作者eei (天殺的電磁學)
看板MLB
標題BP作家季前預測
時間Sat Mar 29 16:32:07 2003
http://premium.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=1739
National League
National League East
BP Author First Second Third Fourth Fifth
--------------------------------------------------------------
Jeff Bower Braves Phillies Mets Expos Marlins
Will Carroll Phillies Braves Expos Mets Marlins
Jeff Hildebrand Braves Phillies Mets Expos Marlins
Gary Huckabay Phillies Braves Expos Mets Marlins
Jonah Keri Phillies Braves Expos Mets Marlins
Mat Olkin Phillies Expos Braves Mets Marlins
Doug Pappas Braves Phillies Mets Expos Marlins
Keith Scherer Phillies Braves Marlins Expos Mets
Joe Sheehan Phillies Braves Mets Expos Marlins
Nate Silver Phillies Braves Expos Marlins Mets
Greg Spira Braves Phillies Mets Expos Marlins
Ryan Wilkins Phillies Braves Mets Expos Marlins
Derek Zumsteg Phillies Braves Expos Marlins Mets
Consensus: (1) Phillies, (2) Braves, (3) Mets, (4) Expos, (5) Marlins
National League Central
BP Author First Second Third Fourth Fifth Sixth
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Jeff Bower Cards Cubs Astros Reds Pirates Brewers
Will Carroll Reds Cubs Pirates Cards Astros Brewers
Jeff Hildebrand Astros Cubs Cards Reds Pirates Brewers
Gary Huckabay Cubs Astros Cards Reds Pirates Brewers
Jonah Keri Astros Cards* Cubs Reds Pirates Brewers
Mat Olkin Astros Cards Cubs Reds Pirates Brewers
Doug Pappas Cards Astros Cubs Reds Pirates Brewers
Keith Scherer Cubs Astros* Cards Reds Pirates Brewers
Joe Sheehan Reds Cubs* Cards Pirates Astros Brewers
Nate Silver Astros Cubs Cards Reds Pirates Brewers
Greg Spira Astros Cubs Cards Reds Pirates Brewers
Ryan Wilkins Astros Cubs* Cards Reds Pirates Brewers
Derek Zumsteg Astros Cards Cubs Reds Pirates Brewers
Consensus: (1) Astros, (2) Cubs, (3) Cardinals, (4) Reds, (5) Pirates, (6) Brewers
National League West
BP Author First Second Third Fourth Fifth
-------------------------------------------------------------
Jeff Bower D'backs Giants* Rockies Dodgers Padres
Will Carroll Giants D'backs* Dodgers Padres Rockies
Jeff Hildebrand Dodgers Giants* D'backs Padres Rockies
Gary Huckabay D'backs Giants* Padres Dodgers Rockies
Jonah Keri Giants D'backs Dodgers Rockies Padres
Mat Olkin D'backs Giants* Dodgers Rockies Padres
Doug Pappas Giants D'backs* Dodgers Padres Rockies
Keith Scherer D'backs Rockies Giants Dodgers Padres
Joe Sheehan Giants Dodgers D'backs Padres Rockies
Nate Silver Giants D'backs* Rockies Dodgers Padres
Greg Spira Giants D'backs* Rockies Dodgers Padres
Ryan Wilkins Giants D'backs Rockies Dodgers Padres
Derek Zumsteg Giants D'backs* Dodgers Rockies Padres
Consensus: (1) Giants, (2) Diamondbacks, (3) Dodgers, (4) Rockies, (5) Padres
Postseason
NL World Series
BP Author NLCS Representatives Representative
-------------------------------------------------------
Jeff Bower Diamondbacks, Braves Diamondbacks
Will Carroll Diamondbacks, Reds Diamondbacks
Jeff Hildebrand Dodgers, Giants Giants
Gary Huckabay Cubs, Giants Giants
Jonah Keri Cardinals, Astros Astros
Mat Olkin Diamondbacks, Astros Astros
Doug Pappas Diamondbacks, Giants Giants
Keith Scherer Astros, Cubs Astros
Joe Sheehan Phillies, Giants Giants
Nate Silver Diamondbacks, Phillies Phillies
Greg Spira Diamondbacks, Braves Diamondbacks
Ryan Wilkins Phillies, Giants Phillies
