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※ [本文轉錄自 NBA 看板 #1D9CYS4b ]
作者: MOJS (MOJS) 看板: NBA
標題: [情報] Hollinger認為尼克沒那麼好
時間: Thu Jan 6 03:38:00 2011
原文:http://ppt.cc/-9MQ
John Hollinger predicts Knick mediocrity
霍林葛認為尼克沒那麼好。
In New York, people have been unbelievably excited about the Knicks'
triumphant return to halfway-decency.
在紐約，人們很高興尼克又開始贏球了。
But John Hollinger (Insider), in a discussion of the whole league (which
includes noteworthy mocking of Wolves GM David Kahn), says to expect
things to cool off a bit over the remainder of the season for the Knicks:
但是霍林葛和聯盟的一些專家討論後，認為尼克的在接下來的賽季不會再
那麼得火熱。
At 19-14 so far, the Bockers project to go just a game over .500
the rest of the way, largely because the schedule gets more difficult.
New York has played the league's fourth-easiest schedule thus far, but
that changes starting now. The Knicks' next five games in particular --
home versus San Antonio, at Phoenix, at Lakers, at Portland, at Utah --
make it likely they'll be dancing within a game or two of .500 for most
of the season before an April stretch of patsies lets them close on a
high note.
尼克戰績目前是19-14，不過他們接下來的賽程比較嚴苛。
目前為止尼克的賽程是聯盟中第4輕鬆的，但是狀況要改變了，接下來的五場比賽
馬刺，太陽，湖人，拓荒者，爵士，全敗的話戰績就會來到5成，不過昨天尼克已
經贏了馬刺，所以接下來4場全敗的話，戰積會是20-18，比五場高兩場。
Additionally, I would submit the Knicks aren't as good as their current
record for another reason -- they've outscored the opposition by only
0.9 points per game, which normally would leave a team just a game or
so above .500 at this point in the season.
另外，作者認為尼克實際上沒有像他們戰績一樣來的好，原因是他們的DIFF只有+0.9
，不過贏了馬刺後來到了+1.2，+0.9這個數字大概是一隻五成勝率左右的球隊。
Margin of victory, it's worth noting, has the track record of being a
better predictor of future success than won-loss record ... so ignore
it at your peril.
我很準。
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聽說這個人是外國坤哥?
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