With Sidney Ponson being threatened with the old
"sign at a below-market rate or we'll say you're a greedy
bastard and trade you" tack, many have asked about my concern
for his arm's health. I was as concerned as anyone about the
condition of his arm before the season--but the fact is, labrums
are a crapshoot and what we don't know about fixing them is greater
than what we do know. Ponson has clearly come out the winner on this
gamble, but he's at only slightly less risk than he was before the
season.
In many ways, pitching injured is like flipping a coin over and over;
each flip has nothing to do with the preceding flip. Would I want him
on my team? Yes. Would I want him signed to a long-term deal? Hmm,
depends on the price.
Quated from Will Carroll (Baseball Prospectus)
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