作者bri (.....................)
看板Celtics
標題[外電] Celtics Series Breakdown
時間Sun Apr 20 22:01:48 2008
http://wickedgoodsports.com/celtics/celtics-series-breakdown/
Celtics Series Breakdown
Here is a complete breakdown of the match-ups for the upcoming playoff series
against Atlanta.
這是份就季後賽對老鷹隊系列的match-up完整分析。
Rondo vs. Bibby
Rondo has the physical advantage over Bibby and will be able to get past him on
dribble penetration. Bibby at this point of his career cannot stay in front of
him defensively. Rondo will have a lot of open looks from 15 feet out and
beyond, Rondo has really improved his shot, but it is still not a weapon, so
despite the opportunities don’t expect to see Rondo to become a volume shooter.
Bibby is a better shooter, but Rondo runs his offense better than Bibby does
his. Bibby may bring the ball up but he plays more like a SG guard than a true
PG. Bibby will rarely get past his defender, and most of his passes are kick
outs to teammates behind him instead of a traditional drive and dish attack.
Rondo will have to be disciplined to stay with Bibby and not chase other
players in help defense because Bibby will set up outside the three point line
and use his quick release on a shot before a defender can recover. Expect to
see some isolations run for Rondo to attack Bibby
Advantage – Push
Interesting stat:
Baron Davis attempted 525 three pointers in 07/08
Rajon Rondo attempted 19 three pointers in 07/08
Rondo對上Bibby有體能優勢,可以運球切入過他。現在的Bibby沒辦法守住他。Rondo會有
一大堆15呎或是更遠的空檔跳投機會,他提升了自己的投籃能力,但是還稱不上是個武器
,所以儘管他有很多機會,不用期待他會變成個射手。Bibby是比較好的射手,但是Rondo
運作進攻的能力比他好。Bibby也許可以運球推進,但是他比較像個得分後衛,而不是個
真正的控球後衛。Bibby很難切過他的防守者,而大部分他的傳球都是傳出來他身後的隊
友,而不是傳統的drive-and-dish攻擊。Rondo必須乖乖地跟著Bibby,而不是在幫忙防守
時去追逐其他球員,因為Bibby會站在三分線以外,在防守者回復之前,用他迅速的出手
跳投。期待會看到更多給Rondo去單打Bibby的機會。
優勢 – 平手
有趣的數據:
Baron Davis在07/08球季三分球出手525次
Rajon Rondo在07/08球季三分球出手19次
Ray Allen vs. Joe Johnson
This match up looks to favor the Atlanta Hawks on paper, until you look at the
paper. Johnson is shooting 31%/18% FG/3PFG versus the Celtics this season in
three games. Johnson is still the most difficult guard for any of the Celtics
to handle, he can drive, pull up from mid range off the dribble and shoot threes,
he is one of the most complete players in the NBA. When the Atlanta offense
breaks down (which happens a lot) they will run isolation for Johnson against
Allen hoping to exploit the physical advantage. Allen has never been known for
his defense but he has done a good job sending Johnson into defensive help and
frustrating him. Johnson ends up settling for threes far too often against
Boston. Allen has only put up 10 shots a game against the Hawks this season,
but he has made the most of them. The most surprising aspect of Allen’s game
is that he is a better shooter when under duress, instead of spotting up and
waiting for a kick out pass.
Advantage - Johnson
Interesting stat:
Johnson and Bibby combined have taken 15 3PA per game vs. the Celtics.
這組對戰在紙上看起來對老鷹隊有利,直到你看看紀錄。Johnson本季三次對上Celtics命
中率是31%FG 18%3PFG。Johnson仍然會是Celtics最難守住的後衛,他可以切入,運球後
拔起來投中距離,也可以投三分,他是聯盟裡最完全體的球員之一。當亞特蘭大的進攻開
始崩解(這常常發生),他們會希望利用體型優勢讓Johnson單打Allen。Allen從未以防守
著稱,但是他擅於讓Johnson陷入幫忙防守中,使他感到挫折。Johnson常常最後就會囿
於三分線進攻。Allen在本季對上老鷹隊平均只出手10次,但是他大部分都能投進。Allen
的比賽最令人驚奇的方面是,他在受壓迫下出手更準,而不是站好位置等待禁區外傳投籃
優勢- Johnson
有趣的數據:
Johnson和Bibby對上Celtics平均出手三分球15次
Paul Pierce vs. Marvin Williams
Williams has no chance against Pierce, when watching video it is remarkable how
bad Williams is at setting up defensively against Pierce. Williams takes bad
angles on close outs and is terrible working around picks. Pierce is in
complete control at this stage of his career and never rushes anything
offensively. On defense Pierce will only have to worry about challenging
baseline jumpers from Williams. Williams is a talented player but he really is
only dangerous as a jump shooter which is disappointing considering he is only
21 years old. Expect to see Atlanta 6th man Josh Childress get more of the
minutes in the series.
Advantage - Pierce
Interesting stat:
Pierce hits of 79% 3PA from the left side to the baseline, 29% from the right
side.
