失望的上半季而且在看起來將要止跌回升的不久他傷到了肩膀，他在季後
動了手術，讓他明年開季的狀況充滿不確定。靠著91-94mph的直球和頂尖的曲球，他
還是有很高的天份，而且他整整比Astacio 小了兩歲。看起來他不太可能會在今年提
供貢獻，不過還沒有理由放棄他。
5. Mitch Einertson - OF - Age 18 - ETA: 2009
.308/.413/.692, 24 HR, 67 RBI,70/32 K/BB, 4 SB in 227 AB for Rookie Greeneville
.143/.143/.571, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 2/0 K/BB, 0 SB in 7 AB for SS Single-A Tri-City
所以他怎麼會留第五輪才被挑走？大概跟他五呎十吋的身材有點關係。Einertson 去
年被選走後的成績令人印象相當深刻，全壘打在阿帕拉契聯盟領先第二名八隻，長打
率領先第二名超過100 個仟分點。他被三振很多，不過他也有不錯的保送率，讓他有
高達1.105的OPS。看起來他很有可能繼續展示30發全壘打的長打能力。更多的質疑在
他是否能保持高打擊率。太空人也需要幫他找個位置。他在去年守中外野，不過他應
該沒有在大聯盟守中外野所需要的守備範圍。竟然現在還沒有理由把他固定在corner
的位置，移到二壘已經被考慮過了。他到四月才19歲，so there’s no rush。
6. Josh Anderson - OF - Age 22 - ETA: 2007
.324/.402/.425, 4 HR, 31 RBI, 47/33 K/BB, 47 SB in 299 AB for low A Lexington
.268/.315/.379, 2 HR, 21 RBI, 53/13 K/BB, 31 SB in 280 AB for high A Salem
Anderson在升到卡羅萊納聯盟後令人感到失望，不過他在Lexington 的表現已經足夠
讓他在Top 10裡得到一席之地。這位2003年的第四輪在南大西洋聯盟裡在上壘部分有
相當好的表現而且一整年他在91次嘗試盜壘中成功了78次。我給他比 Willy Taveras
更高的評價應位他在兩者間有較好的長打。他的確不是很好的中外野手，可能會讓太
空人在兩年後有個困難的抉擇。今年剛開始Anderson應該會回到hi-A Salem，不過應
該會發生另外一次季中升遷。
7. Matt Albers - RHP - Age 22 - ETA: 2007
8-3, 3.31 ERA, 95 H, 140/57 K/BB in 111 1/3 IP for Single-A Lexington
被球團給禁賽縮短了他的球季，不過Albers的價值正在上升。02年draft-and-follow
簽下的球員，Albers可以丟92-94mph的直球還有大曲球。他的變速球是有平均水準的
第三球路。當他往上爬時將需要更好的控球。他也需要注意一下體重。
8. Chad Qualls - RHP - Age 26 - ETA: Now
3-6, 5.57 ERA, 134 H, 72/30 K/BB in 106 2/3 IP for Triple-A New Orleans
4-0, 3.55 ERA, 34 H, 24/8 K/BB in 33 IP for Houston
儘管去年在3A New Orleans遇到麻煩，不過Qualls最後兩個月在太空人是個很有效率
的中繼投手。實際上在小聯盟時他從來沒有投過低於3.72的防禦率，不過因為他伸卡
和滑球的搭判讓他仍然被認為是個相當不錯的新秀。目前看起來太空人把Qualls當作
未來的setup man ，這也許是他未來最好的情況。去年球季中前他還是先發投手而且
有四種球路，不過缺乏集中力和體力不夠一直是他的問題。今年他在休士頓牛棚將會
有一席之地。
9. Willy Taveras - OF - Age 23 - ETA: April 2006
.335/.402/.386, 2 HR, 27 RBI, 76/38 K/BB, 55 SB in 409 AB for AA Round Rock
.000/.000/.000, 0 HR, 0 RBI, 1/0 K/BB, 1 SB in 1 AB for Houston
.400/.421/.500, 0 HR, 2 RBI, 2/0 K/BB, 2 SB in 18 AB for Scottsdale (AFL)
去年太空人在規則五選秀中從克里夫蘭那邊挑走 Taveras然後成為Jeriome Robertson
交易的部分讓太空人保有擁有他的權力。結果Taveras 在2A有突破性表現的球季後那
變成對太空人很棒的交易。這名多明尼加人可以在中外野和壘間飛奔。然而他的打擊
還是有些問題。因為Taveras 偶爾才會把球打出內野而且他沒有凹到太多保送．他將
必須保持打出超過三成打擊率以成為優秀的大聯盟先發球員。我不相信那會發生，不
過他將會得到機會，也許會是今年一開始。
10. Ben Zobrist - SS - Age 23 - ETA: 2008
.339/.438/.463, 4 HR, 45 RBI, 31/43 K/BB, 15 SB in 257 AB for SS Tri-City
即使太空人沒有第一輪選秀權，不過在前幾輪選回來的球員讓人覺得2005(04？)有很
不錯的成果，Einertson 和Zobrist 都出現在Top 10名單，而左投Troy Patton 還有
外野手Hunter Pence就只差一點點。Zobrist ，第六輪的球員，表現出不錯的打擊和
在游擊令人驚訝的技術。然而他對New York-Penn League來說有點老。因為他在五月
就變成24歲，太空人需要對他積極點。他沒辦法負擔一個歉收年。
2004 top 10: Taylor Buchholz, John Buck, Fernando Nieve, Jason Lane,
Chris Burke, Mitch Talbot, Hector Gimenez, Tommy Whiteman,
Chad Qualls, Jared Gothreaux
2003 top 10: John Buck, Jason Lane, Henri Stanley, Brad Lidge, Rodrigo Rosario
Derick Grigsby, Tommy Whiteman, Chris Burke, Jimmy Barrett,
Osvaldo Fernando
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※ 編輯: BALUA 來自: 203.67.216.80 (02/10 17:58)