Derek Zumsteg Diamondbacks, Giants Giants
NL Awards / Miscellaneous
BP Author NL MVP Cy Young Award
----------------------------------------------
Jeff Bower Barry Bonds Randy Johnson
Will Carroll Barry Bonds Randy Johnson
Jeff Hildebrand Barry Bonds Greg Maddux
Gary Huckabay Barry Bonds Mark Prior
Jonah Keri Lance Berkman Randy Johnson
Mat Olkin Vlad Guerrero Randy Johnson
Doug Pappas Barry Bonds Randy Johnson
Keith Scherer Sammy Sosa Mark Prior
Joe Sheehan Vlad Guerrero Mark Prior
Nate Silver Barry Bonds Curt Schilling
Greg Spira Barry Bonds Randy Johnson
Ryan Wilkins Barry Bonds Mark Prior
Derek Zumsteg Barry Bonds Randy Johnson
Surprise Disappointment
BP Author NL RoY NL MoY Team Team
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Jeff Bower Brandon Larson Bobby Cox Rockies Phillies
Will Carroll Joe Thurston Dusty Baker Pirates Astros
Jeff Hildebrand Marlon Byrd Jim Tracy Dodgers Phillies
Gary Huckabay Hee Seop Choi Dusty Baker Padres Cardinals
Jonah Keri Xavier Nady Larry Bowa Cubs Braves
Mat Olkin Brandon Larson Dusty Baker Cubs Braves
Doug Pappas Marlon Byrd Dusty Baker Cubs Dodgers
Keith Scherer Aaron Cook Dusty Baker Rockies Cardinals
Joe Sheehan Kurt Ainsworth Bob Boone Reds Mets
Nate Silver Marlon Byrd Larry Bowa Rockies Mets
Greg Spira Hee Seop Choi Dusty Baker Cubs Dodgers
Ryan Wilkins Hee Seop Choi Dusty Baker Cubs Cardinals
Derek Zumsteg Kurt Ainsworth Felipe Alou Cubs Mets
American League
American League East
BP Author First Second Third Fourth Fifth
---------------------------------------------------------------
Jeff Bower Yankees Red Sox* Blue Jays Orioles D-Rays
Will Carroll Red Sox Yankees* Blue Jays D-Rays Orioles
Jeff Hildebrand Yankees Red Sox* Blue Jays Orioles D-Rays
Gary Huckabay Yankees Red Sox* Blue Jays Orioles D-Rays
Jonah Keri Yankees Red Sox* Blue Jays Orioles D-Rays
Mat Olkin Yankees Red Sox Blue Jays Orioles D-Rays
Doug Pappas Yankees Red Sox* Blue Jays Orioles D-Rays
Keith Scherer Yankees Red Sox* Blue Jays Orioles D-Rays
Joe Sheehan Red Sox Yankees* Blue Jays Orioles D-Rays
Nate Silver Yankees Red Sox* Blue Jays Orioles D-Rays
Greg Spira Yankees Red Sox* Blue Jays D-Rays Orioles
Ryan Wilkins Yankees Red Sox* Blue Jays Orioles D-Rays
Derek Zumsteg Yankees Red Sox* Blue Jays Orioles D-Rays
Consensus: (1) Yankees, (2) Red Sox, (3) Blue Jays, (4) Orioles, (5) Devil Rays
American League Central
BP Author First Second Third Fourth Fifth
--------------------------------------------------------------
Jeff Bower White Sox Twins Indians Royals Tigers
Will Carroll Twins White Sox Indians Royals Tigers
Jeff Hildebrand Twins White Sox Indians Royals Tigers
Gary Huckabay White Sox Twins Indians Royals Tigers
Jonah Keri White Sox Twins Indians Royals Tigers
Mat Olkin Twins White Sox Indians Royals Tigers
Doug Pappas Twins White Sox Indians Tigers Royals
Keith Scherer Twins White Sox Indians Royals Tigers
Joe Sheehan Twins White Sox Tigers Indians Royals
Nate Silver White Sox Twins Indians Royals Tigers
Greg Spira White Sox Twins Indians Royals Tigers
Ryan Wilkins White Sox Twins Indians Royals Tigers
Derek Zumsteg White Sox Twins Indians Royals Tigers
Consensus: (1) White Sox, (2) Twins, (3) Indians, (4) Royals, (5) Tigers
American League West
BP Author First Second Third Fourth
