[情報] AL MVP Race - Offense Plus Defense (OPD)

[gaga19900329 (TheStoryGoes)]

AL MVP Race - Offense Plus Defense (OPD) - Through Sept 02, 2008

原文：http://tinyurl.com/5uz86r

Carlos Quentin? Dustin Pedrioia? Alex Rodriguez?  Who is the best candidate
for the AL MVP?  Has Pedroia’s recent hot streak and media hype lifted him
to a top five candidate?  He’s certainly played well enough to be the best
player on his team.  Or has he?

Quentin?Pedroia?A-Rod?誰才是美聯MVP的最佳人選?Pedroia最近火熱的表現和媒體大
大肆的宣傳是否會讓他進入候選人的前五名嗎?他最近的成績足以令他成為隊上最好的
球員。

What follows is a discussion of the AL OPD (offense plus defense) leaders and
who should be headed for the MVP.  Sometimes the month of September can be
enough to move players in this ranking when they are tightly bunched.  So,
while these are the leaders, the rankings are not cemented.

下面是關於美聯OPD(打擊和守備)的領先者和誰應該成為MVP的討論。有時候九月就已經
足夠令成績接近的球員排名出現變動。所以，雖然他們現在是領先群，但這個排名仍不
是確定的。

The runs are rated above average at position.  The offense is XR,
park-adjusted, and specific to the number of outs a player has used up.  The
defense is DRS (Defensive Runs Saved: ZR converted to runs), explained in my
previous work.  It is runs, not plays, above average. The units are the same,
so I simply add the numbers together.  The decimal places are for consistency
’s sake, not meant to represent accuracy.  There are several runs of give in
these (and any) numbers, offense or defense.

評分以聯盟中同一個位置的平均成績做為依據。打擊的代表數據是XR，經過了球場跟
出局數的調整。守備則是DRS(球員守住了多少分數:以ZR換算)這是比平均多守住的分數，
而不是守住的球。單位是一樣的，所以我就直接將他們相加。

In this data, the catcher defense is properly calculated, including all
passed ball, stolen base data, as well as incorporating the ZR data.  This is
different from previous datasets, but the complaining about it was enough to
get me to make the effort.

在這份資料中，捕手的守備包括補逸、盜壘和ZR計算的數據。

There is some taint in some of the defensive data.  If a player played more
than one position, I have summed all of his defensive contributions and using
that total number for his DRS at his Primary defensive position.  There are
very few players this affects, and none are impacted significantly.  Marco
Scutaro is significantly affected.  He is a +4 at SS, but plays all over well
enough to boost that to a +12 defender.  I believe using all the data more
accurately reflects his total contribution to his team’s successes.  I also
include Tony Pena’s and Jamie Burke’s pitching runs.  All of the AL, plus
team totals is shared in a Google Doc here.  The green represents the top
mark in a category at a position and the yellow represents the worst mark.

這些守備的資料仍有些缺點，假如一個球員打超過一個以上的位置，我就必須把他所有的
防守貢獻全部加總做為他主要位置的DRS。但很少球員有巨大的影響。Marco Scutaro則被
嚴重的影響了。他是一個+4的游擊手，但能打所有位置已經好到足夠讓他成為一個+12的
守備者。相信這些數據能更準確地反映出球員對球隊的貢獻。

All that done, let’s talk about some players.  Scroll to the bottom if you
want to see who the AL MVP leader is.

好啦 該說的都說完了，讓我們來看看各位置領先的球員，假如你想知道誰是美聯MVP的
領先者，就直接拉到最下面吧


Designated Hitter

Player  Name    Team    Primary   DRS     XRa+     OPD    
J.Thome          CHW     DH      0.00    15.79   15.79
D.Ortiz          BOS     DH      0.00     9.88    9.88
C.Floyd          TBR     DH      0.00     7.65    7.65

Well, these guys are out of the running.  They have a smaller set to be
compared to, so perhaps I should lump them in with 1Bs?  No, that drops these
guys by three runs.

這些人是在排名之外的，他們的比較集合很小，所以也許我應該把他們跟1B一起比較?
不，這樣會讓他們下降3分。


First Base

Player  Name    Team    Primary  DRS     XRa+    OPD     
K.Youkilis      BOS     1B       6.37    23.15   29.52
A.Huff          BAL     1B      -3.86    31.99   28.12
J.Morneau       MIN     1B      -1.30    25.30   24.00
C.Pena          TBR     1B       2.24    19.04   21.28

Youkilis is a very strong player.  He is presently fifth in the league in
OPD, with Huff at seventh.  Here’s the first Oriole in the top performers
list.  They had some players with terrific seasons.  Some people have
suggested Morneau for MVP, but I don’t see it.

