推 TERRIST:感恩!! 02/05 11:17
推 siouxie:耶﹖這家可能也是統媒~ 02/05 12:36
推 vvbird:比較好奇的是有沒有這篇文章的網址? 02/05 13:00
Serious fallout from Taiwan President Chen's New Years speech has now
hit...President Bush has been briefed on Chen's remarks Sunday that he was
"considering" abolishing the National Unification Council, that it was time
to press for Taiwan, under that name, to be admitted to the United Nations,
and that he might also seek to amend the Constitution prior to the 2008
presidential election (on Taiwan, as in the US).
Chen had previously promised not to call for ANY of these things, since, the
US had assumed, Chen had "learned his lesson" from 2003. That's when similar
remarks threatened US-China relations at a time when the White House was, as
it still is, defining most foreign policy through the prism of how it affects
cooperation in the war on terrorism, and specifically with China, resolving
the nuclear crisis with North Korea.
So when you add in the absolutely central role China, with Russia, is now
playing in keeping Iran from escalating to a possible military crisis in the
Middle East, and you can see why there is absolutely no inclination by Bush
or the National Security Council to sympathize with Chen's personal political
issues.
Currently, it is clearly the US view that all three of Chen's Sunday remarks,
while conditional, would constitute a unilateral change in the status quo
which keeps the often tense peace between China and Taiwan, and thus adds an
unacceptable risk to US-China cooperation on "larger issues". While it can
be argued that Chen was basically indulging in very domestic Taiwan-focused
politicking, the Administration is not buying that, although they have asked
for clarification, sources indicate.
For all of these reasons, then, President Bush is said to be "personally
furious", along the lines of "he did it AGAIN, after what happened last time?"
"The last time", Bush ended up feeling he had no choice but to write a stern
personal letter to Chen reminding him of the facts of life...a humiliating
move which was followed up by Taiwan's worst nightmare...Bush stood next to
then-Premier of China Wen, and repeated his opposition to Taiwan
independence, and any unilateral threats to the status quo.
Now Taiwan faces a repeat of this, up to and including the threat of Bush
standing next to President Hu Jin-tao, when he arrives in April, and making
similar remarks.
Observers report Taiwanese diplomats today seeking guidance from both the NSC
and State on what will calm the waters, but it does not sound like the US
side is making things easy for them. In addition to demanding a background
explanation for the domestic political context, the US wants to hear Chen
himself repeat his promises NOT to do the things he discussed Sunday.
In the often arcane catechism of Cross Strait "dialogue", Chen will be
expected to repeat "The Four Noes"...specific things he and Taiwan will not
do.
While Chen, by now, can see the gravity of this situation, concerned
observers worry that his basic focus on legacy, and holding off the KMT in
the 2008 elections, makes it by no means predictable that he can bring
himself to "satisfy" the US (and Chinese?) demands this time.
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