作者sword10723 (Bear雄)
看板MLB
標題Re: [討論] Dustin Pedroia For MVP?
時間Sun Sep 7 01:47:59 2008
: http://bleacherreport.com/articles/54397-anybody-but-pedroia-for-al-mvp
: Anybody But Pedroia For AL MVP
除了Pedroia 美聯MVP尚未決定
: September 05, 2008
: Well, maybe not Francisco Rodriguez or Tony Pena, Jr., but let's put this to
: bed right now: Boston 2B Dustin Pedroia is not your 2008 AL MVP, nor should
: he be.
紅襪隊的二壘手Dustin Pedroia不會是2008美聯的MVP
: Chances are that, since Boston is such a heavily publicized team and Pedroia
: has been hitting very well recently, MVP talk will surely start to include
: the "jockeyish" second baseman among the league's best contenders for the MVP.
: Let's put an end to that talk right here.
當然,有著紅襪隊的高名氣以及自己的好表現,Dustin Pedroia顯然在MVP的角逐
者名單裡佔有一席之地
: I will admit that Pedroia is having a solid offensive season. Hitting
: .333/.378/.505 with a 127 OPS+ for 125-plus games will surely merit
: attention, and 17 homers from a second baseman is not an every-season
: occurrence.
當然一個.333/.378/.505以及有著127 OPS+的表現十分驚人,17支全壘打對一個
二壘手來說也不是每季都有人能這樣做的
: When it comes down to the nitty gritty, however, it becomes clear that
: Pedroia is simply not the correct choice for AL MVP.
但Pedroia絕對不是最正確的選擇
: The field will be narrowed a bit, now that Rangers 2B Ian Kinsler and White
: Sox OF Carlos Quentin are each likely out for the remainder of the season
: with various injuries. Both were clear contenders in a tight race, and their
: early departure likely eliminates them from award contention.
候選名單裡的Ian Kinsler與Carlos Quentin本季都可能無法回到球場上了,這讓
他們在MVP競爭上失去了機會
: The best remaining contenders, then, strictly in terms of VORP, would be Alex
: Rodriguez, Grady Sizemore, and Aubrey Huff.
剩下的競爭者裡,以VORP來排名大概有以下幾個人:A-ROD SIZEMORE HUFF
: Yeah, that Aubrey Huff.
恩,就是那個大家都知道的Aubrey Huff
: Of course, VORP alone does not a MVP make.
: The reigning Rookie of the Year has a strong case, but how does it fare
: against the likes of Alex Rodriguez, Milton Bradley, and Kevin Youkilis?
: Pedroia leads the AL in batting average and runs, which are nice. You expect
: that sort of production from a top-of-the-lineup hitter. But Pedroia is
: nowhere to be found in the top five in the AL in on-base percentage,
: slugging, OPS+, or adjusted batting runs and wins. True, he does lead the
: league in hits, but when you have the second most at bats and third most
: plate appearances, lots of hits are expected.
不過MVP不是按照VORP來排名的
這位最佳新秀要被拿來比較的對象是A-ROD,Milton Bradley還有Kevin Youkilis
雖然Pedroia在打擊率跟得分上都在美聯獨佔龍頭,以一個前段棒次來說是非常不錯的
但是在上壘率、長打率、OPS+、或是調整過的打擊成績(?)上在美聯都排不到前五名
縱然有著全聯盟最多的安打,不過有著次多的打數跟第三多的打席安打多也是很合理的
: As are outs: Pedroia is responsible for the seventh most outs in the AL, too.
: Rodriguez, on the other hand, is hitting a smashing .315/.404/.602, good for
: one of only two OPSes in the AL over 1.000 (Bradley having the other).
