Re: [外絮] Revisiting Lin vs. Felton decision

[puppetsgame (puppetsgame)]

(可能需要修正的部份)

At the same time, as the chart shows, the Rockets were making the opposite
transformation, with Lin as one of the leaders. As Houston has figured out
how to utilize both Harden and Lin, the Rockets' offense has gone from
solidly above average in November to elite. Lin's own statistics, as measured
by wins above replacement, have seen a similar boost.

同時，如同圖表所顯示，以 Lin 作為球隊領導者的火箭，卻（與尼克）有著相反
的改變。由於火箭已經找到「如何同時使用 Harden 跟 Lin 的方法」（真的？），
火箭的進攻表現，從十一月的穩定高於平均，變成聯盟中的頂尖球隊。即使是 Lin
自己的數據：WARP，也有同樣的進步。

（WARP，Wins Above Replacement Player，借用於棒球的統計數據，中文似乎尚未
有比較妥當的翻譯；意指：球員比「假設該球員的位置，被聯盟平均成績的球員所
取代」，能為球隊帶來更多多少的勝場數）


Fears that the crosstown rival Brooklyn Nets will come back to win the
Atlantic Division are probably overstated. While the Nets have climbed within
two games in the standings, their point differential is barely better than
.500, suggesting they're likely to regress somewhat the rest of the way. The
same is true of the Atlanta Hawks, who sit fifth, leaving only the Chicago
Bulls with a healthy Derrick Rose as a serious threat to the Knicks'
top-three seed.

對「尼克可能被鄰居籃網後來居上，取得分區冠軍」的恐懼，恐怕是被高估了。
雖然籃網的戰績已經爬升到，僅落後尼克一場勝差，但籃網的「團隊得失分差」
僅僅略高於 0.5（譯註：現在的數據是二點多吧？），表示在剩餘的賽程裡，他
們的成績慢慢下滑的機率是比較高的。目前東區第五的老鷹也是同樣的狀況，所
以除非公牛有個健康的 Rose，沒有什麼球隊能夠嚴重威脅尼克東區第三的地位。


The funny thing is Lin's 2012-13 stat line is relatively similar in many ways
to what he did last year in New York. His effective field goal percentage,
for example, is an identical .478. The difference in Lin's offense is
entirely a matter of volume. He's down from using 28.1 percent of the Knicks'
plays to 20 percent of Houston's, putting him precisely at the typical
figure, and his assist rate has dropped by almost a third. Lin's overall
performance, All-Star caliber in 2011-12's limited sample, is slightly below
league average this season. That's a more sustainable level of play.


有趣的是： Lin 在 2012-13 球季的數據，在許多方面上與他去年在紐約的成績類似。
他的有效命中率與去年相同：0.478；今年與去年的成績差異，完全在於球權。Lin
從去年在紐約的 28.1% 使用率，今年恰好降低到標準的20%（譯註：聯盟先發控衛平
均值），而助攻數則降低將近三分之一。

Lin 在 2011-12 的小樣本空間裡，打出了全明星等級的數據，本季降到略低於聯盟
平均；這會是個比較能夠維持住而不下滑的數字。


We're also comparing these players as they are now, not as they will be at
the end of the three-year contract Houston gave Lin. While Felton, 28, is
likely to be about the same player at that point if not take a slight step
backward, the 24-year-old Lin still has room to grow as an outside shooter
and playmaker.


我們比較的是 Lin v.s. Felton 今年的成績，而非 Lin 三年約滿後的成績；今年
28歲的 Felton 在三年後，表現大概就是現在這個樣子了（或許還會稍微退步一點）
，但 24 歲的 Lin 在外線投籃與控場這些方面，卻還有進步的空間。

--
大致上就是這些；原翻譯辛苦了。 :)

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