66. Carlos Gonzales - OF - Arizona Diamondbacks - 20 (A+)
Introduction: In retrospect, I guess we should have been impressed when
Gonzales was posting .150+ ISOs in short-season ball as a teenager. We
should have listened to the scouts that said that power would further develop,
that there was a player inside this underachiever. Because in 2005, Gonzales
took off like few other prospects in minor league baseball. He was the most
impressive player in the Midwest League. Arizona spends a lot of time drafting
college talents, not worrying about how to refine skills. But if they can find
a balance between raw Latin American players and college players, this system
should continue to flourish.
Skillset/Future: Gonzales tends to have every skill in the book, just not
every one is fully developed. His contact abilities improved greatly in 2005,
as his career average jumped 40 points and his K% was down to under 17%. He
showed Major League power, hitting 52 XBH, including 18 home runs as a teenager
. Carlos began to walk more, drawing 48 free passes and bringing his OBP north
of .370. And while he doesn't have extraordinary speed, Gonzales is seen as a
good center fielder. I'll remain skeptical about Gonzales for another year,
but if all of this is for real, he could jump about 40 spots in 365 days.
56. Garrett Mock - SP - Arizona Diamondbacks - 23 (AA)
Introduction: Another one of my breakout guys, Mock is the one I had pegged
the earliest. He is just a simple case of numbers distorted by context. He
played in Lancaster, in the Cal League, one of the worst environments a pitcher
could have. Garrett had a .334 BABIP on his many groundballs, a number that
could have prevented about 25 hits if normalized. He didn't pitch great at the
end of the season, instead showing potential for 2006. This guy has everything
I look for in a breakout prospect. Truly, I would be shocked if he isn't a top
40 player in one year.
Skillset/Future: What I love about Mock is that he's fairly easy to project.
A durable arm and good pitcher's body will allow Mock to become an innings-
eater in the mold that John Lackey serves for the Angels. He might not be
noticed much, but quietly, he'll be throwing 200+ innings of above-average
baseball a season. While that is what will most likely happen, Mock also has
the potential to be a #2 pitcher. He throws four good pitches, and his fastball
has enough tilt to provoke a lot of ground balls. We like that in these parts.
Look for the Southern League to be a nice place for Mock to break out in next
year, possibly even surpassing the numbers put up by Dustin Nippert. And in no
time, he should pass Nippert in the organization's eyes, if he isn't already.