而且Pedroia也是聯盟第七名會出局的人,而AROD的表現是.315/.404/.602,也是唯二
在OPS大於1的美聯球員(另外一個是Bradley)
: A-Rod's 163 OPS+ easily outdistances Pedroia's 127, even if you consider the
: positional difference for production. Rodriguez's MLVr, a statistic which
: approximates the runs a player adds to a lineup per game if it were composed
: of average players, is a whopping .414. Pedroia's stands at a pedestrian
: .246, with .000 being average.
AROD的OPS+是163,遠大於Pedroia的127,就算以MLVr來看,AROD的.414也大於Pedoria的
.246(MLVr是估計當打者取代一個聯盟平均值時能為球隊多帶進多少分,平均值取.000)
: Pedroia does have two more runs created than Rodriguez, but that's hardly a
: significant difference, considering Pedroia's had 127 more at-bats then A-Rod.
Pedroia多得了兩分,不過以比AROD多127個打席來看,差異不大
: The biggest knock on Rodriguez is his supposed lack of "clutch" stats.
不過AORD最為人詬病的就是沒有關鍵一擊
: Ironically enough, A-Rod is batting .281/.384/.511 in tie games and
: .254/.443/.458 with two outs and runners in scoring position. The high OBP
: indicates a high level of fear in opposing pitchers, as A-Rod gets pitched
: around and walked to a very high level. Just because his batting average is a
: bit more moderate does not mean he hasn't been productive in those situations.
: Bradley poses the biggest threat to A-Rod, with stats superior in nearly
: every rate category, and with the only hamper being fewer games played.
諷刺的是,AROD的打擊成績在平手時是.281/.384/.511,而在兩出局得點圈有人時是
.254/.443/.458,如此高的上壘率反應了投手寧願投邊邊角角也不讓AROD打,於是
經常被保送,而Bradley在幾乎每個項目都領先AROD ,除了上場次數比較少
: Nevertheless, a player coming off major surgery and hitting .327/.446/.585
: with 22 homers is certainly a force to be reckoned with. Bradley's 172 OPS+
: puts him nine points ahead of Rodriguez, who is 14 points up on third himself.
: Youkilis has a decent case of his own. He's sixth in slugging and fourth in
: OPS, with 24 homers and a 142 OPS+. Compared with Rodriguez and Bradley,
: however, his numbers just won't get it done.
儘管如此,一個手術後復出卻還有著.327/.446/.585,同時又能敲出22發全壘打的人
確實是隊中的一股力量,172的OPS+領先AROD的163。Youkilis在長打率排第六而在OPS
排第4,成績是24支全壘打和142的OPS+,但前面還有AROD跟Bradley擋路,這樣的成績
只能說還不夠好
: Look for the lack of a healthy finish to dampen Quentin's and Kinsler's MVP
: hopes, and while Rodriguez is the statistical favorite, anything can happen.
: And with a month to work with, things can change quickly.
: As we all know only too well.
健康問題是Quentin跟Kinsler往MVP路上最大的敗筆,但還有一個月才進入季後賽,MVP
獎落誰家還是未知數阿...
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◆ From: 140.116.112.122
推 DoMoe:我覺得小派被提到MVP已經很榮耀了,其他其實沒那麼重要 09/07 01:51
推 JoshBeckeet:漢彌爾頓是不是已經被dororo化了 09/07 01:53
→ a2156700:真的想不透...orz 09/07 01:54
推 pikachu123:他下半季打的不是很好 09/07 01:55
推 NewPacers:Josh Hamilton下半季太冷了 不然MVP應該是他 09/07 01:55
推 JoshBeckeet:可是我覺得他的高RBI還是可以拼一下 09/07 01:56
推 Ahshiung:對阿 而且說不定可以拍漢彌爾頓傳 09/07 01:56
推 pikachu123:雖然OPS有 0.860左右但RBI只有26分 09/07 01:58
→ pikachu123:他RBI明星賽後進度慢很多 09/07 01:58
推 NewPacers:看能不能拼 HR 35+ RBI 140+ 或許有機會 09/07 02:08