[外電] Don’t We Already Have Dahntay Jones?

[ihx00 (酷霸)]

新聞出處(必填):http://celticshub.com/2009/06/26/dont-we-already-have-dahntay-jones/

作者: Zach Lowe, CelticsHub.com
June 26th, 11:35 am


Stephen A. Smith was making all sorts of news Monday on the Twitter, including

one post predicting–nay, PROCLAIMING!–the C’s are targeting Dahntay Jones in

free agency. (Hat tip: CelticsBlog).




To which I immediately responded: We already have Dahntay Jones. His name is

Tony Allen. The main differences between them are that a) Jones is two inches

taller and a slightly better athlete; b) he shoots more jumpers even though

he’s almost as bad at making them; c) he’s a bit–a bit–less turnover prone;

and d) he has a solid record of violence against Kobe Bryant. (I keed, I keed!

)




I know what you’re thinking: We need a back-up to Paul Pierce, and Tony Allen

has proven incapable of playing that role consistently. And perhaps those two

inches make Jones a more credible small forward defensively than Tony Allen.

You might be right. There’s just nothing (well, almost nothing) in Jones’s

brief NBA record to suggest that. He’s played the huge majority of his minutes

at shooting guard, not small forward, according to 82games.com stats from his

09 campaign with Denver and his ‘07 season with Memphis.

(Jones played limited minutes in just 25 games with the Kings in 2008, so I’m

tossing out those numbers. You can view them here if you want).




Our fellow TrueHoop Networker Jeremy Wagner of the Nugs blog Roundball Mining

Company confirms Jones rarely guarded small forwards and generally didn’t

have the best things to say about Dahntay’s overall ability.






Of course, Rudy Gay and Carmelo Anthony gobbled up the bulk of the minutes at

the three spot for Memphis and Denver. But even so: When his coaches put Jones

in the game, they played him at the two spot.






Let’s compare Tony Allen and Jones by their numbers from last season:




                           Tony Allen             Dahntay Jones

PER                           12.9                      9.0

FG%                           48.2%                    45.8%

% of FGAs that were Js        39%                      50%

FG% on Jumpers                28.2%                    39.8%

Turnover Rate                 18.8%                    14.5%

DRB Rate                      10.7%                     8.7%

FTAs/36 minutes                4.4                      3.8

Three-pointers                 6-27                    11-17

Offensive Rating               98                       105

Defensive Rating              100                       110





One note: Last year was a bit of an aberration for Tony Allen in terms of his

jump-shooting. In 2008, half his field goal attempts were jumpers, and he made

41 percent of them; the year before that, about 45 percent of his attempts were

jumpers, and his effective FG% on those shots was about 37 percent.


Those hit rates aren’t great, but TA isn’t as godawful on jump shots as he

was last season.  Jones, on the other hand, has been pretty consistent as a

shooter, making just below 40 percent of his jump shot attempts in each of last

four season. He did attack the rim more with Denver; before last season, about

60 percent of his field goal attempts were jumpers, according to 82games.

(See here, here and here).


Another note: That 110 defensive rating is probably not fair to Jones. He’s a

better defensive player than that, and D-Rating is about 80 percent dependent

on team performance.

(Then again, Denver was a top-10 defensive team this season, and Jones’s teams

have fared a bit worse defensively with him on the floor in three of his last

four seasons, according to those 82games links above).



A deeper look at Jones’s individual defense via Basketball Prospectus shows

Jones guarded some really, really great players and managed to hold them about

two percent below their normal productivity levels–a not insignificant

accomplishment.


In any case, it’s hard from these numbers to see the point in spending any

money to bring Jones here–not with the budget as tight as it is. He has the

potential to be a more valuable player than TA on both ends, and he could grow

into a useful back-up for Pierce. But I’m not comfortable spending any of the

team’s mid-level exception on an unproven player who duplicates the (limited)

skills of someone already sitting on Boston’s bench.


I could maybe–maybe–see spending the team’s bi-annual exception

(about $2 million) on Jones, but that would mean the C’s could not use it the

following season, and I’m not sure Jones is worth even giving up that

opportunity.


A bit of a pro-Jones counter argument, after the jump.



There is one main reason you might take a look at Jones: It’s not going to be

easy to find an ideal back-up for Pierce on the free agent market. Most of the

available small forwards are either out of our price range

(Odom, Ariza, Artest, Marion), questionable defenders (Grant Hill, Matt Barnes,

Kyle Korver), unproven/not very good players (Walter Herrmann, Ike Diogu, Ime

Udoka, Stephen Graham, Darius Miles, Justin Reed) or restricted free agents

likely to re-sign with their current teams (Jamario Moon, Marvin Williams).



It’s just not going to be that easy to find a 6′6”-6′8” guy who can play

defense, attack the rim and hit open jump shots. Of the players likely to be

available in the C’s price range, Hill fits the job description most closely.

(Note: One guy not listed there is Josh Childress, because no one seems to know

what in the hell is going on with him).



So, sure, go ahead and kick the tires on Dahntay Jones. But the moment he asks

for more than the bi-annual exception, run away.

==============================================================================

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◆ From: 118.160.16.173
推 rainingdayz :大概就是一個新選擇Dahntay Jones可以當PP替補人選
→ rainingdayz :但他其實跟TA差不多 不過分析一下各有優劣點就是了
→ SULICon     :作者的想法應該是  與其去追Jones  不如好好養TA
→ rainingdayz :Jones的功用不值雙數年合約 結論：PP替補用工具人?
推 chan1006    :今年看金塊打季後賽D.Jones表現比TA好吶..看價錢吧
推 gohit       :主要是JONES沒什麼傷 TA吸也傷 腦也傷 = =
→ jeanshark   :腦傷這點 超傷的......