-------------------------------------------------------
Jeff Bower Athletics Angels Mariners Rangers
Will Carroll Athletics Angels Rangers Mariners
Jeff Hildebrand Athletics Mariners Rangers Angels
Gary Huckabay Athletics Angels Mariners Rangers
Jonah Keri Athletics Rangers Mariners Angels
Mat Olkin Athletics Angels* Mariners Rangers
Doug Pappas Athletics Angels Mariners Rangers
Keith Scherer Athletics Angels Rangers Mariners
Joe Sheehan Athletics Rangers Angels Mariners
Nate Silver Athletics Mariners Rangers Angels
Greg Spira Athletics Rangers Mariners Angels
Ryan Wilkins Athletics Mariners Rangers Angels
Derek Zumsteg Athletics Mariners Angels Rangers
Consensus: (1) Athletics, (2) Angels, (3) Mariners, (4) Rangers/Angels (tie)
Postseason
AL World Series
BP Author ALCS Representatives Representative
-------------------------------------------------------
Jeff Bower Athletics, Red Sox Athletics
Will Carroll Athletics, Red Sox Athletics
Jeff Hildebrand Yankees, Athletics Athletics
Gary Huckabay Red Sox, White Sox Red Sox
Jonah Keri Yankees, Red Sox Red Sox
Mat Olkin Yankees, Athletics Athletics
Doug Pappas Yankees, Athletics Athletics
Keith Scherer Yankees, Athletics Yankees
Joe Sheehan Yankees, Athletics Athletics
Nate Silver Yankees, Red Sox Red Sox
Greg Spira Yankees, Athletics Athletics
Ryan Wilkins Athletics, Red Sox Red Sox
Derek Zumsteg Yankees, Athletics Yankees
AL Awards / Miscellaneous
BP Author AL MVP Cy Young Award
-------------------------------------------------
Jeff Bower Alex Rodriguez Pedro Martinez
Will Carroll Manny Ramirez Barry Zito
Jeff Hildebrand Manny Ramirez Tim Hudson
Gary Huckabay Magglio Ordonez Pedro Martinez
Jonah Keri Nomar Garciaparra Pedro Martinez
Mat Olkin Alex Rodriguez Barry Zito
Doug Pappas Alex Rodriguez Mike Mussina
Keith Scherer Manny Ramirez Pedro Martinez
Joe Sheehan Manny Ramirez Tim Hudson
Nate Silver Alex Rodriguez Pedro Martinez
Greg Spira Alex Rodriguez Pedro Martinez
Ryan Wilkins Eric Chavez Pedro Martinez
Derek Zumsteg Jason Giambi Pedro Martinez
Surprise Disappointment
BP Author AL RoY AL MoY Team Team
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Jeff Bower Travis Hafner Grady Little Blue Jays Devil Rays
Will Carroll Mark Teixeira Grady Little Rangers Orioles
Jeff Hildebrand Brandon Phillips Ken Macha Blue Jays Angels
Gary Huckabay Mark Teixeira Grady Little Blue Jays Mariners
Jonah Keri Hideki Matsui Ken Macha Rangers Angels
Mat Olkin Hideki Matsui Carlos Tosca Blue Jays Rangers
Doug Pappas Hideki Matsui Grady Little Blue Jays Mariners
Keith Scherer Michael Cuddyer Ron Gardenhire (None) White Sox
Joe Sheehan Hideki Matsui Ken Macha (None) Angels
Nate Silver Hideki Matsui Grady Little Indians Angels
Greg Spira Hideki Matsui/ Buck Showalter Rangers Angels
Travis Hafner (tie)
Ryan Wilkins Hideki Matsui Grady Little Blue Jays Angels
Derek Zumsteg Hideki Matsui Grady Little White Sox Devil Rays
The Whole Enchilada
BP Author World Series Winner
-----------------------------------
Jeff Bower Athletics
Will Carroll Athletics
Jeff Hildebrand Giants
Gary Huckabay Red Sox
Jonah Keri Red Sox
Mat Olkin Athletics
Doug Pappas Giants
Keith Scherer Yankees
Joe Sheehan Athletics
Nate Silver Red Sox
Greg Spira Diamondbacks
Ryan Wilkins Red Sox
Derek Zumsteg Yankees
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