[外電] 球季後值得一看的十場年度大戲（上）

[GioGonzalez (G-Gon)]

原文from b/r：http://ppt.cc/sGjW
By Zachary D. Rymer , MLB Lead Writer Nov 2, 2014


10. Decisions, Decisions for the Two Pennant Winners

After treating us to a dandy of a seven-game battle in the World Series, the
San Francisco Giants and the Kansas City Royals now have to make arrangements
to get back to the Fall Classic.
For Giants general manager Brian Sabean, the big decision is what to do with
Pablo Sandoval. The switch-hitting third baseman is only 28 and is heading into
free agency off a .366 average in the postseason. One way or another, he's due
some big bucks.
Sabean will also have calls to make on left fielder Mike Morse, right-hander
Sergio Romo and starters Jake Peavy and Ryan Vogelsong. As such, he could be
forced to overhaul a big chunk of his roster this winter.
Meanwhile in Kansas City, Royals general manager Dayton Moore is facing the
possibly hopeless task of re-signing staff ace James Shields. After posting a
3.18 ERA in two seasons with the Royals, his cost could be too rich for the
small-market Royals.

Other Royals free agents include right fielder Nori Aoki and designed hitter
Billy Butler. Also, Andy Martino of the New York Daily News says the team is
expected to at least listen to trade offers for left fielder Alex Gordon, first
baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Mike Moustakas.
For the Giants and Royals, getting to the World Series wasn't easy. Getting
back to the World Series will start with a rocky beginning for both clubs.

10.兩聯盟冠軍的抉擇

在帶來給我們七場精彩的WS大戰之後，老人與黃家（舒）要開始調整陣容，
以便再次回到世界大賽。

對老人GM傻賓而言，最大的問題是如何對待功夫熊貓P. Sandoval。
左右開弓的熊貓才28歲，擁有領先全FA市場的.366季後賽打擊率，
他應該得到一張大約。

此外，傻賓還要處理LF M. Morse、右投RP S. Romo、SP J. Peavy與佛光山等人的合約。
在這些情況下，老人這個冬天可能得大修他們的球員名單了。

同時，KC的GM，Moore，必須面對沒啥希望的挑戰—重簽神盾。
過去兩年，神盾ERA僅有3.18，現在的他可能對小市場的KC來說太貴了。

KC的FA同時還有RF青木與DH Butler。
紐約日報的Andy Martino說，KC應該至少會聽聽各方
對Gordon、Hosmer與Mooooooooose的交易報價。

今年對KC與SF而言，殺入世界大賽很不容易。而重返世界大賽道路，也相當難走。


9. How Will the Qualifying Offer Impact the Free-Agent Market?


These days, the arrival of free agency also means the arrival of
qualifying-offer-cluster-you-know-what season.
If you missed out on the fun the last two years, qualifying offers are one-year
contracts at a set value that clubs can offer to their own free agents. If a
player rejects the offer and signs elsewhere, his old team gets a draft pick
while his new team (provided it doesn't have a protected top-10 pick) loses a
draft pick.
Which is kind of a big deal at a time when draft picks are probably coveted
more than ever before. Since teams aren't in a hurry to give them up, we've
seen free agents' markets seriously hurt by ties to draft-pick compensation in
each of the last two winters.

However, things may be different this winter.
With the qualifying offer value going from $14.1 million to $15.3 million,
teams will need to be more careful about who they offer them to. Because that's
pretty good money, it's possible we'll see some players—according to Joel
Sherman of the New York Post, David Robertson could be one of them—accept the
offer rather than bother with potentially iffy markets for their services.
In so many words: Rather than a cluster-you-know-what, qualifying offer season
could be a fun sort of cat-and-mouse game for a change.

9. Qualifying Offer揪~竟會怎麼影響FA市場？

如果你錯過前兩年的有趣QO話題的話，我們就再解釋一下：QO是一份一年合約，合約價碼是
定值，可以提供給球隊的FA。如果這位球員拒絕QO，並與其他球隊簽約，那隻新球隊必須給
FA的母隊一個選秀權（首輪前10順位是被保護的，新球隊擁有前10順位，母隊拿第二輪；新
球隊的順位不在10內，母隊拿第一輪）。

與之前相比，若有FA拒絕QO，那新球隊要付出的代價真的有點大。新球隊不會輕易放棄他們
的選秀，因此過去兩個冬天，FA市場都遭受選秀補償制度（QO）嚴重衝擊。
然而，今年冬天，事情有點不同。

今年的QO定值從14.1M變成了15.3M，母隊對提QO這件事必須更小心。對球員來說，因為QO錢
變多了，因此我們可能看到某些球員（根據紐約時報的Joel Sherman說，這包括NYY的
Robertson）接受這個報價，而不是拒絕QO求更大的約，順便造成母隊損失選秀權。

