推 freeru:超刺激國東，不過希望今年大都會球迷不要再悲情 02/19 23:08
推 zerg1228:馬大魚每年戰績都好神奇耶 02/20 01:17
推 HXZ:這樣是要加賽決定外卡...XD 02/20 06:15
推 hidetoshi:1樓好久不見,大都會GO!!! 02/20 21:35
http://tinyurl.com/dx9ctd
Phillies 87-75
NY Mets 86-76
Braves 86-76
Nationals 76-86
Marlins 75-87
The Phillies and Mets battling for the top spot is no surprise, but the
Braves coming back from three seasons of non-contention is. It has little to
do with the signing of Griffey, who will probably platoon in left with Matt
Diaz. Griffey will give back on defense whatever he contributes on offense.
That is, unless Griffey can post a .900 OPS season batting primarily against
right-handed pitching. The projection doesn't know anything about platoon
splits, and projects only a .764. If it did know about platoon splits, it
could go a bit higher, maybe the .800 range, but I think .900 is dreaming at
this stage.
I'd be happy if Griffey did have one last great season in him, but at his age
it is highly unlikely. The big reason behind a contending Braves team will be
a rebuilt rotation featuring Derek Lowe, Javier Vazquez, and Kenshin
Kawakami. Vazquez always disappoints the projections, which always love his
K/W ratio. In his favor, he'll be pitching in a reasonable park with a decent
defense for the first time in his career. He and Lowe are as good bets for
200 innings as you can find, and it will be appreciated.
The Nationals could have a very impressive offense this season. With Adam
Dunn, Ryan Zimmerman, Josh Willingham, and Elijah Dukes they have the makings
of an excellent middle of the order. Their defense should be really bad (what
do you expect when you add Dunn and Willingham and don't have a DH spot to
hide them?). Don't expect much from an unimpressive pitching staff in DC, but
there should be plenty of souvenirs for fans in the bleacher seats.
The Phillies have not improved the team from last year, as they kept most of
the team the same while going for less power, more age, and equally crappy
defense in left field. Sure, they won the world series so they don't need to
improve, right? Wrong. The history of World champions who do not take steps
to continually improve the team is not filled with repeaters.
Mets didn't really act like a big market team heading into a new stadium this
offseason. While they have a talented core, they have done little to surround
it with the kind of players to make a postseason appearance likely. I guess
they could still make a surprise big for Manny Ramirez, otherwise Mets fans
just have one more reason to hate Bernie Madoff. Marlins? I just don't see it
this year.
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