[農場] 2013 Dodgers Top 20 Prospects

[Sheffield3 (霸氣王牌陳鴻文)]

Los Angeles Dodgers Top 20 Prospects for 2013

http://0rz.tw/XnIw9

John Sickels on Jan 3

以下簡短翻

1) Yasiel Puig, OF, Grade B+: Considerable risk given small sample size, but
I can understand what the Dodgers see in the Cuban slugger: enormous power,
speed, and overall tools that looked very good in his brief North American
debut. I'll buy into it.

雖然只是小樣本，但可以看出躲人是看上他的哪些優點，有力量有速度，各方面都很
全面的三拍子，Dodgers farm system top 1 prospect.

2) Corey Seager, SS-3B, Grade B+: One of the best high school players in the
2012 draft, played well in the Pioneer League, projects as a better version
of his older brother Kyle. Likely to end up at third base but has the bat to
stick there.

去年選秀會上最好的幾個高中生之一，新人年有一個很好的起步，預期可能是比他老
哥Kyle Seager更強的版本，未來應該會轉3B.

3) Joc Pederson, OF, Grade B: Borderline B+. Many Cal League observers liked
him better than teammate Zach Lee, who gets more press. Pederson has solid
tools and terrific instincts, hit very well against older competition at age
20. Projects as a solid regular outfielder and perhaps more.

許多關注Cal Lg的人都認為他是比Zach Lee更好的新秀，有很好的tool而且才20歲
未來預估能長成先發球員或者更好。

4) Zach Lee, RHP, Grade B: Some of his press clippings imply that he's a
future ace, but both the scouting reports and sabermetrics project him as
more of a number three or four starter, not that there's anything wrong with
that. Good command of decent stuff, has been young for his levels and pushed
quickly.

不會是Ace, 比較可能是個#3-4 SP, 好的command跟不錯的stuff, 年輕且升得快。

5) Hyun-Jin Ryu, LHP, Grade B-: Borderline B. This is honestly a wild guess,
I really don't how to rank him. He pitched great in Korea, but what level of
competition is that? Single-A? Double-A? Hard to say. He looks good on video.
Scouting reports are ambiguously if vaguely positive. Some sources say he
works in the upper-80s, some say he touches 95. Everyone says he has a good
changeup and throws strikes, but reports on breaking stuff vary from average
to above average. He could be Rookie of the Year, a mediocre number five
starter, or an expensive failure. Follow spring training reports very closely.

很謎樣的投手，價值難以評估，在KBO很殺但聯盟水準未知，在影片上看起來很不錯
均速在high 80's 有些scout說他能摸到95, 大家都說他的changeup很好，球探報告
對他breaking stuff的評價從平均到高於平均都有，有拿ROY的潛力，也可能是個平
凡的#5或是個昂貴的浪費。

6) Onelki Garcia, LHP, Grade B-: Borderline B. Cuban defector looks very good
in the early going, but like Ryu I am not sure how to rank him given his
unusual background. He could turn into a very strong starting pitcher, or
perhaps a power reliever if his changeup is an issue.

古巴叛逃的左投手，跟柳胖一樣難估，可能會是個很好的SP, 如果他的changeup不
好則可能是個power RP.

7) Matt Magill, RHP, Grade B-: Borderline C+: Very underrated pitcher with
solid stuff, strong performance record, chance to be a number three or four
starter. Will need to sharpen command as he moves up to difficult Albuquerque
environment.

非常被低估的投手，有好的stuff跟成績，有機會成為#3-4 SP, command需加強。

8) Chris Reed, LHP, Grade C+: Borderline B-. Scouting reports are better than
the stats, which were not great thanks to wobbly command and nagging injuries
in Double-A. At his best, throws mid-90s heat and a good slider, but both
velocity and secondary pitches are inconsistent.

被高估的投手，狀況好時能丟到mid-90s, 有好的slider, 但command跟球路穩定性
不佳並遇到傷病問題。

9) Chris Withrow, RHP, Grade C+: I still like his arm strength and he seemed
more comfortable in relief, where he can just come in and throw hard for an
inning or two. Absolutely must improve his command to survive in Albuquerque.

