[外電] 關鍵時刻三巨頭的表現

[SexyCassell (其實我很帥)]

The Celtics clutch offense: The Big Three

關鍵時刻三巨頭的表現


By Zach Lowe, CelticsHub.com
March 12th, 11:23 am

http://celticshub.com/2009/03/12/the-celtics-clutch-offense-the-big-three
/#more-766

http://0rz.tw/MKhFJ

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Last night, we took a look at the C’s overall offensive numbers during fourth
quarters in which the scoring margin was three points or fewer at any point–
something that’s happened in 30 games this year. (Team record: 18-12). The
results came as a relief. The next step: taking a look at the Big Three to see
if Pierce is carrying the load as much as it seems, and whether KG or Walter
Ray change the way they play offense during money time. (Keep in mind: KG
missed six of these 30 games–but none of the three that went into OT-meaning
he played in 25 out of a possible 31.25 “clutch” quarters. Also, this does
not include last night’s game against Miami).

上一次，我們分析了超賽全隊在關鍵時刻的數據。所謂的關鍵時刻就是在第四節分差
在3分以內的時刻，在本賽季我們有30次這樣的經歷，戰績18勝12負，結果看上去還不壞。
具體分析一下三巨頭的表現，看看PP是否對得起以往的第四節先生稱號，以及KG和RAY
關鍵時刻能力又如何。 （※KG錯過了這30場中的6場比賽！）


(以下是三巨頭在關鍵時刻的數據)

   FTs                      2-pt FGs          3-pt FGs       TOs
----------               --------------     -------------   ------

Truth                      47-96 (49%)         8-25 (32%)     25  囧
  84-100 (84%)★

Ray                        26-45 (58%)★        18-54 (33%)     10
  37-38 (97%)

KG                         41-72 (57%)        1-3 (33%)        9
  14-17 (82%)


A couple of quick conclusions:

‧ These guys can really shoot. Look at those two-point percentages.

‧三巨頭關鍵時刻從不手軟，看看他們的兩分球命中率！


‧ Nothing changes in KG’s offensive game in the clutch. (And he never gets to
the line anymore).

‧KG的進攻數據沒有太大變化。（他較少(在關鍵時刻)站上罰球線。）


‧ Ray reverses his two-point attempt/three-point attempt ratio in crunch time

‧Ray在關鍵時刻的兩分球/三分球出手的比例正好相反。


‧ Paul Pierce has taken ONE HUNDRED freaking free throws in crunch time. 100!

‧PP竟然在關鍵時刻獲得了100次罰球的機會!!!!!!!



Let’s start there. That is a remarkable number. Pierce has shot 445 free
throws this year, meaning a full 22 percent of his free throw attempts have
come in 30 fourth quarters and three overtimes–a span that makes up just 12
percent of the season so far. Read another way, Pierce has gotten to the line
twice as often in “clutch” fourth quarters as his normal FTA rate suggests he
should have. Pierce has taken 26.7 percent of the Celtics 1,666 free throws
overall this season; he’s taken 37.5 percent of the free throws in my “clutch
” sample.

There’s one obvious caveat here: About one-quarter (maybe a little bit less)
of these “clutch” foul shots came in end-of-game scenarios where the other
team fouled Pierce to stop the clock. Even with this in mind, the number of
FTAs is still enormous. And it’s a hugely important skill. Jump shots go hot
and cold, ingenious plays break down, but Pierce’s will to attack the rim
never wavers. Pierce at the foul line is probably the C’s best late-game weapon
–even better than a Pierce jumper.

The Celtics also rely heavily on that. Pierce’s 97 total two-point “clutch”
 FGAs make up 22.5 percent of the Celtics “clutch” total. Overall this
season, Pierce has taken 17.7 percent of the team’s two-point field-goal
attempts. Clearly, the team leans on the Truth when games get close. (Does this
make him the best scorer in Celtic history? It’s an interesting debate).

下面的數字有點驚人，PP本賽季總共獲得了445次罰球機會，這意味著其中22％的罰球機
會來自30場比賽中的第四節和三次延長賽——佔總時間的12％。另一方面來說，PP關鍵時刻
站上罰球線的機率比其它時間高一倍。

PP的罰球次數佔球隊本賽季1666次罰球的26.7%，而在關鍵時刻他的罰球機會上升到全隊的
37.5%，在這些關鍵時刻的罰球中，有三分之一是由對手採取犯規戰術而獲得的，儘管如此
PP的罰球數據還是相當驚人，這點非常重要。要知道跳投的手感可能時好時壞，也不是每次
都能有十大好球球等級的演出，但PP攻擊籃框的決心從來不會降低。

PP衝擊籃下獲得罰球是球隊在關鍵時刻非常重要的武器，就某方面而言PP勇於攻擊籃下比
他的跳投更能給對手帶來威脅。

當然，球隊在關鍵時刻也非常仰仗PP的97次兩分球出手（佔全隊的22.5%）。本賽季PP
的兩分球出手總數佔全隊的17.7% ，球隊在關鍵時刻非常需要真理的挺身而出！


But you knew that. What you might not have known is that Ray Allen becomes a
little more one-dimensional as close games wind down. The ratio of 54
three-point attempts to 45 two-pointers is positively Posey-ian–and way out of
line with Ray’s normal shooting stats. It’s why his relentless mix of lay-ups
and mid-range jumpers against Orlando Sunday stood out so starkly.

