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Exit Poll: National
17,834 Respondents Full National President Exit Polls | All Exit Polls
Exit polls are surveys of a small percentage of voters taken after they leave
their voting place. Pollsters use this data to project how all voters or
segments of voters side on a particular race or ballot measure.
Obama McCain Other/No Answer
Vote by Sex Male (47%) 49% 48% 3%
Female (53%) 56% 43% 1%
Vote by Age 18-29 (18%) 66% 31% 3%
30-44 (29%) 53% 46% 1%
45-64 (37%) 50% 49% 1%
65 and Older (16%) 45% 53% 2%
http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/president/
full exit polls:
http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls/#USP00p1
Exit polls: How Obama won
By DAVID PAUL KUHN | 11/5/08 12:27 AM EST Text Size:
Barack Obama, who’ll be the nation’s first African-American president, won
the largest share of white support of any Democrat in a two-man race since
1976 amid a backdrop of economic anxiety unseen in at least a quarter
century, according to exit polls by The Associated Press and the major
television networks.
Obama became the first Democrat to also win a majority since Jimmy Carter
with the near unanimous backing of blacks, the overwhelming support of youth
as well as significant inroads with white men and strong support among
Hispanics and educated voters.
The Illinois senator won 43 percent of white voters, 4 percentage points
below Carter’s performance in 1976 and equal to what Bill Clinton won in the
three-man race of 1996. Republican John McCain won 55 percent of the white
vote.
Fully 96 percent of black voters supported Obama and constituted 13 percent
of the electorate, a 2-percentage point rise in their national turnout. As in
past years, black women turned out at a higher rate than black men.
A stunning 54 percent of young white voters supported Obama, compared to 44
percent who went for McCain, the senator from Arizona. In the past three
decades, no Democratic presidential nominee has won more than 45 percent of
young whites.
It also appears youth turnout rose 1 point since 2004, to constitute 18
percent of the electorate.
McCain won a majority of every other age of white voters, which appeared to
limit Obama’s reach into many traditionally Republican states.
Obama performed slightly worse with white women, 39 percent of voters, than
Al Gore did in 2000. McCain won the votes of white women, 53 to 46 percent,
perhaps an indication of the historical candidacy of his running mate, Sarah
Palin, the governor of Alaska.
Obama compensated for the drop-off in white female support with the strong 41
percent support from white men. No Democrat since Carter had until Tuesday’s
election earned more than 38 percent of the white male vote.
In 2000, white women split between the two parties while Republicans won
white men by 24 percentage points. That white male gap was dramatically
narrowed Tuesday to 16 points, a trend that began with the financial crisis,
and one that allowed Obama to split the male vote overall.
McCain won only 57 percent of the votes of white men, who were again 36
percent of the electorate.
White college graduates, 35 percent of voters, broke for McCain 51 to 47
percent, marking roughly a 3-point gain for Obama compared to Gore’s 44
percent showing.
Obama performed at a similar level as Gore with working-class whites, earning
40 percent of their support to McCain’s 59 percent, which is roughly similar
to George W. Bush’s performance in 2000 and 2004.
Obama’s victory also stretched into other key blocs won by Bush four years
ago. Suburban voters, who were half of the electorate, split between Obama
and McCain. Rural voters, who went for Bush by 19 points in 2004, leaned to
McCain by 8 points. And married voters, who went to Bush by 15 points, leaned
to McCain by 6 this year.
Hispanics, who as in 2004 were 8 percent of voters, went for Obama by more
than 2-to1, 67 percent to 30 percent. That marks roughly a 10-point drop off
in Republican Hispanic support, compared to Bush’s performance in 2004.
Obama also won 84 percent of those Democrats who backed New York Sen. Hillary
Rodham Clinton in the hard-fought presidential primaries.
White independents, a fifth of voters, roughly split between the major party
candidates, which has not occurred in a two-man race in three decades. It was
McCain’s support that was down compared to Bush in 2004, no small referendum
on his effort to campaign as the “maverick.” Obama earned the same level of
support as Democrat John F. Kerry in 2004 – 47 percent.
On the major issues, 63 percent of voters said the economy was the most
important, six times more than cited the war in Iraq (10 percent), health
care (9 percent), terrorism (9 percent) or energy (7 percent).
Not since 1980, in the shadow of a gas crisis and stagflation, did the
economy dominate voters concerns as it did Tuesday. Back then, almost seven
in 10 voters named either the economy or inflation, jobs and unemployment or
balancing the federal budget as the top issue on their minds.
In 2004, only 20 percent of voters cited the economy, while 22 percent cited
moral values, 19 percent terrorism and 15 percent Iraq. In 2000 as well, the
economy/jobs, taxes, education, social security and world affairs all carried
roughly equal weight among the voters.
This marked issue contrast in four years explains, in large part, why Obama
came into Election Day the strong favorite, both in national and state
polling. Voters have seen Obama throughout most of the general election
campaign as the more capable steward of the economy.
Nearly all voters agreed the economy was in poor shape. Eight in 10 said they
were worried the economic crisis would harm their family’s future, while
about half said they were “very worried.”
At least four in 10 said their family's financial situation worsened since
2004. And a stunning two-thirds expressed concern about affording health care.
More than a third of voters said the quality that mattered most in their
candidate was the capacity to bring about change in Washington.
For McCain, who maintained his edge in the public’s view as the stronger
candidate on national security issues, the utter dominance of economic issues
overwhelmed his campaign.
About seven in 10 voters said they were worried about another domestic
terrorist attack – about the same level of anxiety as in 2004 – and they
leaned to McCain. But less than half as many voters this year named terrorism
as their top issue, compared to four years ago
Fully 86 percent of those who said terrorism was the top issue voted for
McCain – but they barely constituted a tenth of the electorate.
The issue shift, though, was not the only factor behind the poor political
environment for Republicans this year.
The public exhibited remarkably high, though not surprising, displeasure with
the political status quo. Roughly three in four voters disapproved of the
White House and Congress. Three in four voters saw the country on the wrong
track, about 25 percent more than four years ago.
About a quarter of exit poll respondents approved of Bush’s job performance,
where about half did four years ago. As this year, half of voters said they
"strongly disapproved" of Bush and about eight in ten of those voters backed
Obama.
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1108/15297_Page2.html
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