Youkilis是個非常優秀的球員，在聯盟OPD的排名中位於第五名，而Huff則是第七名，
他是金鶯在這份名單中的第一個球員，他們有些打者有著非常棒的一個球季。有些人認
為Morneau會是MVP，但我實在不這麼認為。


Second Base

Player  Name    Team    Primary  DRS     XRa+    OPD     
D.Pedroia       BOS     2B       8.70    18.88   27.58
I.Kinsler       TEX     2B      -0.44    26.29   25.85
B.Roberts       BAL     2B       0.49    23.46   23.95

Pedroia is the best second baseman after his hot streak.  It’s hard to say
if he’ll be there on October 3rd.  His defense gives him an edge, but
Roberts and Kinsler are better hitters and Pedroia could lose ground there
quickly.  He does have lots of home games, so we’ll see.  Pedroia is 8th in
the AL, three slots behind his teammate Youkilis.  I don’t think he’s the
MVP.  And Roberts - another Oriole.

經過最近火熱的表現，Pedroia成為了二壘手的第一名，很難說他在十月三號後還在這裡
，他的守備是他的優勢，但Roberts和Kinsler是較好的打者，Pedroia將很快失去領先地
位。但他還有許多的主場比賽，所以我們可以持續觀察。Pedroia是美聯的第8名，落後隊
友Youkilis三名。我不覺得他會是MVP。還有Roberts-這份名單上的第二個金鶯球員。


Shortstop 

Player  Name    Team    Primary DRS     XRa+    OPD     
M.Scutaro       TOR     SS      12.38   7.11    19.49
M.Aviles        KCR     SS      2.85    14.24   17.10
D.Jeter         NYY     SS      -0.09   11.72   11.62

Marco Scutaro is getting an eight run boost playing defense all around the
diamond, so the real leader here is Aviles.  Look at Derek Jeter being
average at defense!  You go, Derek

Marco Scutaro因為全能的守備因此加了8分，所以真正的領先者其實是Aviles。看看
Jeter的守備分數吧，Derek得加油了。


Third Base

Player  Name    Team    Primary DRS     XRa+    OPD     
A.Rodriguez     NYY     3B      -3.28   34.73   31.45
A.Beltre        SEA     3B      13.94   6.23    20.17
C.Guillen       DET     3B       9.34   10.46   19.80
E.Longoria      TBR     3B       0.12   19.60   19.72

It turns out that Alex Rodriguez is a superior player.  His defense isn’t
good, but close to average.  Adrian Beltre is giving the Mariners what they
paid for this year.  A great glove and a good bat.  What?  His OPS+ is 109?
 That sounds about right.  Evan Longoria chased up the charts pretty good.
 ARod is number four on the AL OPD chart.

結果顯示A-Rod是個十分卓越的打者。他的守備分數雖然不高，但接近平均。Beltre給了
水手他們希望看到的成績，優秀的防守和好的打擊。什麼?他的OPS+是109?這聽起來似乎
是真的。Longoria靠著非常好的打擊緊追在後。A-Rod是美聯的第四名。


Catcher

Player  Name    Team    Primary DRS     XRa+    OPD     
J.Mauer          MIN     C       3.15    29.25   32.39
K.Shoppach       CLE     C       5.07    14.14   19.21

Joe Mauer is just a great player.  Too bad he’s too tall to be good for very
long.  That injury to Victor Martinez is positively Bledsoe-ian.  At the end
of the page, I extended the top twenty to twenty-two so I could capture
Scutaro and Shoppach.  Just a little recognition for players that couldn’t
possibly be getting the attention they deserve.  Mauer is third in teh AL MVP
race, and still seeing his teammate get the most attention.

Mauer是個偉大的球員，但他成績好到無法維持太久。最後的名單我擴充到了前22名，這樣
才能讓Scutaro和Shoppach進榜。只是對這些沒得到應有注意的球員一個小小的表揚。
Mauer是美聯的第三名，但獲得最多注意的仍是他的隊友。


Left Field

Player  Name    Team    Primary DRS     XRa+    OPD    
C.Quentin       CHW     LF      -0.90   29.77   28.88
L.Scott         BAL     LF       8.78   13.63   22.40
J.Damon         NYY     LF      -2.40   22.53   20.13

Carlos Quentin and Luke Scott.  Who?  What?  Quentin is 6th in the league in
OPD, and really been just tremendous all year.  Here’s the third Oriole.
 How is that team so bad?

Quentin和Luke Scott。誰?什麼?Quentin是聯盟的第六名，而且真的持續讓我們驚豔了
一整年。這裡又出現了另一名金鶯球員了。這球隊到底為什麼戰績會這麼糟?


Right Field

Player  Name    Team    Primary DRS     XRa+    OPD     
M.Bradley       TEX     RF      -1.96   36.06   34.10
N.Markakis      BAL     RF      -2.65   25.56   22.91

The old dinosaur Milton Bradley is having a great year.  Not being
body-slammed by your coach is helpful.  Bradley has the second highest OPD in
the AL, but I don’t suspect he’ll see any MVP votes.  And another Oriole.