So what’s going on here? I suspect part of it has to do with the fact that in
fourth quarters of close games, Walter Ray is always on the court with two of
the best mid-range scorers in the game’s recent history–Pierce and Garnett.
Maybe he gets his best long-distance looks with those guys drawing defenders to
the interior. If you charted Ray’s shot attempts by lineup, I bet you’d find
he takes more inside shots when he’s playing with the bench, handling the ball
and taking on more of the scoring burden.

One other thing: That 37-of-38 mark from the foul line–nice.

上面的結論有些你可能本來就知道，但恐怕你並不知道RAY在關鍵時刻的進攻略顯單一，54
次三分出手和45次兩分出手的比例有點類似Posey了，這也就是為什麼在和魔術的比賽中
RAY大量的上籃和中投令人感到有點驚訝。

但為什麼會這樣呢？我猜可能是因為每到關鍵時刻，和RAY並肩作戰的是近幾年超賽最優秀
的兩位中投手PP和KG，正因為如此，對方不得不在禁區內嚴密佈防，使得RAY在外線得到
更好的出手機會。如果做一張Ray的投籃數據表，我可以打賭Ray在單獨率領替補的情況下，
他持球進攻更多採取的是接近籃筐的攻擊手段。

再補充一下，關鍵時刻Ray的罰球：37－38!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


After the jump, we take a look at the Big Ticket.

Finally, we come to KG. His stats in these situations almost exactly mirror his
overall numbers. He takes about 3.4 shots per quarter overall and about three
shots in each “clutch” fourth quarter–meaning he shoots relatively less
often in these situations, since he plays more minutes in the “clutch” than
otherwise.

For better or worse, this is KG. He is not going to start jacking up shots or
bulling his way to the rim in the fourth quarter. I mean, Eddie House has taken
more shots per minute in these 30 fourth quarters than KG (we will cover Eddie’
s fondness for his own shot in a later post). For a certain segment of
basketball fans, this will always be the knock on KG. I’ve given up trying to
figure it out, but I don’t think he cowers from the moment. Chris Webber
cowered. KG does not cower. He took some big shots last year, and he went off
for 32-20-8 in his first big time Game 7 with Minnesota in 2004. Maybe he is
truly, genuinely unselfish. Maybe he thinks that passing less will hurt the
offense and exerting more effort  posting up Pau Gasol will deplete the tank
for defense.

I don’t know. But I do know this: The biggest change in KG’s game this year
is the drop in his free throw attempts, which is reflected here. (Six of those
17 FTAs came in end-of-game situations with the C’s up five or more and 30
seconds or less left; see this game log, for instance). His per-36 minute FTAs
have dropped by half  since last year–from 5.2 (and 6.0 the year before) to
2.7.

That’s a sharp drop. Maybe it’s a function of him hurting for much of the
year. Maybe he’s trying to conserve his body for the playoffs, and he’ll be
more aggressive in May than December.

Either way, that mid-range jumper is still a nasty, nasty weapon–in the clutch
and otherwise.

下面讓我們來看看KG的表現吧。

不管這是否是個好現象，KG現在已經很少在關鍵時刻依靠單打能力獨立扛起進攻了，甚至
至房子在這種時候的出手次數也已經超越了KG。

對於很多質疑KG的人來說，這是攻擊KG的一個好機會，我不想因人廢言，但是我要說KG
在第四節絕對不會軟手！Chris Webber可能會，但KG不會！

(※注意：Chris Webber是原文作者自己提的....囧 非關譯者與塞爾提克球迷的立場)

KG去年之前在第四節就投中了很多關鍵球，在明尼蘇達的時候，他在那次著名的第7場決戰
可是砍下了32分20個籃板和8次助攻的驚人數據！可能是因為他太無私了，可能因為他總是
覺得打球太獨會影響整體進攻。去年冠軍賽時KG也可能覺得過多的低位背打Paul Gasol會耗
耗太多體力以致影響了防守.....等等這些都可能是KG關鍵時刻較少單打、和較少站上罰球
線的原因。

但可以肯定的是本賽季KG的罰球次數有了明顯的下降，每36分鐘的罰球次數從上賽季的
5.7次到本賽季幾乎降了一半，只有區區2.7次，這個降幅太大了，這也許是因為本賽季他的
傷病比較多，也可能是因為他在韜光養晦，準備在季候賽的時候大爆發~~~

不過......中距離跳投在關鍵時刻不一定是最好的選擇。


#

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好吧，我真的覺得關鍵時刻把球給誰未免是超賽太奢侈的煩惱了~XD
三巨頭真正恐怖的地方是在那關鍵時刻的命中率呀呀呀~~~~

GO GO CELTICS ~~~~


--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 220.136.79.131
推 fk920       :Ray也太可怕了吧~還是希望KG快回來~不然實在太慘了..
推 yenbb       :那三行應該是罰球  兩分球  三分球
→ lanth123    :你數據用錯了 第一個應該是罰球 第二個是FG 第三是3
推 Ejyts       :這數據地球上無人能及吧....
不好意思 網頁複製下來的表格怪怪的 順序和原始連結不太一樣 我改一下順序~
※ 編輯: SexyCassell     來自: 220.136.79.131       (03/13 23:20)
推 bri         :推翻譯
推 lzu         :KG的三分球率有3成耶XD
推 fk920       :原來是貼錯了....我還想說這數據XD.....
推 a497322008  :KG快回來＋１