[情報] BA 2011 Top 10 Prospects

[beckseaton (沒有運動會死)]

TOP TEN   PROSPECTS

1. Shelby Miller, rhp
2. Zack Cox, 3b
3. Carlos Martinez, rhp
4. Tyrell Jenkins, rhp
5. Allen Craig, of/1b
6. Lance Lynn, rhp
7. Eduardo Sanchez, rhp
8. Seth Blair, rhp
9. Jordan Swagerty, rhp
10. Joe Kelly, rhp

BEST                 TOOLS
Best Hitter for Average     Zack Cox
Best Power Hitter           Allen Craig
Best Strike-Zone Discipline Daniel Descalso
Fastest Baserunner          Reggie Williams Jr.
Best Athlete                Tyrell Jenkins
Best Fastball               Shelby Miller
Best Curveball              Jordan Swagerty
Best Slider                 Blake King
Best Changeup               P.J. Walters
Best Control                Scott McGregor
Best Defensive Catcher      Tony Cruz
Best Defensive Infielder    Ryan Jackson
Best Infield Arm            Pete Kozma
Best Defensive Outfielder   Shane Robinson
Best Outfield Arm           Tommy Pham

PROJECTED 2014  LINEUP

Catcher     Yadier Molina
First Base  Albert Pujols
Second Base Skip Schumaker
Third Base  Zack Cox
Shortstop   Pete Kozma
Left Field  Matt Holliday
Center Field Colby Rasmus
Right Field Allen Craig

No. 1 Starter Adam Wainwright
No. 2 Starter Shelby Miller
No. 3 Starter Jamie Garcia
No. 4 Starter Carlos Martinez
No. 5 Starter Tyrell Jenkins

Closer Mitchell Boggs


For a team that wants and needs to be more reliant on its farm system to
produce talent, the Cardinals exited 2010 humbled and aware they had to make
changes. They started near the top.

St. Louis contended for much of the season and sat in first place in
mid-August after a series sweep of the Reds. But the team's stars—Albert
Pujols and Matt Holliday in the lineup, Chris Carpenter and Adam Wainwright
in the rotation—didn't get enough help from complementary players and the
team wilted down the stretch. The Cardinals finished five games back of the
Reds and missed the playoffs for the third time in the past four seasons.

After the season, St. Louis reorganized the minor league side of its front
office, promoting John Vuch to farm director and reducing the
responsibilities of vice president Jeff Luhnow, who had multitasked as
director of both scouting and player development. The club positioned the
move as a way to let Luhnow and others focus on specific responsibilities,
and general manager John Mozeliak said it didn't represent a dramatic change
in philosophy. But this was more than moving furniture in the executive
offices.

Further shuffling reassigned two of Mozeliak's lieutenants, Gary LaRocque and
Matt Slater, from the pro side to amateur and minor league overview
positions. There was also an undercurrent to the moves that had its genesis
in fissures between the major league and minor league staffs that dated back
before GM Walt Jocketty's firing in 2007. The promotion of Vuch, a respected
Cardinals lifer, and greater inclusion of pitching coach Dave Duncan in minor
league decision-making are significant strides for internal unity.

The changes continued through the offseason, as assistant GM John Abbamondi
left the team after three seasons to join the Padres in a non-baseball job as
their director of strategy and business analysis.

Colby Rasmus, Jaime Garcia and Mitchell Boggs—all products of the 2005 draft
—are significant parts of St. Louis' future. But after their graduations and
recent trades to get players such as Holliday, the farm system is thin on
talent. As the Cardinals learned at the 2010 trade deadline, when they had to
use major league outfielder Ryan Ludwick to swing a deal, their system is
viewed as a collection of contributors and role players but thin on high-end
talent.

To turn that situation around, St. Louis added a standout college hitter
(Zack Cox) and a high-ceiling high school arm (Tyrell Jenkins) in the 2010
draft. The team also added its first headline-grabbing international signing
(Carlos Martinez) in recent years.

The charge now for Vuch and the restructured development staff is to mold the
new talent into the next wave of prospects. The Cardinals plan a less
aggressive approach to promotion going forward, and they named Mark DeJohn as
field coordinator after leaving the position vacant for three seasons. They
also hope to establish more standardized instruction from the top down, with
members of the major league staff, such as Duncan, getting the increased
influence they have sought.

