[情報] 2010 Top 50 Free Agents

[appshjkli (折耳貓)]

  http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/

  2010 Top 50 Free Agents

  By Tim Dierkes [November 8 at 10:45pm CST]

  It's time for the fourth annual MLB Trade Rumors Top 50 Free Agents list!

  The entire list of available free agents can be found here.

  A note before we begin - this is a complicated puzzle, and I'll be satisfied

  if I'm correct on a quarter of these guesses.  If your favorite team seems

  under-represented, keep in mind that the list doesn't account for trades or

  every single free agent.

  1.  Matt Holliday - Mets.  The Mets could grab headlines by signing Holliday

  to a six or seven-year deal for more than $100MM.

  2.  John Lackey - Yankees.  Last winter's strategy of signing the best two

  starters and the best hitter available contributed to the Yankees' World

  Series title.  With rotation question marks after C.C. Sabathia and A.J.

  Burnett, it makes sense that the Yanks will pursue the best available starter

  in Lackey.

  3.  Jason Bay - Red Sox.  It's been rumored the Red Sox are willing to offer

  four years and $60MM to Bay.  That seems to be a fair opening bid, given his

  defensive struggles.

  4.  Chone Figgins - Angels.  The Angels have internal options at third base,

  but he'd be hard to let go after a career-high .395 OBP and excellent defense

  at the hot corner.

  5.  Randy Wolf - Mets.  The Mets regrettably chose Oliver Perez over Wolf a

  year ago.  As the best available starter aside from Lackey, Wolf is primed to

  get a three-year deal worth more than $30MM.

  6.  Andy Pettitte - Yankees.  With all the good vibes surrounding Pettitte's

  work this year, it's hard to see him anywhere else.  The Yankees might have

  to guarantee more than $5.5MM this time though.

  7.  Jose Valverde - Phillies.  One way to shore up a shaky bullpen: sign the

  best closer available.  Few teams are seeking closers, and even fewer have

  money, so the Phillies should be able to get a relative bargain.

  8.  Marco Scutaro - Red Sox.  It's difficult to place Scutaro, because not

  many teams with shortstop vacacies will be willing to pay the three years and

  $18MM+ he'll likely demand.  The Sox would be getting the best available

  shortstop here, but they could instead choose Jed Lowrie and/or Alex Gonzalez

  9.  Adrian Beltre - Twins.  The Twins made a large upgrade at shortstop by

  acquiring J.J. Hardy.  Beltre would give them fantastic left-side infield

  defense and another possible 20 home run bat.  The Twins had interest in

  trading for Beltre a year ago, though the Scott Boras client added them to

  his no-trade clause.

  10.  Rich Harden - Red Sox.  A one-year deal with a $7MM base salary would be

  difficult for Harden to resist.  His injuries are maddening, but he leads

  free agent starters with a 10.9 K/9.

  11.  Mike Cameron - Padres.  The Padres are tight on cash, but bringing back

  Cameron  to play center field makes sense on a one-year deal worth $7MM or so.

  12.  Johnny Damon - Yankees.  Most believe the Yankees will re-sign one of

  Damon and Hideki Matsui.  Despite Matsui's World Series MVP award, Damon

  probably fits better given his ability to play the field more regularly.

  13.  Orlando Hudson - Nationals.  The Nats coveted Hudson last year.  Adding

  him now would help with their stated goal of improving up the middle.

  14.  Miguel Tejada - Athletics.  A one-year deal to bring Tejada back would

  give the A's security on the left side of the infield, where they have Cliff

  Pennington at shortstop and Brett Wallace not quite ready at third base.

  15.  Joel Pineiro - Cardinals.  He'd be a big loss for the Cardinals, who

  have rotation openings after Chris Carpenter, Adam Wainwright, and Kyle

  Lohse.  Pineiro walked just 27 in 214 innings posted a 60.5% groundball rate

  due to a newfound sinker.

  16.  Nick Johnson - Giants.  A jolt of OBP at first base would do the Giants

  good.  They were involved in talks for Johnson around the trade deadline.

