Re: [討論] 短打

[Herlin (as you like it)]

※ 引述《henry0405 (I'm ok!)》之銘言：
: → penny31029:2壘有人要被雙殺算倒楣吧...               推  211.74.182.44 03/31
: → LCPallpass:那三振呢?                                推140.112.243.166 03/31



   設打擊率0.25, 出局但推進機率0.2
   得分機率:

   點:

   0.45 + 0.75*0.25 = 0.6375


   不點:

   0.25 + 0.2*0.6375 + 0.55*(1-0.75*0.75)

   = 0.618125


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