作者RonArtest93 (新阿泰)
看板Kings
標題[外電] 爸爸 人家想要all star !
時間Tue Apr 28 00:24:02 2009
國外鄉民的文章 蠻有意思的
http://www.sactownroyalty.com/2009/4/23/851177/daddy-where-do-all-stars-come
So I'm sitting here in my office tonight, watching someone else's team play
basketball because my team was put on furlough Friday (and Saturday through
Thursday) for the next several months. Stupid economy.
所以 我現在只能眼睜睜看著其他球隊開心的打著季後賽 因為我支持的球隊
放
假
了
As I watched the games tonight, I came to the realization that there were
quite a few 2009 NBA all stars playing. In fact, 7 of the 26 players that
were named to the NBA all star team this year (including those that were
injured and their ultimate replacements) were playing tonight (it would have
been 8 with KG). It got me wondering as to how many all stars made the
playoffs. The answer turned out to be 23 out of 26. Devin Harris, Amare
Stoudemire and Shaquille O'Neal are the only all stars from this year's team
currently fishing. Conversely, three teams are in the playoffs with no all
stars - Philadelphia, Chicago and Utah, though I would bet that Derrick Rose,
Andre Iguodala and Deron Williams will playing in an all star game sooner
than later.
看了這些比賽 我忽然理解到 這些傢伙好像都曾經在明星賽中出現過 事實上
今年26位明星球員中 有七位將在今晚出賽 (包括KG將有8位)
我開始問我自己 有多少今年的明星球員有打今年的季後賽? 答案是26位中有23位
除了 俠客 阿罵 HARRIS之外 人人都有季後賽可打
當然 有些球隊並沒有今年的明星賽球員 像猶他 公牛 七六人
但他們的主將 小AI 小胖DW 玫瑰狀元 也即將在未來會成為明星賽常客
The next question posed was "Why in the hell are you in the office typing and
watching basketball? The Kings aren't in the playoffs!" Ah, I can always
count on Mrs. section214 for spot-on analysis. But the question that I asked
myself (besides how long I could make this post before I wind up sleeping on
the couch) was how did the current all star crop come to be? That is, were
they all drafted, and if so, where did they go in their respective draft? In
other words, where do all stars come from?
下一個問題 我問我自己 “為什麼我還在看這該死的季後賽? 國王已經沒有季後賽打了
!”
恩 我用我精準的分析能力再問我自己 “到底這些全明星是怎麼養成的?”
廢話 是選來的 但 更精確的來說 他們各自代表的順位是什麼?
這是我的疑問
It turns out that each and every all star was indeed drafted, which is not
exactly a revelation. Only two of them were 2nd round picks (Rashard Lewis
and Mo Williams), and only four more were non-lottery picks - Danny Granger
(17), David West (18), Jameer Nelson (20) and Tony Parker (28). Keeping in
mind this is an awfully small sample size, it would appear that it is more
likely that you will find an exceptional guard later in the draft than you
would a big man. Of course, such small data samples change with the breeze,
and the dynamic could be completely different in a couple of years. But the
first two games sucked tonight, and I needed to find something to occupy
myself.
經過統計 , 沒有一位今年的明星球員是沒有經過選秀的 , 只有兩位是第二輪球員
(lewis & mo)
只有四位是在樂透區之外的選秀
danger (17)
D.west(18)
NELSON(20)
TP (28)
這些樂透區外的明星球員 , 老實說只是個案
這顯示出也許越到後段你比較可能發現傑出後衛而不是傑出長人
當然 , 數據如此 , 聯盟情勢瞬息萬變 誰也說不準
但我從今年的季後賽中得到了些啟發
77% of the all stars were lottery picks, 54% were top five picks. Six of
these guys (or 23%) were #1 picks (AI, LeBron, Dwight Howard, Duncan, Yao and
Shaq). Please note that the majority of #1's that have grown up to be all
stars have been big dudes.
77%的明星球員 , 都是在樂透範圍選中的 , 54%是在前五順位被選走的
6個是狀元籤選到的 (AI LBJ YAO TD 魔獸 俠客)
看到沒 , 大部分都是大個
(Disclaimer - None of this is to suggest that Griffin is the pick over
Rubio. In fact, a guy like Rubio might single-handedly skew these numbers.
We'll soon see.)
(聲明:這裡不是說選blake會比選rubio好 事實上 rubio有能力推翻這些立論 等這瞧)
This is not to say that the Kings pick will have a 54% chance to be an all
star. But it is to say that statistically (again, using this thimble size
sample data) the Kings pick is more likely to become an all star than (say)
Spencer Hawes (2 all stars were selected 10th), Jason Thompson (no all stars
at 12) or Kevin Martin (no all stars at 26).
這代表國王有54% (前二順位)的機率去贏得一個全明星 數據支持這一點
前二順位會比
hawes的第十順位 (今年出現2個全明星)
小湯12順位 (今年沒出現全明星)
Km26順位(今年沒出現全明星)
來的機會大的多
Since I am way too lazy to do actual research and run this back over the past
ten years, I'm going to pull a blind guess out of my arse and say that these
numbers are probably pretty similar from year to year. Iverson will probably
vacate the ranks of #1 picks to be an all star, but Derrick Rose may fill the
void. There will be a Rashard Lewis or a Mo Williams or a Carlos Boozer or a
MIchael Redd to represent the 2nd round. But the numbers suggest that this
will be the Kings best opportunity to draft an all star (I don't count Pervis
Ellison, since that was the dead ball era, you weren't allowed to dunk, and
the games were played outside).
因為我太懶 不想去翻前十年的數據 但我想這種情況是年復一年的
你可以說ai已經慢慢會離開明星賽 但請記住 同樣是狀元的rose會補上
Lewis ,mo, boozer, redd 也許他們是好的二輪代表 但是統計看來
這確實是國王最最接近能選到全明星的時刻了
(沒算Pervis Ellison的話 1989年國王狀元選中 之後交易到華盛頓子彈 )
And with that, Deron Williams hit his shot, Kobe missed his, and I can wrap
this up and go to sleep a happy camper. I bid you all a good...wtf?!? When
did she drop my pillow and a blanket on the couch? I guess we won't be making
any little all stars tonight.
在此同時 小胖進球 kobe沒進 湖人輸球就是爽 !!! 等等
我家閃光說我球賽看太久叫我直接在躺椅上睡不用進房了 怎麼辦 我們今晚沒辦法
努力製造小all star了 …………… 科科
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◆ From: 61.224.30.70
※ 編輯: RonArtest93 來自: 61.224.30.70 (04/28 00:26)
→ RonArtest93:這年頭 翻個外電還要被閃 唉 ........ 04/28 00:30
推 birdorange:最後一段...... 04/28 00:32
推 Aldridge:妙麗也沒進季後賽啊 這鄉民.............. 04/28 09:18
推 owen55:來國王版也會被閃....這... 04/28 10:05
推 eliczone:COOL....以後記住他的名字 看他是不是真的有生出小全星星 04/28 10:11
→ eliczone:這篇文章的確很有趣 雖然說的是很正常的東西 但人們往往 04/28 10:12
→ eliczone:會因為個案而忘記該去正視的 04/28 10:12
推 sali921:唉 都躲起來看球賽了還被閃 原po對我們阿宅太殘忍了XD 04/28 17:40