  17.  Aroldis Chapman - Red Sox.  They've been heavily involved with Chapman

  from the start, and may consider him a long-term investment worth more than

  $20MM.

  18.  Marlon Byrd - Rangers.  Byrd is one of the better center fielders

  available, but not too many clubs are in the hunt at the position.  The Cubs

  could be in the mix here after they trade Milton Bradley.

  19.  Vladimir Guerrero - White Sox.  The White Sox would generate attention

  by signing Vlad as a DH and occasional right fielder.  Landing Guerrero would

  also be a solid baseball move on a reasonable one-year deal.

  20.  Felipe Lopez - Dodgers.  They seem ready to part ways with Orlando

  Hudson, and Lopez might be a bit cheaper.  Lopez's 2009 season ranked fourth

  among all free agents in WAR.

  21.  Adam LaRoche - Braves.  Did LaRoche's scorching stint with the Braves

  last year price him out of their range?  The Mets, Orioles, A's, Mariners,

  Giants, D'Backs, and Rangers might also be in the market for a first baseman.

  22.  Rafael Soriano - Angels.  Will the failure of Brian Fuentes prompt the

  Angels to add another late-inning arm?  After missing most of '08, Soriano

  bounced back with 102 strikeouts in 75.6 innings this year.

  23. Jon Garland, Dodgers.  Bringing back Garland would be a safe move, though

  the Dodgers already declined his $10MM option.  Garland required a $7.25MM

  guarantee a year ago, and he had a better season, so this is an iffy

  prediction.  The Twins, Nationals, Mets, and Brewers may be among the other

  teams seeking an innings-eater.

  24.  Carl Pavano - Nationals.  Back to his original organization?  Pavano

  surprisingly managed 33 starts in '09, and his 4.16 xFIP reveals his 5.10 ERA

  was misleading.

  25.  Brad Penny - Mets.  Penny is just one of many different arms the Mets

  might consider as they attempt to bolster their rotation depth.  No other

  free agent starter throws harder, so Penny's upside is still tantalizing.

  26.  Erik Bedard - Dodgers.  If the Dodgers don't want to pony up the cash or

  prospects for a true ace, they could buy a Bedard lottery ticket instead.

  27.  Hideki Matsui - Mariners.  Matsui joining the Mariners in a DH/left

  field role will become more likely if Ken Griffey Jr. retires.

  28.  Bengie Molina - Nationals.  Molina is difficult to place, especially if

  he demands more than $5MM.  With Jesus Flores coming off shoulder surgery,

  the Nats will probably add a veteran on a one-year deal.  The Mets also may

  sign a catcher.

  29.  Mike Gonzalez - Braves.  Gonzalez should be cheaper than Soriano, and

  the Braves need some kind of relief signing or acquisition. With available

  closers plentiful, the Braves could wait around until March in hopes of a

  bargain.

  30.  Jason Marquis - Diamondbacks.  The D'Backs are known to crave a mid-tier

  veteran starter, and Marquis is one of many options.  Many have speculated

  Marquis would like to play for the Mets, and they are a reasonable match as

  well.

  31.  Placido Polanco - Diamondbacks.  Second base is another area of need for

  Arizona.  As with the Marquis situation above, Polanco is one of several

  palatable free agent choices.

  32.  Tim Wakefield - Red Sox.  Wakefield had back surgery in October, but the

  Red Sox will probably still view him as a bargain at $4MM.

  33.  Ben Sheets - Rangers.  The Brewers and Rangers seem to be the most

  likely landing spots for Sheets, who had flexor tendon surgery in February

  and missed the '09 season.  That injury caused a two-year deal with the

  Rangers to fall apart.

  34.  Doug Davis - Brewers.  Davis was claimed off waivers by the Brewers in

  August, but they couldn't work out a deal with the D'Backs.  At the time,

  Davis liked the idea of returning to Milwaukee.  He'll probably have to back

  off his three-year demand to make it happen.

  35.  Jarrod Washburn - Brewers.  Perhaps the Brewers won't sign these two

  mid-tier lefties, but they do figure to acquire a pair of starters somehow.