Bradley有著美好的一年，沒有被你的教練揍果然有幫助。Bradley有著美聯第二高的OPD
不過我想他在MVP票選上不會拿到票。這裡又出現另一個金鶯球員了。


Center Field

Player  Name      Team    Primary DRS     XRa+    OPD    
G.Sizemore        CLE     CF      9.27    35.47   44.74
C.Grandersn       DET     CF      1.01    22.66   23.67
J.Hamilton        TEX     CF      -4.57   25.03   20.47

Josh Hamilton will get the Texas MVP votes because he has the story, and he’
s really helped my fantasy baseball this sason (as has Bradley).  Curtis
Granderson is having a great season as well.  But the league MVP should be
Grady Sizemore (if not Cliff Lee).  Sizemore has been everything a player can
be - top hitter in the league and the best defensive center fielder.  That’s
a great player.  the Indians are staging a furious, albeit futile, comeback,
so perhaps he will get some votes.

Hamilton會拿到遊騎兵的MVP因為他的故事，還有他在我這季FB上貢獻良多。Granderson
也有著一個非常棒的球技。但聯盟的MVP應該是Sizemore(假如不是Lee的話)。Sizemore
擁有任何一個打者所能拿到的頭銜。聯盟頂尖的打擊者和最好的中外野手。他真是個偉大
的球員。印地安人正上演著猛烈但希望渺小的反攻，所以他應該會拿到一些票。



The Top Twenty (Two)


Player  Name   Team    Primary   DRS     XRa+    OPD      
G.Sizemore      CLE     CF      9.27    35.47   44.74
M.Bradley       TEX     RF     -1.96    36.06   34.10
J.Mauer         MIN     C       3.15    29.25   32.39
A.Rodriguez     NYY     3B     -3.28    34.73   31.45
K.Youkilis      BOS     1B      6.37    23.15   29.52
C.Quentin       CHW     LF     -0.90    29.77   28.88
A.Huff          BAL     1B     -3.86    31.99   28.12
D.Pedroia       BOS     2B      8.70    18.88   27.58
I.Kinsler       TEX     2B     -0.44    26.29   25.85
J.Morneau       MIN     1B     -1.30    25.30   24.00
B.Roberts       BAL     2B      0.49    23.46   23.95
C.Grandersn     DET     CF      1.01    22.66   23.67
N.Markakis      BAL     RF     -2.65    25.56   22.91
L.Scott         BAL     LF      8.78    13.63   22.40
C.Pena          TBR     1B      2.24    19.04   21.28
J.Hamilton      TEX     CF     -4.57    25.03   20.47
A.Beltre        SEA     3B      13.94    6.23   20.17
J.Damon         NYY     LF     -2.40    22.53   20.13
C.Guillen       DET     3B      9.34    10.46   19.80
E.Longoria      TBR     3B      0.12    19.60   19.72
M.Scutaro       TOR     SS      12.38    7.11   19.49
K.Shoppach      CLE     C       5.07    14.14   19.21

--
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◆ From: 220.136.44.88
※ 編輯: gaga19900329    來自: 220.136.44.88        (09/07 22:40)
推 pikachu123:哭哭,出現好多金鶯球員,這球隊到底為什麼戰績麼糟
推 rj0222:大概是跟TEX一樣的理由吧...
推 pikachu123:答案是ERA 團隊ERA 5.13 AL只贏條子
推 pikachu123:先發只有Guthrie能看,但他只有10W11L
※ goopa:轉錄至看板 Indians                                        09/07 23:02
推 DoMoe:Mauer、阿肉和優客看起來的確是領先群
推 kobelan:阿肉在這些精密的計算下的數據都好恐怖．．．
推 pikachu123:別忘了他還缺席20場
→ richard1003:A-Rod的恐怖不必算也知
推 son8868:這篇的重點是酸BAL XDD
→ pikachu123:就跟Pujols一樣
推 richard1003:金鳥暑假去補投手吧.....
→ pikachu123:我覺得 Daniel Cabrera快不行了控球一直練不好
推 abing75907:鬼帝啦  鬼帝FOR MVP!!
推 KoAnne:Lee不知道會不會搶到幾張票~
推 stk11:C.Guillen竟然也在名單中!
推 BatmanII:配額吹!!
推 Sizemore24:
推 pikachu123:KING可是水兵勝投最多的了
→ pikachu123:推錯篇= =
推 a5896:金鳥真的是
推 richard1003:團隊ERA 5.13就是說全隊投手比Ponson還不如XD
推 lovemost:人家好歹今天QS...
推 raygod:阿肉的防守回不來了?