宜蘭縣選舉結果分析

[Richter78 (The Enigma)]

張川田拓展票源的功力顯然比陳金德強許多，
吸收了上次選舉陳歐珀的大部分選票，
除了在溪北繼續成長、穩居第一，
還把勢力大舉跨足到溪南，
甚至在冬山、五結、三星開出了第二高票。
相較之下，陳金德僅能固守溪南，無法拓展票源。
因此，這次泛綠在溪北普遍成長，而溪南普遍衰退，
這與人選的個人特質關係較大。



                 2001              2004          變化
--------------------------------------------------------
宜蘭  泛綠  17,969  44.63%    16,948  45.30%    +0.67%
      泛藍  21,216  52.70%    20,461  54.69%    +1.99%
--------------------------------------------------------
羅東  泛綠  16,529  55.13%    14,809  54.11%    -1.02%
      泛藍  12,661  42.23%    12,559  45.89%    +3.66%
--------------------------------------------------------
蘇澳  泛綠  11,556  55.96%     9,810  54.11%    -1.85%
      泛藍   8,290  40.16%     8,321  45.89%    +5.73%
--------------------------------------------------------
頭城  泛綠   4,778  31.82%     4,806  34.71%    +2.89%
      泛藍   9,953  66.28%     9,039  65.29%    -0.99%
--------------------------------------------------------
礁溪  泛綠   9,538  54.55%     9,012  56.44%    +1.89%
      泛藍   7,475  42.75%     6,954  43.56%    +0.81%
--------------------------------------------------------
壯圍  泛綠   6,473  52.56%     6,464  58.65%    +6.09%
      泛藍   5,502  44.67%     4,557  41.35%    -3.32%
--------------------------------------------------------
員山  泛綠   7,914  52.82%     7,396  55.05%    +2.23%
      泛藍   6,760  45.12%     6,039  44.95%    -0.17%
--------------------------------------------------------
冬山  泛綠  13,269  55.13%    13,567  63.80%    +8.67%
      泛藍   8,210  34.12%     7,698  36.20%    +2.08%
--------------------------------------------------------
五結  泛綠  10,949  60.85%     9,937  61.77%    +0.92%
      泛藍   6,410  35.63%     6,150  38.23%    +2.60%
--------------------------------------------------------
三星  泛綠   6,481  62.96%     5,824  62.55%    -0.41%
      泛藍   3,599  34.96%     3,488  37.46%    +2.50%
--------------------------------------------------------
大同  泛綠     290  47.70%       233  45.16%    -2.54%
      泛藍     298  49.01%       283  54.85%    +5.84%
--------------------------------------------------------
南澳  泛綠     128  32.98%       110  35.95%    +2.97%
      泛藍     244  62.89%       196  64.05%    +1.16%
--------------------------------------------------------
 計   泛綠 105,874  51.89%    98,916  53.57%    +1.68%
      泛藍  90,618  44.41%    85,745  46.44%    +2.03%





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推 grantliao:有人能說明一下頭城嘛?
推 lewistsai:我猜除了基本盤外，在地人也是個因素..
推 mimis:因為有個親民黨的鄭美蘭是頭城人..聽說買눠
推 grantliao:不是,頭城一向偏藍,我想知道why?
→ mimis:票買的蠻凶的@@~~不過還是落選啦..
→ mimis:偏藍的因素是他是宜蘭除了宜蘭市外的第二ꐠ
→ mimis:大眷村區...