WTNY Midseason 75 (Top Tier)
By Bryan Smith
http://baseballanalysts.com/archives/2006/07/wtny_midseason_4.php
5. Justin Upton, of: Diamondbacks (A-)
Watching Upton in person, the top overall pick from last year exudes an aura
that doesn't usually follow teenagers. The aura was first evident in Spring
Training, when Upton's build and bat were enough to hold his own in big league
camp. He shined on the national stage, saving what some would call his best
Cactus League game for a contest against the White Sox on WGN. Now far from
the big stage, Upton is struggling a bit, but in seeing him, it's obvious
there is more than the numbers tell us. Upton will come around, if not at the
pace I thought, and when he does, sparks will fly.
6. Stephen Drew, ss: Diamondbacks (AAA)
If Drew began the season in the Arizona batting order, it would have surprised
no one had he separated himself from the NL Rookie of the Year pack. Instead,
the Diamondbacks chose the cautious route with their young shortstop,
maintaining another year of mediocrity from the position for the betterment
of their future. Good decision. Drew has progressed as expected in AAA, and he
is on the right timetable to make a splash next season. A gifted offensive
player, Drew has even more to show than what he has since signing in pro
baseball.
14. Carlos Quentin, of: Diamondbacks (AAA)
At this point, the fact that Quentin has not been given an extended trial in
the big leagues is discouraging. In the winter, we asked what would by so
wrong about Andy Marte to make two (good) organizations trade him. Now, Quentin
is bringing up similar questions. Why are the D-Backs so reluctant to give
Quentin the keys? At this point, the outfielder has shown patience (while
continuing his high HBP totals), a very good contact rate and gap power.
Quentin has polish all over his bat, and soon, teams
will have to truly investigate what Arizona's asking price is on their #3
prospect.
16. Chris Young, of: Diamondbacks (AAA)
Undervalued before the 2005 season, I thought Young started to become
overvalued this winter. He hit for power well, steals bases and plays
very good defense, but batting average is a substantial limiting factor.
With that being said, Young has struck out in just 18.3% of his at-bats
this season, a very positive number. Look for Young's .282 BABIP to improve
in the second half, and with it, his batting average. While we'd like it for
Young to be showing more on the bases to call him a five tool talent, giving
him credit for the "Hitting for Contact" tool is a big step in the right
direction.
20. Carlos Gonzalez, of: Diamondbacks (A+)
The Diamondbacks have five prospects ranked higher than the top prospect of
19 organizations. Now really, is there any doubting that (scouting director)
Mike Rizzo deserves a GM job somewhere? Gonzalez is not the best bet for
success (Quentin) or player with the highest ceiling (Upton) in the
organization, but he scores well in both categories. After hitting for solid
power in the Midwest League last year, his huge slugging numbers in Lancaster
should not come as a surprise. Gonzalez is better than the player he was last
year, and not quite the player his numbers suggest currently. But with a few
more walks and less strikeouts, the latter could very well change.
Part Two, with 24-75, coming tomorrow...
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※ 編輯: Rioss 來自: 219.70.17.38 (07/11 23:09)