連四年卡關AA, 有很棒的手臂但還是丟不出好球，去年已轉RP

10) Ross Stripling, RHP, Grade C+: From this point on, there are about 30
different ways you can order the C+ guys. I want to draw attention to
Stripling, who was one of the best pitchers in recent Big 12 history, then
saw his velocity spike in pro ball, from 88-91 at Texas A&M up to 92-94 in
the Pioneer League. Given that he already has a strong curveball, solid
changeup, outstanding command, and excellent makeup, any sustained velocity
increase will result in a dramatic improvement in his prospect status.

農場中的隱玉，速球從88-91進步到92-94, 有很棒的curveball, changeup與心智成
熟度，如果能再把速度往上加他會是個很大的驚喜。

11) Tim Federowicz, C, Grade C+: I've never been too wild about Federowicz,
but I'm coming around. His glovework is very impressive, and while his
Albuquerque stats (.294/.371/.461) can't be taken too seriously given the
environment, he should produce just enough offense to hold a job.

FedEx有很好的手套，棒子能不能有基本的產出是能否站穩major關鍵。

12) Jesmuel Valentin, SS-2B, Grade C+: Hit just .211 in rookie ball, but with
excellent plate discipline, shows power potential, and has major league
bloodlines being the son of Jose Valentin.

Jose Valentin的兒子，雖然在Rk只有 .211 BA, 但展現出了很好的本壘板紀律跟一
些power潛力。

13) Paco Rodriguez, LHP, Grade C+: First 2012 draftee to make the majors and
could stay there for the next decade or longer as a terrific LOOGY/short man.
Extremely deceptive and has the potential to close games if his command
against right-handed hitters stays sharp enough.

去年選秀會最快上major的新人，優秀的loogy，加強面對右打者時的command有關門
的潛力。

14) Alex Castellanos, OF-INF, Grade C+: Older prospect at age 26, but seems
like a perfect bench player with defensive versatility, touches of power and
speed.

以prospect標準來說他已經太老，不過能守多個位子、有一些pw跟速度，會是個很好
的板凳球員。

15) Stephen Ames, RHP, Grade C+: Middle relief candidate added to 40-man
roster, shuts down right-handers with fastball/slider combination, should be
ready for trial in 2013.

被躲人放進40人的免洗牛，靠fastball/slider殺右打者，預計今年能上major

16) Rob Rasmussen, LHP, Grade C+: Acquired from Astros for John Ely. I like
him better than the stats say I should, feeling that his stuff moves well and
that even a minor command enhancement could make him a workable fourth
starter. Could also slot in bullpen.

囧Ely換回的左投，不錯的stuff, 加強command能讓他有機會當個#4 也能擺在牛棚。

17) Garrett Gould, RHP, Grade C+: The Cal League will punish anyone with
sloppy location high in the strike zone, resulting in 19 homers and 5.75 ERA.
Still has fastball/curveball/changeup combo to be a fourth starter if his
location improves.

Cal Lg會把所有球路偏高的投手打到吃屎，Gould被幹了19發，有不錯的fastball/
curveball/changeup, 如果加強控球還是有機會當個#4

18) Darnell Sweeney, SS, Grade C+: Borderline C. Interesting 13th round 2012
draftee from University of Central Florida showed speed and more pop than
expected in pro ball, has a chance to stick at shortstop. Sleeper prospect
that I like.

去年13輪的新秀SS，沙礫中的珍珠，隱玉一枚。

19) Jeremy Rathjen, OF, Grade C+: Borderline C. Another 2012 draftee, 11th
rounder out of Rice, tore up Pioneer League (.324/.445/.500, 48 walks, 16
steals). Negative is age at 22, however, he is NOT some bulky masher with no
tools chewing up young pitching. He is a very good athlete with speed and
real power whose college career was slowed by injuries but who is now
healthy. Scouts compare him to Corey Hart due to 6-6, 190 pound build and
similar athleticism.