  Washburn could make it easier on the Brewers by providing a hometown

  discount.  Otherwise, trading Mat Gamel could net an arm.

  36.  Russell Branyan - Mariners.  Interest in a new contract is mutual.

  There are enough mitigating factors to make another one-year deal likely.

  37.  Billy Wagner - Cubs.  The Cubs don't have much payroll space, and they

  may prefer to go with Carlos Marmol as their closer.  Then again, they

  wouldn't do so a year ago when Marmol was coming off a good season.  The Cubs

  could offer Wagner a chance to close, as could the Orioles, Rays, Tigers,

  Angels, and Braves.  Even Wagner's old teams, the Phillies and Astros, have

  back-end bullpen concerns.

  38.  Juan Uribe - Mariners.  Uribe was quietly very valuable in 2009, playing

  all around the infield for the Giants.  Uribe's shortstop-third base

  flexibility could fit for Seattle.

  39.  John Smoltz - Tigers.  Smoltz of course came up with the Tigers, and

  they considered him a year ago.  They could sign him and keep an open mind as

  to his role.

  40.  Jermaine Dye - Rangers.  The Rangers signing both Byrd and Dye might be

  a stretch, though Dye should be used strictly at DH.  Given his second half

  decline he should be affordable.

  41.  Mark DeRosa - Phillies.  I debated flipping the DeRosa-Beltre

  predictions, as both the Phillies and Twins have a need at third base.

  DeRosa, a former Penn quarterback, has been linked to the Phils for years.

  42.  Coco Crisp - Royals.  The Royals already declined his $8MM option.  But

  Crisp likes Kansas City and the Royals still need a center fielder, so an

  incentive-based deal could happen.

  43.  Carlos Delgado - Orioles.  In Delgado, the Orioles could add a possible

  30-home run bat with little risk.  And Delgado could benefit from some time

  at DH.

  44.  Orlando Cabrera - Blue Jays.  O-Cab might find a small market for his

  services this winter, even without a draft pick cost attached.

  45.  Gregg Zaun - Rays.  Zaun can void his $2MM club option if the Rays

  exercise it, but he might be swayed by the chance to start.

  46.  Jim Thome - Athletics.  The A's should have their pick of affordable

  free agent DHs.  Thome's not done; he hit .249/.366/.481 this year.

  47.  Fernando Rodney - Tigers.  I have no idea where Rodney will sign.  No

  one will want to pay a premium for his 37 saves.  He might be best-served

  returning to Detroit on a one-year deal worth $6MM or so.

  48.  Xavier Nady - Diamondbacks.  The D'Backs will probably tender a contract

  to Conor Jackson, but Nady could still be helpful at first base and left

  field.  He's a Scott Boras client, but he missed most of the season due to

  Tommy John surgery.

  49.  Kiko Calero - Rays.  Calero's a health risk, so he might be cheap

  despite a 1.95 ERA and 10.4 K/9 in 60 innings this year.  He's the type of

  reliever the Rays figure to add.

  50.  Rafael Betancourt - Rockies.  I think the Rockies will work out a

  two-year deal to retain Betancourt as their setup man.  It could include

  incentives for closing, should Huston Street depart after '10 or struggle

  before then.

