[閒聊] TPA會贏下S2的五大理由

[Carmelo (Melo)]

http://www.reignofgaming.net/blogs/a-different-view/
vvinrar/21939-why-the-taipei-assassins-will-win-season-2

1. The world has only seen 5 games from Taipei.

TPA近期曝光太少，S2又在八強才開始出賽五場，有機會藏招

Azubu Frost is coming into the finals as a powerhouse.  The world has been
following Frost and its sister team Azubu Blaze for months, and other teams
have dozens of AZF replays against top Korean teams to watch and study.  On
the other hand, most public TPA games were stomps against weak Southeast
Asian teams in the Garena league, and the games against stronger teams have
not been played recently.

Frost has used all of their cards already.  They have already played 8 games
this tournament, with half of those games using team-tailored strategies to
take out specific opponents.  If they had any planned cheese or unorthodox
team compositions, they have already used them.  On the other hand, we have
seen nothing but brilliant standard play from Taipei Assassins.  Given how
long the team has had to plan their strategies, there is still a possibility
that they will pull out cheese strategies to take a game or two off their
opponents.

2. TPA has knocked out top seeds from both Europe and Korea.

 TPA打掉的都是歐韓兩國的高位種子 AZF只是打贏了TSM (想戰?)

Azubu Frost has knocked out Najin Sword and Team SoloMid.  Team Solomid came
into the tournament without much confidence as vlogs from both TSM and Curse
proved that they had not been a dominant force in scrims.  Additionally,
Azubu Frost already had extensive practice playing against Sword and similar
teams, as they were from the same region.  Sword was beaten with standard
Korean play, and a weak North American Team was unsurprisingly outplayed by
the Korean snowball meta.

Last night, Moscow 5 lost a Best-Of-3 set for only the second time on LAN in
10 months since debuting at IEV Kiev in January.  By knocking out the most
favored team of both spectators and professional players, Taipei Assassins
have set themselves up to be one of the greatest threats of the tournament
and beyond to Season 3.  In addition to knocking out what many saw as the
"team to beat," TPA also took out the #2 seed in the rest of Korea in Najin
Sword.  While it is debatable how strong iG really was at a team, Taipei
definitely had to play through a more difficult bracket in the Round of 8 and
the semi-finals to get to their final match; Frost only had to prove
themselves with early-game invades against CLG.EU, a team that isn't renowned
for their early game, and against a weak TSM.

3. CLG.EU/TPA have been scrimming non-stop all week, while Frost has only
scrimmed other Asian teams.

 CLG.EU這幾天都在幫TPA練習 (CLG.EU台北粉絲團的功勞? XD)
沒有強隊想跟AZF練打 (sword咧? 回家了?)

Ultimately, a best of 5 series could go either way, and it comes down to
practice to see who will win the championships.  And this is where the
difference lies.  TPA has been scrimming a dominant team, CLG.EU, all week in
preparation for the finals.  On the other hand, there aren't any Western
teams that will scrim with Frost, which means that they will have weaker
practice opponents coming into Saturday's match.

In a series where one mistake can make the difference between victory and
defeat, the caliber of scrimmage partners may make the ultimate difference in
who will win the set.  With Western teams willing to scrim Taipei Assassins,
but not Azubu Frost, TPA has an automatic advantage by being able to play the
best teams outside of their actual opponents.

4. AZF-Shy has only been playing LoL for 6 months.

 Shy才剛轉LoL半年, 可能有未碰過的狀況或組合

No matter what your background is, if you've been playing for 6 months, you
haven't seen the entire game.  No amount of mechanical and team skill can
save you if you are thrown against a team composition or a champion that you
have never seen before.  If the Taipei Assassins brings out something
previously unseen in competitive play, inexperience can throw any player off
their game.  The top lane is where we may see the greatest possibility of
cheese, as inexperience in any way will be a perceived weakness until proved
otherwise.

Take Doublelift as an example.  When he first burst on to the scene with his
stellar Blitzcrank play, everybody in North America knew that he had a bright
future in competitive play.  Yet despite his mechanics, he was shunted from
team to team until he had enough experience?  Why?  Because when he had to
face something that he had no prior experience with (support Taric), he
choked and failed miserably.  It took him almost a full year to adjust fully
into the competitive climate, when he moved into the AD Carry position for
CLG.NA.  TPA can use Doublelift as an example and throw something unorthodox
at Shy.  No matter how strong he may appear, unconventional play may throw
him off his game, perhaps fatally for Azubu Frost.

