推 creep1894:艾德華茲退選了 感覺票好像會流向希拉蕊 01/31 15:10
Clinton陣營企圖把Obama打成candidate for black的選戰策略
有效果嗎?Obama在S.C的大勝會引起白人選民的恐慌嗎?Survey USA
在1/27號於加州這樣的民調似乎不支持這樣的觀察.Clinton在十二
月初在白人選民中領先Obama25%,現在只剩下2%(43:41).這種結果
似乎支持另一種觀察,政治手腕高超的Clinton夫婦的挑撥策略不
但沒有成功,反而甚至在白人選民中激起反感,反而跟著Ted Kennedy
站出來支持Obama.如果這個驅勢一直持續到2/5的話,或許
可以說明白人選民並不是那麼愚蠢,這麼容易就被惡質的選戰
手法操弄.
不過Oklahoma又是另一番景象了,在那裡Obama還輸給Edwards.
先前在S.C也發生Obama白人選民支持度縮水的現象.跟加州
相比較,或許保守南方白人民主黨選民比較容易受族群操弄
所左右.
http://0rz.tw/523E9
Democratic Candidate CA OK
Pollster SUSA SUSA
Date 1/27 1/27
Hillary Clinton 49% 44%
Barack Obama 38% 19%
John Edwards 9% 27%
Other(vol.) 4% 9%
According to the Democratic California poll by Survey USA:
Compared to SurveyUSA's most recent CA poll released two weeks ago, before
Obama's South Carolina win, Hillary Clinton is down 1 point, Obama is up 3
points, and John Edwards, who finishes today at 9%, is down 1 point. In
October, Clinton led Obama by 37 points; today, it's 11 points. Obama today
leads among men by 11 points; Clinton leads among women by 30 points -- a
41-point Gender Gap. Clinton today takes 43% of the white vote; Obama takes
41, a virtual tie, and significant in that Clinton led among white voters by
25 points at the beginning of December.
According to the Democratic Oklahoma poll by Survey USA:
Results are virtually unchanged from those of an identical SurveyUSA poll
conducted two weeks ago. Clinton leads by 39 points among women; Edwards
leads by 7 points among men -- a 46 point gender gap. By more than 2:1,
Oklahoma likely Democratic primary voters say the economy is the issue the
the next president should focus on ahead of all overs; among the voters
choosing the economy as the most important issue, Clinton leads Edwards by
22. Among those who say Iraq is the most important issue, Clinton leads by
15.
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※ 編輯: swallow73 來自: 122.127.71.45 (01/31 02:50)
※ 編輯: swallow73 來自: 122.127.71.45 (01/31 02:54)