[外電] 小湯是好的防守者嗎？

[kingpredrag (I love Man Utd!!!!!!!!!)]

Is Jason Thompson a Good Defender?
小湯是個好的防守者嗎？

A few days ago, we laid out the numbers on the Kings' isolation defense,
which is surprisingly good, considering the team's defense as a whole is not.
Second-year big man Jason Thompson was among the three surprisingly amazing
iso defenders on the team last season. J.T. ranked No. 19 among all isolation
defenders last season, holding opponents to 0.66 points per possession.

What about the rest of J.T.'s defense? When Thompson came into the league, he
looked like an able defender -- long, strong, high-energy, tough, fairly
agile/dexterous. But the team's defense that rookie season was so abominable
nothing positive could be gleaned. It improved quite a bit this season on the
team level, and with two years of observation and one year of hard
play-by-play data (via Synergy), I think we can start making reasonable
assessment of J.T.'s defense.

So, what's the verdict? Is Jason Thompson a good defender?

幾天前我們討輪過球隊的防守﹝請見本版#1BuvFEpw﹞，儘管球隊
的團隊防守很差，但一對一防守卻是相當的好，小湯是上季球隊一
對一防守最好的三人之一，上季一對一防守能力的排名中，小湯排
在全聯盟第十九位，對手平均每次進攻機會只能得到0.66分。

至於小湯其他方面的防守表現呢？回顧小湯剛進聯盟的樣子，他被
評估是一位有潛力的防守者，手長、強壯、頑強、有活力，同時靈
敏度也有平均水準，可是當年球隊的團隊防守卻是一無可取，相較
於今日，球隊本季有了大幅的成長，藉由這兩年的觀察以及今年詳
細的攻守數據資料﹝資料來自Synergy﹞，我想我們可以用有根據
的方式來分析小湯防守。

所以結論是甚麼呢？小湯是個好防守者嗎？

                                                 《待續...》














開玩笑的，請繼續看下去^^!


On the year, Thompson had the best unadjusted defensive plus-minus of any
regular Kings bigs. (That'd be Spencer Hawes, Carl Landry and Jon Brockman.)
The Kings defense was 1.6 points per 100 possessions better with J.T. on the
floor than when he was not. As the two highest-minute big men (Thompson and
Hawes) rotated between the starting line-up and bench, unadjusted plus-minus
is less problematic than it normally would be. That the team would be better
defensive with Thompson on the floor isn't surprising.

But Synergy's data lets us go deeper.

本季小湯的原始防守正負分值是國王長人中最優的﹝比較者：阿屁、
藍錐和洛克人﹞一百次防守機會平均下來，小湯在場上與不在場上
比較起來，球隊能少失1.6分。小湯和阿屁是國王上場時間最多的
兩名長人，因此原始正負分值的參考價值比平常而言來的更高。不
過小湯在場上時國王的防守比較好其實不是件讓人驚訝的事。

藉由Synergy的數據資料我們來更進一步檢視小湯的防守。


So we know about J.T.'s iso defense: it was damn good this season. What about
in the post, where he defended 203 plays? Opponets scored 0.9 points per
possessions against J.T. there. That's about middle of the pack for the NBA.
Opponents shot 47% on J.T. in the post, and he committed a shooting foul on
11% of these plays.

Defending spot-up shots: J.T. is awful, giving up 1.11 points per possession,
ranked 319 in the league. Opponents shoot 55% (eFG) against J.T. on spot-ups.

There isn't enough data to draw any sort of conclusions on the other play
types, though the limited data suggests he's not bad guarding the
pick-and-roll. If we move back to macro, we know he has a positive effect on
the team's defensive rebounding: not only is he a good rebounder, but the
team rebounds better as a whole when he's on the floor. (This extends beyond
his own offering.)

我們已經知道小湯的一對一防守很棒，但小湯的低位防守呢？數據
顯示小湯本季總計203次的低位防守機會中對手平均能得到0.9分，
這項成績排在聯盟中段，對手投籃命中率達47%，小湯犯規的機率
是11%。

防守跳投方面，小湯的表現很糟，平均讓對手得1.11分，排在聯盟
第319名，對手跳投的eFG高達55%。

目前的數據仍不足以為其他的情況下定論，但透過有限的數據我們
可以得知小湯守擋拆進攻的能力不算壞，如果檢視團隊表現的話，
還可以發現小湯的防守籃板為球隊貢獻甚多，而且小湯不光是個好
的籃板手，當他在場上時，球隊的團隊籃板數也明顯增加。

J.T. became a better shotblocker this season. He had 59 blocks his rookie
year, and 73 this season in roughly the same number of minutes. His steals
and, of course, fouls decreased. He still fouls too much (more than four per
36 minutes) and still isn't a very good shotblocker (2.3% block rate). But
progress is progress.

In total, I think we can call J.T. a "not bad" defender. Maybe even "good."
Although he's getting challenged in the post and killed on chase-outs, he
does enough good things in isolation defense to make up for it. He could
certainly stand to improve, like all the Kings. But he's not the biggest
problem, that's for sure.

Later this week, for comparison's sake, we'll look at Spencer Hawes.

本季小湯的封蓋也有進步，新秀年小湯只有59個封蓋，今年在上場
時間和去年相差無多的情況下，封蓋數進步到73個，他的抄截數和
犯規數則都比去年來的低，小湯的犯規數仍然很多［平均36分鐘超
過4個﹞，同時也還不是一個好的封蓋者﹝2.3%的封蓋率﹞，但有
進步是不爭的事實。

最後我想我們能把小湯稱作「不差」的防守者，也許可以稱的上「好」。
雖然他的低位防守不穩，防守跳投也慘不仍賭，但他的一對一防守
能力能暫時掩蓋這兩項缺點，他跟國王其他球員一樣要持續保持進
步，不過可以確定的是小湯不會是個大問題。

之後我們將來聊聊阿屁。


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◆ From: 118.167.172.126
推 eliczone:推
推 kidd168:可以別聊阿屁嗎....感覺會傷心...
推 Tmix:推～我真的被待續去騙了= =
→ hihi29:之前外電選的不防守前兩隊 沒有阿屁 要對阿屁有信心啊!
推 KillLakers:忘了他  別再想他  他不值得讓你日夜的牽掛  XDDDDD
推 sk87073:推
推 felmizan:看到待續後面還有就笑了XD
推 santabrelai:「屁」