Williams對上Pierce完全沒有機會,看看錄影帶就知道Williams對Pierce的防守有多糟。
Williams對於關門防守處理的不好,對於擋人的反應也很差。Pierce正處在什麼都能完全
掌握的階段,並且從不會急著進攻。防守上,Pierce只要擔心Williams的底線跳投。
Williams是個很有天份的球員,但他只有跳投具危險性,考量到他只有21歲,其實是有點
讓人失望的。期待看到亞特蘭大的第六人Josh Childress在這個系列裡得到更多時間。
優勢- Pierce
有趣的數據:
Pierce在球場左半邊的三分球命中率是79%,右邊是29%
Kevin Garnett vs. Josh Smith
During the season this match up shows you how much of an impact Garnett makes
defensively. Smith is an elite athlete that can finish at the rim above
everyone else, but against Garnett he is reluctant to drive to the hoop. Smith
has a quick first step but he starts his move so far away that Garnett has
plenty of time to cut him off. Smith eventually starts to settle for jumpers
and 3PA which is great for Boston considering Smith hits only 29% of his mid
range 2PA ranking 241 out of 248 players that qualify in the NBA. If Smith is
going to set picks for anyone it doesn’t set up a mismatch because Garnett is
great against smaller players. Offensively Garnett doesn’t attack Smith as
much as he does Al Horford when Smith is out of the game. Garnett plays like a
small forward on offense and a center on defense. You have to be aware of both
players when trying to finish around the rim, especially Smith, who sells out
to try and block every shot. Garnett and Smith are both terrific interior
passers, but Garnett sets up his teams offense where as the Atlanta possession
usually ends with Smith.
Advantage - Garnett
Interesting stat:
Garnett hits 48% of his mid range 2PA, 9th out 248 qualifying NBA players.
在球季裡,這組對戰告訴你Garnett在防守上的影響力有多大。Smith是個頂級的運動員,
可以在任何人頭頂上空中作業,但是對上Garnett他連進攻籃框都很難。Smith有很快的第
一步,但是他開始進攻時離Garnett太遠,以至於後者有多時間阻斷他。Smith最後只能開
始跳投或是丟三分,這對波士頓來說再好不過,因為Smith的中距離命中率只有29%,在
NBA裡248個球員排名第241。如果Smith開始替人單擋也不會有mismatch機會,因為Garnett
對上小隻球員很厲害。進攻上,Garnett攻擊Smith的次數,不像當Smith下場後對Al
Horford那樣多。Garnett在進攻時就像個小前鋒,防守時像個中鋒。當你要在籃下進攻時
,你對兩個球員都要有所防備,尤其是Smith,他拼了命要把每一球都扒出去。Garnett和
Smith在禁區都很會傳球,但是Garnett通常替球隊運作進攻,而Smith常是亞特蘭大進攻
的句點。
優勢- Garnett
有趣的數據:
Garnett的中距離命中率是48%,在NBA裡248個球員排名第9
Kendrick Perkins vs. Al Horford
Horford has solid numbers against the Celtics, leading the Hawks in scoring
with 15.7ppg in their three contests this season. Horford will have a lot of
open looks when Perkins sags off of him defensively. Horford hit 5/7 outside
shots in the last of three games against the Celtics, and was 0/3 in the second
game this year. Look for Horford to have the green light. When Atlanta runs a
scripted play they will go through Horford in the high post, they trust him to
make good decisions. Perkins is stronger than Horford and can push him around
more than you would expect. Perkins offensively is still limited to handoffs
from other teammates taking advantage of defenses that leave Perkins open to
help, but he has become a little less predictable with his post moves and has
improved his passing out of the double team. Atlanta has sent double teams at
Perkins, which really doesn’t make a lot of sense, if this happens Perkins
will do a good job of finding the open man. Perkins will have to be aware
when trying to finish around the rim, because Josh Smith will be there to
challenge shots. Pay attention during this series because Perkins likes to
rough up Horford.
Advantage - Horford
Interesting stat:
Perkins ranks 56 out of 60 NBA centers in percentage (19.6%) of possessions
that end in a turnover.
Horford本季對上Celtics有很穩定的數字,三場平均15.7分是老鷹隊之冠。Perkins防守
會離Horford一點距離,這會讓他有很多空檔。Horford在三場對上Celtics比賽的最後一
場外線投7中5,第二場比賽投3中0。Horford會得到綠燈,自由出手。當亞特蘭大跑戰術
進攻時,他們會通過高位的Horford,他們相信他會作出好的決定。Perkins比Horford強
壯,並且會比你想像地還能跟他碰撞。Perkins再進攻時還是受限於隊友傳小球,得利於
對手去幫忙防守會讓Perkins有大空檔,但是隨著他的低位腳步,還有被包夾防守時傳球
能力的改善,讓他變的有點更不好預測。亞特蘭大曾經去包夾Perkins,這實在沒什麼道
理,如果真的發生,Perkins傳給空檔隊友的能力還不錯。Perkins在籃下進攻時得多提防
,因為Josh Smith會在那邊等著挑戰他。在這個系列戰裡要多注意,因為Perkins喜歡粗
暴地對待Horford。
優勢- Horford
有趣的數據:
Perkins每次持球以失誤作收的機率是19.6%,在60個NBA中鋒中排名56
Bench
Advantage - Boston
It is not even close; the Celtics just can’t be lulled to sleep when the
subs are in.
板凳
優勢-波士頓
根本稱不上接近;當替補上場時,Celtics不要平靜到睡著。
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明天要給老鷹來點震撼教育!
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◆ From: 218.166.210.95
※ 編輯: bri 來自: 218.166.210.95 (04/20 22:03)
推 Kreen :推~ 04/20 22:10
推 nogoodlaugh :C's不能留情面 四場大勝!! 04/20 23:03
推 MikeBibby10 :Bibby vs Rondo的部分說得太好了 同感 04/21 00:18
推 rayallen5566:優勢 johnson和allen平手吧= = 04/21 00:28
→ ktkowhypop :補推推~~最後一段寫的好狠XD 04/21 01:50
推 truth76901 :雖說這季Allen表現不算搶眼..但覺得有些被低估了 04/21 05:08