  Honorable mentions: Justin Duchscherer, Troy Glaus, Alex Gonzalez, Randy

  Johnson, Brett Myers, Vicente Padilla, Chan Ho Park, J.J. Putz, Takashi

  Saito, Jack Wilson


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◆ From: 118.160.44.144
※ 編輯: appshjkli       來自: 118.160.44.144       (11/09 14:38)
推 righthand:大門有這麼高嗎
推 JoshBeckeet:John Lackey如果又被NYY補到  == ==|||
推 hollowmanx:松井去水手的話 就真的是日本水手隊了XD 可惜城島回日
→ hollowmanx:本去了 否則三個日本人同時在水手lineup裡還真是精采XD
推 whelp:然後季中換岩村來守2B...日本隊完成....(誤)
推 asdfzx: Pavano也不錯高唷 ^^
推 bounds:水手交易川上過去，收集日系公仔吧..XD
推 HonorCat:NYY2010年輪值: CC AJ 鳥王 雷姬 派派(誤)
推 jack6353:smoltz回到美聯?  那會很危險...
推 visda:那把井川也交易過去好了(大誤)
→ visda:蒐集到兩個井兩個川
推 supersimon:21.22.29..有夠後面的..真是看不起人..
推 JoshBeckeet:搞不好8F說的會是真的..呵呵 這樣其他隊要玩屁啊...
推 Rodriguez:鳥王橫看豎看都是不動一號吧
推 siliver:WS MVP都在27名了,那三個還好吧 XD
→ siliver:不過為何Bay被預測拿的會比Holliday少那麼多啊??
→ skiypig:預測就好  不然看不懂紅襪哪裡這麼缺SP
推 Brackman:守備 年紀 傷病史 經紀人
推 matsui32:八樓成真的話，NYY：你們別花錢爭第二名了 省一點
推 yyhhzz:這排名怪怪  紅襪簽下去就變十人輪值了(誤)
→ Dantley:可以把五人擺在DL
推 t2007:感覺PAVANO明年會大爆發.他休這麼久.今年應該只是暖暖身吧XD
推 joeyer:排名好詭異...
推 maikxz:Pavano很有價值 因為有他就可以鎮壓DL名單
推 wen8499:説洋基會簽雷姬的機會太小了吧,要花那錢不如簽哈勒戴
推 krara:Doc要明年季末才FA啦。
推 zerg1228:真的都給專家預測來排就好了啊= =
推 ezzy:跟去年相比 今年感覺無趣多了
推 vesounir:日本最強的RF、日本最強的LF、日本最強的SP....科科科
→ OoyaoO:Lackey跟Halladay不同 先搞清楚吧 一個FA 一個要割人肉
推 jeffboy:鳥王明年結束才是FA  想拿到就要農場大掃除了
→ rayven:對北佬來說能用錢解決的都是小事，換鳥王是要錢也要人
推 JoshBeckeet:不要小看cashman...搞不好真的用Melky之流的換到...
→ rayven:北佬最多只能叫現金人去對方家洗碗，清農場是辦不到的
→ asdfzx:八樓的輪值除了考慮要連霸幾年外沒有別的事要擔心了XD
→ asdfzx:很奇怪洗碗明明是襪Theo去席姐家做,怎麼現在都是Cash中槍..
→ HonorCat:各位大大別認真 小弟只是推個幻想文XD
→ rayven:梅子明年拼了命也會簽Pavano過來鎮住DL詛咒吧
→ asdfzx: Pa:"我愛紐約 我喜歡這裡~~~~~" XD
→ OoyaoO:去年可以用那種包裹換到Swisher解決至少三年的RF人選
→ OoyaoO:害我好期待他今年又會做什麼交易XD
推 chancewen:樓上又在期待了嗎XD
推 chienyulin:我論這篇預測是紅襪迷主筆的可能性XD
→ chienyulin:紅襪補一堆，洋基卻是只有續約該續約的而已XD
推 Belladonaa:Dierkes是MTR的站長...百年球迷
推 jameshu0910:戰意太弱...沒搞頭
推 TiangLei:洋基還會簽多少大咖球員呢???  真令人期待
推 yyhhzz:光緒熊不知道還要不期不待多久 害
推 four5:這種預測50個能中六七個就了不起了
推 Ivers:通通來兄弟吧!!
推 redsnipertd:今年Yanks要補的洞本來不多
推 jianoon:來兄弟 就可以湊滿一軍 二軍的Roster 勇冠三軍 獨霸中職!!
推 lucky360:不覺得VG會離開天使 多年的看板球員
推 eilgreen:Figgins這麼高!!
→ Brackman:VG離開天使的機會應該不算小
推 wen8499:抱歉,我的原意是簽雷基不如簽Matt Holliday
推 noahlin:Holliday當然好啊 錢多就OK
推 albertjet:這篇預測Holliday和Bay的價碼跟季中後大家預測的差不多
推 albertekins:BAY比較Holliday好 我覺得XD