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http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/main.jhtml?view=DETAILS&grid=D&xml=/sport/2004/ 12/31/sfnche31.xml Chelsea in driving seat but face a bumpy ride By John Ley (Filed: 31/12/2004) The last time Chelsea won the league title, Bill Haley and his Comets were rocking around the clock, a pint of beer cost one shilling and three pence (6p) and the world lost Albert Einstein. Now, under Jose Mourinho, Chelsea enter 2005 as favourites for the club's first championship for 50 years. Mourinho is a student of statistics, but even the confident, intelligent Portuguese will struggle to determine whether there are any signs, at the end of the year, that Chelsea can finally win a competition they have chased for half a century. Several factors suggest that Mourinho should be cautious; only in four of the previous 12 Premiership campaigns has the team who finished the year top gone on to win the title. Chelsea are five points clear of current champions Arsenal and nine ahead of Manchester United and Everton, with 18 games – and 54 points – to play for. Two years ago Arsenal led Chelsea and United by five points. By May 2003, United had turned that five-point deficit into a five-point lead to claim the title. On that occasion, United finished the season with 14 wins and three draws – 45 points from a possible 51 – for an improbable success. If Chelsea are to be caught, with three teams in a realistic position to challenge, then a similar run will be required. Traditionally, United are a stronger side in the second half of the season, and if they were to win each of their remaining 18 games, which includes a visit by Chelsea in April, they could take their ninth Premiership title. However, Chelsea know they will never have a better chance to end their wilderness years and allow Mourinho to build a Stamford Bridge empire. He will point to a defence that has conceded just eight goals and a team who have lost only one game. He will also remind any doubters that he has players available in every position to compete at the highest level, a factor that Arsenal cannot boast. The title could well be determined in April; in successive Premiership games, Chelsea face United at Old Trafford and then, in the space of five days, entertain Arsenal. United have dropped only four points from a possible 24 and, if Ruud van Nistelrooy and Louis Saha can return in the new year, they could be best placed to challenge Chelsea. As for Everton, they may stand a good chance of qualifying for the Champions League, but surely they cannot steal the title? Perhaps not, but older Evertonians will remind their rivals at Chelsea that, since that 1955 success, Everton have won the title four times. Chelsea Opposition Verdict Pts Jan-01 Liverpool A Draw 50 Jan-04 Middlesbrough H Win 53 Jan-15 Tottenham A Win 56 Jan-22 Portsmouth H Win 59 Feb-02 Blackburn A Win 62 Feb-06 Man City H Win 65 Feb-12 Everton A Draw 66 Feb-26 WBA H Win 69 Mar-05 Norwich A Win 72 Mar-19 Crystal Palace H Win 75 Apr-02 Southampton A Win 78 Apr-09 Birmingham H Win 81 Apr-16 Man Utd A Lose 81 Apr-20 Arsenal H Win 84 Apr-23 Fulham H Win 87 Apr-30 Bolton A Win 90 May-07 Charlton H Draw 91 May-14 Newcastle A Win 94 --- 一度以為這賽季只剩18場....有這麼好嗎! 還有 UEFA. CC. FA Cup................(跌足) 4月..嗯....CAREFREE XD --- -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 61.218.33.2 ※ 編輯: jftsai 來自: 61.218.33.2 (12/31 13:01)