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16. Conor Jackson - 1B - Arizona Diamondbacks - 24 (MLB)
Introduction: If I've already accepted that Howie Kendrick has the minors'
best contact skills, than Conor Jackson is undoubtedly in second place. A
former first-round pick from California, Jackson now has just 156 career
strikeouts in 1159 total at-bats. Mind you that 85 of those at-bats came at
the Major League level this year, in which Jackson got his first cup of coffee.
However, the July experiment to implement him in the lineup proved to be a
failure, as Jackson mixed bad BABIP luck (.205) with a lack of power.
Considering how good Tony Clark was playing, the team sent Jackson back down
to the minors, promising to give him another shot in 2006.
Skillset/Future: Jackson's contact skills make him the player he is, and as a
result, will rely heavily on a good BABIP. However, when the batting average
isn't treating him well, look for Conor to start drawing walks to keep his OBP
high. Few minor leaguers have a better batting eye. But the real worry with
Jackson is not his OBP, but his slugging, especially since moving to the first
base position. Jackson has just 33 home runs since becoming a pro player,
spanning about two Major League seasons. At that rate, he'll have to hit a lot
of doubles and draw a ton of walks. That's a lot of pressure. However, I
eventually expect him to succeed -- as sort of a right-handed Lyle Overbay
(without the defense) -- if not in 2006, as Clark will suck out more than a
few at-bats.
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