→ yellowshoes:願馬克思及玻瓦利在天之靈保祐老查 12/10 18:18
※ 編輯: ncyc 來自: 114.32.131.92 (12/14 12:03)
雨果．查維茲在公開的發布會證實腫瘤三度復發，必須前往古巴進行手術。雖然
沒有公布詳細病情，但請求委內瑞拉公眾與支持者在他無法執政的情況下，能夠
團結於他長期的副手、副總統Nicolas Maduro左右。
查維茲於今年十月二度連任，預定明年一月宣示就職。此一新聞的傳開，觀察家
認為該國可能很快就要進入不安定期。
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-12-09/venezuela-s-chavez-says-
he-needs-more-cancer-surgery-in-cuba-1-.html
Chavez Names Loyalist Heir as Venezuela Eyes Succession
By Charlie Devereux - Dec 10, 2012 12:30 PM GMT+0800
Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez named a longtime ally with close ties to
Cuba his heir apparent as the cancer-stricken leader prepares for a potential
departure after almost 14 years in power.
Chavez, in a nationwide address over the weekend, said he was throwing his “
irrevocable, absolute” support behind Vice President Nicolas Maduro to lead
his 21st century socialist revolution should he be unable to carry out his
duties. Chavez made the comments as he prepared to fly to Cuba for surgery,
his fourth in 18 months, to treat an undisclosed form of cancer that he said
reappeared in exams after winning re-election Oct. 7.
Maduro, a former bus driver and union leader, has been one of Chavez’s
closest civilian allies since the then tank commander first attracted
national attention by leading a failed 1992 coup. While the president’s
endorsement carries weight with Chavez’s base among the poor, a succession
battle involving the more business-friendly, military wing of his movement
and against a revitalized opposition is only beginning as the strongman’s
grip on power weakens.
“In the short-term, Maduro is empowered but we don’t know what will happen
afterwards,” Luis Vicente Leon, president of Caracas-based polling firm
Datanalisis, said in a telephone interview. “It’s one thing for Chavez,
alive and in power, to exorcize internal arguments, but we’ll have to see
how the infighting can be covered up without him there.”
Call for Unity
Maduro, 50, is one of Chavez’s longest-serving aides, having been the
president of the National Assembly before becoming Foreign Minister in 2006.
As Venezuela’s top diplomat, he traveled frequently to Cuba while building
Chavez’s anti- American alliance with countries including Iran and
Nicaragua. He continues to hold that post even after Chavez named him his
vice president following his larger-than-expected victory over opposition
presidential candidate Henrique Capriles Radonski.
“It’s my firm opinion, clear like a full moon, irrevocable, absolute,
total, that in a scenario that would oblige new presidential elections that
you should elect Nicolas Maduro,” Chavez said Dec. 8, while calling upon
Venezuelans to show “unity, unity, unity” in the days and weeks ahead.
While the 58-year-old Chavez didn’t reveal any plans to cede power,
investors are increasingly convinced he will. Yields on the dollar debt of
South America’s biggest oil producer fell to 9.4 percent on Dec. 6, the
lowest since February 2008, as investors bet a change in government would
augur a reversal of nationalizations and currency and price controls that
have stoked 18 percent inflation and driven away investment.
Chavismo Rival
In addition to Capriles, who was favored to defeat any pro- government
candidate in polls taken earlier this year, Maduro also faces a potential
challenge from another key Chavez ally: National Assembly President Diosdado
Cabello. A former lieutenant who fought alongside Chavez in the 1992 army
rebellion against then-President Carlos Andres Perez, the 49- year-old is in
line to become caretaker president should Chavez fail to take the oath for a
third, six-year term on Jan. 10. Under the constitution, he’d have 30 days
to hold elections.
Chavez’s decision to break a 21-day silence and return last week from Cuba,
where he’s been undergoing hyperbaric oxygen therapy, may have been prompted
by a need to rein in Cabello, said Vladimir Villegas, who served as Maduro’s
deputy foreign minister between 2006 and 2007 before leaving the government
in protest over Chavez’s policies.
Cabello’s military connections afford him “a lot of power although he’s
more feared than loved both within and outside the government,” Villegas,
who writes a column for the Caracas- based daily El Nacional, said in phone
interview.
Threat of Violence
In a sign of unity, Cabello sat next to Chavez and Maduro as the president
announced his endorsement over the weekend. Still, underscoring how messy any
succession battle could become in the polarized country, he held out the
prospect of violence should Chavez step down.
“Even the opposition should be praying that Chavez gets better,” Cabello
said on state television after Chavez’s address. “He is the guarantee of
peace in the country.”
Thousands of Chavez supporters gathered in squares across Caracas yesterday
to pray for their president as he prepares to leave for Cuba, while leaders
across the political spectrum in Latin America sent message wishing him a
quick recovery. Of the 100 or so people gathered at Plaza Bolivar downtown,
most said they would support Maduro if the president’s health forces him to
step down. Chavez has reduced his public appearances since being re-elected,
fueling rumors that his health was worse than he was letting on after he
claimed during the campaign he was “totally free” of cancer.
“If Chavez said it’s Maduro then that’s the order,” said Orlando Herrera,
a 66-year-old retired bus driver carrying a cardboard sign with an image of
Chavez and the slogan “Onward, Comandante.” “Whatever he says, that’s
what we desire.”
Opposition Chances
Chavez’s decision to name a successor also increases the importance of
regional elections Dec. 16, where the man Maduro replaced as vice president,
Elias Jaua, is pitted against Capriles for the governorship of Miranda state.
A win for Capriles would boost his chances of holding together an unruly
anti-Chavez alliance and mounting a successful presidential bid, while a
defeat would be “disastrous” for the opposition’s chances, said Leon.
Polls before this weekend’s announcement showed mixed results, with one
taken Nov. 21 to 26 by Caracas-based polling companying Ivad predicting a
landslide win for Capriles and another taken this month by Hinterlaces
favoring Jaua by 49 percent to 44 percent.
Capriles, while wishing Chavez a swift recovery yesterday, questioned his
decision to name a would-be replacement.
“Venezuela doesn’t have succession,” Capriles, 40, said in comments
broadcast on Globovision. “This is not Cuba nor is it a monarchy that has a
king. Here in Venezuela, when someone leaves a position, the people get the
last word.”
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