In contrast with Shy's relative inexperience, Taipei has players who have
been playing and making a name for themselves on the North American server
for years.  Lilballz was the original jungler for Counter Logic Gaming NA,
and bebeisadog has been sitting in the Top 25 players on NA since the
beginning of Season 1 despite his high ping.  With their depth of experience,
it is possible that they could bring back an old metagame to trick things up.

Other Thoughts

作者私心覺得TPA 3:1 贏 AZF

No matter what the result (or my predicted matchup), the Best-Of-5 series we
will see from Azubu Frost and Taipei Assassins will be one of the closest
sets of the series.  Frost definitely has the teamwork and the strategy to
take down yet another powerhouse on the world stage, and the series could go
either way.  But still, I feel in my heart that Taipei will reign supreme
this season.  And my prediction for the final?  3-1 TPA-AZF

Do you agree with me, or will Azubu Frost take the finals?  Please comment
below!


--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) 
◆ From: 1.171.134.141
推 andyshiou   :那shy也太強了吧  天才選手
推 louis8053   :shy才打半年 WTF!?
推 magicelva   :個人私心覺得，真有天分遊戲轉來轉去都不會太差
推 OnSEx007    :AZF:哭哭:'( 都沒人想幫我們 跟我們練習
→ hogiking    :這樣看起來是SHY超強....
推 sillymon    :我都打一年了還在這邊 看來我該讓腎了....
推 ELF007      :LOL吃的是對遊戲的理解跟觀念  技術其次.......
推 rayterz     :有沒有完整翻譯哇
推 leo79415    :這種東西本來就很講天份....
→ leo79415    :可是西門玩Mstar沒天份
推 Hylun       :我覺得AZF可能打不贏M5 M5應該有關注過韓國風格吧
→ Hylun       :搞不好shy玩的場次比很多人都多阿.
推 sobiNOva    :之前有玩過類DOTA應該上手很快
推 e0928558056 :人家在玩這六個月之前，打了幾年的電動?
推 donvito     :打半年... (默默點下uninstall
推 Tyrael      :Zonda好像也是年初才開始玩的?!
推 gn01398532  :六f的腎要賣我嗎 100P幣收
→ donvito     :聽說zonda是剛玩"dota-like"的遊戲 似乎更猛...
→ spadek89507 :為啥是3-1? 不是BO3?
推 s03411      :決賽是BO5
推 sobiNOva    :bebe :我這兩個月都在玩汎...XD
→ oneword     :得罪了TSM還想找人團練
推 acer6772    :shy打半年............我到底在幹嘛....
推 Beowolves   :一堆人開始高潮 跟職業選手比了..
推 Ajax3       :沒有人發現只有四個理由嗎Xd
推 bruce3166   :不是有Other thoughts嗎
推 rinamami    :得罪了TSM還想找人團練？沒那麼容易～～～～～～～～
推 Ajax3       :Other thoughts 裡沒有理由呀
推 f204137     :人家就是有天份啊 不然怎麼爭世界第一
推 michaelch   :韓國打Rank訓練強度逼近職業級啊~作者也太捧TPA了 XD
推 drummers    :我很得意的說:玩三年還在12~14打滾
推 wtao        :藏招是哪招?  事後諸葛亮XDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD
推 slayerjames :半年?!!我打了9個月還沒
→ applemonster:應該不是說藏招吧 畢竟有淘汰壓力就會把密藏的錦囊都
→ applemonster:拿出來用 曝光以後被找出應對方法也正常 但是其實若
→ applemonster:TPA 沒有實力的話 其實也早已被淘汰 畢竟那是M5
推 minoru04    :搞不好北美全部的隊伍都在幫TPA研究AZF的弱點XD
推 Xargon      :5.字幕徵女友
推 Dimitre     :我打兩年也只有16　
推 nadoka      :我怎麼數都只有四個0.0?
推 Subway1668  :韓國一天練16小時 歐美一天練6小時 就不意外了
→ applemonster:我論 Xargon 現在被挾持當字幕哥的女朋友 要找到新的
→ applemonster:才能脫身的可能性