去年的11輪，有很好的身體素質，不是只能欺負年輕投手的假貨，有power, speed
但22歲才從Rk起步太晚了。

20) Zach Bird, RHP, Grade C: Borderline C+. Another interesting sleeper from
'12 draft, showed 90+ heat and good curveball in rookie ball along with
projectable build, athleticism. Potential bargain as ninth round pick, could
shoot up the list.

去年第九輪，90+的速度跟很好的curveball, 長得好的話評價會上升得很快。

OTHERS: James Baldwin, OF; Zach Bird, RHP; Jharel Cotton, RHP; Bobby Coyle,
OF; O'Koyea Dickson, 1B; Jose Dominguez, RHP; Eric Eadington, LHP; Stephen
Fife, RHP; Yimi Garcia, RHP; Scott Griggs, RHP; Aaron Miller, LHP; Angel
Sanchez ,RHP; Alex Santana, 3B; Andres Santiago, RHP; Javier Solano, RHP;
Blake Smith, OF; Miguel Sulbaran, LHP; Julio Urias, LHP; Jesus Valdez, 1B-OF;
Scott Van Slyke, OF; Duke von Schamann, RHP.

The Dodgers system has been thin for awhile, but with the recent infusion of
money it is turning around quickly. It has never been a question of
competence for Logan White and his staff: it has always been an issue of
resources. Give these guys some money to work with, and they will find
players. We will have to see if the expensive investments in Yasiel Puig and
Hyun-Jin Ryu are worthwhile, but the early returns in Puig, at least, are
positive.

Although I don't buy into any propaganda about Zach Lee being a potential
ace, he's certainly a good prospect and there is pitching depth behind him.
There is considerable material for a potential bullpen and several plausible
back-of-rotation starters. Performance has not always matched potential
(Reed, Withrow, Gould, Aaron Miller) but there are interesting arms behind
them who can take their place if the older guard doesn't get things going. I
like Stripling a lot, and fellow 2012 draftee Zach Bird looks quite
interesting, as does Jharel Cotton, a 20th round pick from East Carolina who
started throwing in the mid-90s with good command after the draft. Big
sleeper.

On the hitting side, Corey Seager and Joc Pederson both project as regulars
alongside potential superstar Puig. The Cuban could also bust of course for
I'm opting for optimism right now. There are several guys who could develop
into useful role players, beginning with Federowicz and Castellanos at the
upper levels. Although the Dodgers are often youth-oriented in their
drafting, they find some potential college gems as well. Rathjen and Sweeney
look like nice finds from 2012.

Overall, this organization has improved rapidly over the last 18 months and
should continue to do so now that the staff has some cash to work with.

--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 101.13.222.229
→ Sheffield3:簡單總結一下，有機會成為All-Star的就Puig, Seager
推 WSnipes:經過6、7月的補強，農場比上一季好看太多了...
→ Sheffield3:Seager, Pederson長成先發球員等級的機率比較高
→ Sheffield3:Z.Lee #3-4 (評價終於跌了，之前算overrated)
→ Sheffield3:柳胖比較難估但算輪值料，再下面的不是太低階就是有一
→ Sheffield3:些需要解決的大缺點，在長出來之前不用太期待XD
→ Sheffield3:其實看到Withrow, Gould, FedEx, Castellanos還在榜上
→ Sheffield3:就知道濃場深度還是有點悲劇XD
※ 編輯: Sheffield3      來自: 101.13.222.229       (01/07 16:39)
→ Sheffield3:不過有錢有心都不是問題，反正現在對高階農場需求不高
→ Sheffield3:怕有人扯後腿亂搞而已..
推 WSnipes:總歸來說，去年的選秀選得很好...White又重回以天分為主的
→ WSnipes:高中選秀策略...而且球團肯砸錢，也讓他有可以施展拳腳的
→ WSnipes:地方...前兩年根本是巧婦難為無米之炊，再加上科麗緹這敗
→ WSnipes:家子...已經夠窮了還繼續賣家產...
推 Ryaa:好加在窮的只剩下錢