Interestingly, all of the changes came in the wake of a successful season on
the field for the organization's minor league affiliates, which finished
431-237, the best composite winning percentage in baseball (.569). Triple-A
Memphis reached the Pacific Coast League finals a year after winning the
league championship, and Rookie-level Johnson City won the Appalachian League
title for the first time since 1976. Every affiliate finished .500 or better.


http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/prospects/rankings/organization-top-10-prospects/2011/2611155.html

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※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 114.35.128.207
※ 編輯: beckseaton      來自: 114.35.128.207       (01/15 00:53)
推 ColbyRasmus:最好2014二壘手還是車神 ="=
推 ColbyRasmus:外野手最強臂力終於不是Jon Edwards了，因為被釋出 XD
→ ColbyRasmus:前四年都是他。另外Shane Robinson的身分應該是FA
推 ColbyRasmus:喔... Robinson已經簽回來了 XD
> -------------------------------------------------------------------------- <

作者: beckseaton (沒有運動會死) 看板: Cardinals
標題: [情報] BP St. Louis Cardinals Top 11 Prospects
時間: Fri Jan 21 22:42:41 2011

System in 20 Words or Less: From the outside, this system looks like Shelby
Miller and the rest, but it's a bit better than that.

Five-Star Prospects
1. Shelby Miller, RHP

Three-Star Prospects
2. Tyrell Jenkins, RHP
3. Carlos Martinez, RHP
4. Zack Cox, 3B
5. Lance Lynn, RHP
6. Eduardo Sanchez, RHP
7. Oscar Taveras, OF
8. Matt Carpenter, 3B
9. Seth Blair, RHP

Two-Star Prospects
10. Adron Chambers, OF
11. Jordan Swagerty, RHP

Nine More:
12. Daniel Descalso, 2B: There's nothing sexy about Descalso, but there's
also no reason he can't be a second-division starter.
13. Maikel Cleto, RHP: A raw arm acquired in the Brendan Ryan trade, Cleto's
armed with huge velocity but little else.
14. Joe Kelly, RHP: Kelly throws hard, but scouts project him as a reliever,
and his secondary stuff is lacking.
15. Allen Craig, 1B/OF/3B?: Craig has consistently posted good stats in the
minors, but with no defensive skills, he might be a Quad-A type.
16. Tony Cruz, C: An unheralded catcher, Cruz has gap power and a plus-plus
arm.
17. Nick Longmire, OF: A fifth-round pick who showed all-around tools in his
pro debut, Longmire could move up next year.
18. Tommy Pham, OF: Pham is an ultra-toolsy player who showed some real
progress in 2010.
19. Adam Reifer, RHP: This power reliever throws hard and throws strikes, but
he needs a second pitch.
20. Scott Gorgen, RHP: The opposite of Reifer, Gorgen mixes pitches extremely
well but has a middle-relief ceiling.

1. Shelby Miller, RHP
DOB: 10/10/90
Height/Weight: 6-3/195
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted/Signed: First round, 2009, Brownwood HS (TX)
2010 Stats: 3.62 ERA (104.1-97-33-140) at Low-A (24 G)
Best/Worst Tool: Fastball/changeup

Year in Review: The Cardinals' first-round pick in 2009 gained consistency as
the season wore on, and was the Midwest League's top arm by the end of the
year.

The Good: Miller has the potential to be an upper-tier starter with dominant
stuff. His fastball is already there, sitting at 93-95 mph and touching 97,
and he already flashes plenty of plus curveballs in every outing. He has an
ideal power pitcher's build, as well as an ideal power-pitcher makeup, with a
nearly robotic approach to pitching.

The Bad: Miller has occasional command issues, and when he misses, he misses
up in the zone. He gets tighter spin on his curve when he throws it as a true
power pitch, but he takes something off it too often. His changeup is still
below average, but he does show a feel for it.

Ephemera: Miller had a bizarre home/road split in 2010, with a 6.47 ERA at
home (despite striking out 60 in 40 1/3 innings), but a 1.83 mark on the road.
Perfect World Projection: He could be a star-level starting pitcher.

Fantasy Impact: The ERA, WHIP, and strikeouts should all be of high quality.
Path to the Big Leagues: Miller will likely begin 2011 at High-A Palm Beach,
but with his second-half surge, he's an excellent breakout candidate who
could accelerate his development path.

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=12763

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※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 112.105.66.58
※ 編輯: beckseaton      來自: 112.105.66.58        (01/21 22:43)
推 ColbyRasmus:Gorgen今年沒辦法出賽耶...
→ ColbyRasmus:Chambers他會給到第10名也怪怪的
推 ColbyRasmus:KG的話可以解釋Lynn的低滾地球率跟高HR率了
→ ColbyRasmus:他說Lynn改投四縫線，所以球速變快到92-95mph
→ ColbyRasmus:不過球速增加，被全壘打也增加了