※ 引述《bri (.....................)》之銘言：
: http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=3220894
: Sources: Mets agree to Santana deal, pending extension agreement
: ESPN.com news services
: Updated: January 29, 2008, 4:45 PM ET
: The Mets have agreed to a trade with the Minnesota Twins to acquire
: Johan Santana for four prospects, pending the left-hander working
: out an extension with New York, sources told ESPN's Peter Gammons.
: The Mets have been granted a 48 to-72-hour window to work out a new
: contract with Santana.
: The trade agreement was first reported by USA Today on its Web site.
: 剛剛看到跑馬燈
: package是Carlos Gomez、Delios Guerra、Kevin Mulvey、Philip Humber
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=738
BP作家 Nate Silver 貼出了 Johan Santana 今年的PECOTA預測成績：
I know I'm overdue on getting you guys all the PECOTAs, but in the meantime,
let's see what we have Johan Santana doing in Shea Stadium. For reference,
I've also included our original projection for him in Minnesota.
GS W-L IP H BB SO HR ERA SuperVORP WARP MORP
Mets 32 16-8 225.0 184 60 239 25 2.94 56.8 7.5 $22,400,000
Twins 33 15-9 227.0 197 62 230 25 3.32 55.6 7.4 $21,975,000
That would be a very good season — and would probably make Santana the
odds-on favorite to win the Cy Young Award. But my sense is that people are
looking for Sandy Koufax circa 1965 and that's not likely to be the case.
For one thing, while Shea is an excellent pitchers' park, the Metrodome had
become a pretty good pitchers' park too, so the marginal gain is less than
you’d think. For another, Santana's talent level appears to have degraded
just a tiny little bit from his 2004-2006 peak; he's always been a flyball
pitcher, but now a few more of those flyballs are landing for home runs.
But. Santana's WARP and VORP totals are essentially pure profit for the
Mets, since some of the guys they were running out there last year were
replacement level talents at best. And it's hard to think of another
permutation of team and player that does more to improve a team's chances of
reaching the playoffs. Considering that the Mets managed to achieve this
without giving up a single top-tier prospect, this is a happy day for Mets
fans.
小聯盟專家 John Sickels 對於 Mets 送出去的四名新秀的評比：Deolis Guerra(B+)，
Carlos Gomez(B)，Kevin Mulvey(B)，Phil Humber(B-)。
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