推 a2364983    :他的半年 每天可能是十幾小時
推 icyfang     :整篇作者只是想說...AF晉級的比較輕鬆XD TPA打上來，
→ icyfang     :場數比較少，可能還沒用光全部的戰術，而且一路遇到
→ icyfang     :對手都比較強，所以比較看好TPA而已w
推 iamkingking :他的半年 每天可能是十幾小時+1  韓國的紀律很可怕
推 TiauEX      :DOTA又不是看接觸時間長短 要看場次阿 你玩很久每天
→ TiauEX      :2場跟人家每天一直打沒得比
推 kuramylove  :量可能不多  但質很高阿..
推 catsondbs   :AZF才是韓國的高級種子吧
推 blackteasart:那SHY真的是天才了 練半年打成這樣
噓 DarkMooon   :第五個理由勒
推 s4511981    :半年……
噓 Roger37     :第五就是筆者私下以為3:1 TPA勝啊  哈哈哈
推 eist        :我覺得藏招應該不太可能..對上M5應該是全力以赴了
→ yeo12       :就算沒招了  這幾天可以針對AZF制定一下戰術 TPA加油
→ nornor0415  :第四個理由很差...
→ nornor0415  :shy到目前為止的表現絕對不輸任何人
→ nornor0415  :如果說史丹力carry TPA打敗m5 那Shy幾乎也做了一樣
→ nornor0415  :此外AZF的下路依然強勁 起碼比NJS有料一點
推 yeo12       :AZF下路依然強勁....不是強中上嗎...
→ yeo12       :下路woong目前普遍認知識AZF最弱一環
推 OnSEx007    :@原作者的意思是 即使shy打得很好 但只加入6個月
推 Trumen      :強下中上 那豈不危險了
→ OnSEx007    :一定會有Shy從未見過 或他不太適應的戰術或組合
→ OnSEx007    :另外 AZF的AD 普遍被認為是AZF最弱的一環
→ OnSEx007    :不論是NJS或是AZB的AD都比他強很多
推 yeo12       :我覺得woong跟傑克船長換一下 AZF就無敵了
→ OnSEx007    :不過傑克船長最近失去了一點自信 因為OGN他被NJS的AD
→ OnSEx007    :打到哭出來
→ yeo12       :那只好徵招DL DL快來
→ OnSEx007    :而且woong是隊長的樣子 雖然不太有那架勢 XD
推 e89515058   :徵招DL af真的不得了~
→ e89515058   :af最有氣勢的應該是中路小胖
→ OnSEx007    :DL:AZF被高估、韓國全部的AD都比我__
推 se493671    :                                謙虛
推 Hsu1025     :人家的半年跟一般人的半年哪能比，光每天花的時間就
→ Hsu1025     :就差多少?  只看到半年就在那邊...
推 pkur        :請不期不待呀~要低調點
推 Subway1668  :而且以韓國的環境 戰隊內絕對1 2軍可以團練一堆戰術
推 foreigner00 :nidalee應該就是tpa大絕了吧
→ foreigner00 :不過還是期待有更驚人的招術
推 arbalest712 :說到CLGEU願意陪練就不得不再次感謝經理還有GARENA的
→ arbalest712 :經營關係了
推 sarserror   :不是打英文就不是鄉民
→ iwillptt    :謙虛超好笑 XDDD
推 x56565656   :比賽打完前只有一句話!!  TPA加油!!
推 GoldGirl    :照結論買賭盤 信你了!!!
推 gn02118620  :要相信逼逼 逼逼這幾場對線完全統治了線上..
推 no321       :要相信逼逼 相信逼逼心中相信的TPA!!
推 C741214520  :TPA會贏，不需要理由!
推 gekisen     :\TPA/\TPA/\TPA/\TPA/\TPA/\TPA/\TPA/\TPA/\TPA/\TPA
推 tuchichi    :要相信BEBE心中的TPA！在打M5時,我時常這麼告訴自己~
推 unitfrank   :SHY才玩半年 ....根本就是天才阿
→ ads9527     :沒有所謂的大絕 每場都是臨時反應
推 GoldGirl    :樓上 bebe....大家都還在睡 沒人發現 lol
推 twchhmcs36  :現在LA下午五點  bebe找不到人聊天ww
推 g74532      :相信逼逼 相信TPA的每一位 加油!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
推 SweetSixteen:逼逼已史耳豆葛
推 solo0724    :bebe加油! 打贏M5下路 沒道理會輸AZF下路!!!!!!
→ gn02118620  :ads9527 :沒有所謂的大絕 每場都是臨時反應
推 thinkDie    :謝謝你  9527
推 mathrew     :半年....  我決定 uninstall 了.......
→ sunrise1748 :樓上幹麻這樣比 有些人真的是天才型玩家
→ sunrise1748 :事半功倍咩
推 shadowkai   :→ ads9527     :沒有所謂的大絕 每場都是臨時反應
推 kidjoe      :職業玩家半年玩的時間應該夠我玩三年了XD
推 blackxo4u86 :謝謝你 9527
推 Istari      :BEBE你好可愛XDDDDD
推 kid1412sonic:9527加油!
推 rtz6114     :ads9527 :沒有所謂的大絕 每場都是臨時反應
推 Spin9527    :我覺得AF針對TOYZ的話  TPA贏面會很小
推 AceID       :加油阿TPA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!