比起之前那一拖拉庫拒絕QO的人，今年拒絕QO的貓抓老鼠遊戲，可能就沒這麼多囉。



8. Will Kenta Maeda Be the Next Great Thing from Japan?
First came Daisuke Matsuzaka in 2006. Then Yu Darvish in 2012. And then
Masahiro Tanaka last year. And now, perhaps the next hot pitching import from
Japan will be Kenta Maeda.
Emphasis on "perhaps."
If you're hearing Maeda's name for the first time, he's a 26-year-old
right-hander who's been tearing his way through Nippon Professional Baseball's
Central League with the Hiroshima Carp. After posting a 2.56 ERA in 2014, he
now has a 2.17 ERA over nearly 1,000 innings since 2010.
Mind you, Maeda doesn't profile as an ace-level pitcher like Darvish or Tanaka.
An international scouting director told Ben Badler of Baseball America last
winter that Maeda looks like a No. 4 starter. Even still, Nick Cafardo of The
Boston Globe reported that Maeda could be in line for a $100 million contract.
However, he has to be made available first. And at the moment, that's a big
"if." Maeda will only be available if the Carp post him, and Hiroshima's owner
recently told The Japan Times that "will be difficult."
So just like with Tanaka and the Rakuten Golden Eagles last winter, it looks
like we've got a bit of will-they-or-won't-they drama on our hands with
Hiroshima and Maeda. Grab some popcorn.


8. 前田健太會變成下一個和製巨投嗎？

從2006的平成怪物松坂大輔，到2012的賽亞王子達爾，再到去年的「世界の將大」，下一個
進軍MLB的和製巨投，可能是前田健太。

如果你第一次聽見Maeda Kenta這個名字，可能要說明一下。這位26歲，隸屬廣島東洋鯉魚
（Carps）的右投手，近年在NPB中央聯盟打遍天下無敵手。在今年球季繳出ERA 2.56的成績
後，從2010年開始，他在近1000局的投球中，繳出ERA2.17的好成績。

但提醒你，各界對前田的評價，並不是與田中、達爾並駕齊驅的ACE。某國際球探告訴BA的
Ben Badler說，前田看起來是個4號先發的水準。即使如此，Boston Globe的
Nick Cafardo報導前田可能會獲得一個100M的合約。

但不管怎麼說，現在的重點是，他必須要「能來」才行。前田要來MLB打拚，必須經過Carps
同意，而Carps最近對日本時報說，要放行有點困難。

所以，跟去年冬天「世界の將大vs樂天金鷹」一樣，今年冬天，Carps跟前田「老爺，放了
我，不然我要叫了喔」的愛恨情仇年度大戲，已經揭開序幕。去買個爆米花來好好欣賞吧！


7. How High Will the Bidding Go for Cuban Import Yasmani Tomas?

In a world where the free-agent market is flush with sluggers either pushing or
past the age of 30, if only there was a slugger in his mid-20s to be had!
Actually, there is one of those on the market this year.
Meet Yasmani Tomas. He's a right-handed hitting corner outfielder from Cuba
who, according to Ben Badler of Baseball America, has 70-grade power and can
hit "towering home runs." He's also only 24 years old and can be had for the
low, low price of...
Actually, scratch that. With right-handed power in short supply and Tomas on
the market in the wake of the success of fellow Cubans Yoenis Cespedes, Yasiel
Puig and Jose Abreu, he's not going to come cheap. In fact, Andy Martino of the
New York Daily News says $75 million is a "reasonable" target for him.
Given Tomas' appeal, it wouldn't be surprising if that's where the bidding
starts. And if it is, he could end up being the highest-paid position player of
the winter, even topping Pablo Sandoval and Hanley Ramirez.
Wouldn't that be something?


7.到底Yasmani Tomas價格會被炒得多高？

在這世界，FA強打要馬不是過30，就是接近30。想想看，要是有個20出頭的強打者會怎밊事實上，今年FA市場就有一個。

他就是Yasmani Tomas，是位來自古巴的右打角落外野手。根據BA的Ben Badler報導，他有
70-grade的砲瓦，可以打出「塔一樣高的HR」，他才24歲，而且要價很低、很低…。

好啦，刪掉要價很低這個特徵。今年FA市場強力右打供不應求；近期古巴強棒諸如Cespedes
、浦儀、Jose Abreu又一個個被證明是真貨，所以Tomas的價碼應該不會太低。事實上，紐
約日報的Martino說75M是個合理價格。

看看Tomas的叫價，各隊為了搶他而競標，大概是意料中事。他也可能成為今年冬天價格最
高的野手，甚至超過功夫熊貓與小亨利。

這可不是小事哦～



6. Will There Be a Phire Sale in Philadelphia?

The Philadelphia Phillies are not a good baseball team. They could become one
again, but they need to do some rebuilding first. To do that, they need to quit
stalling and get what they can for their valuable assets.
They haven't been willing to do this in the last couple years. But now it
sounds like they finally are.
It was very recently that Phillies interim CEO Pat Gillick told CSN Philly's
John Clark that that Phillies are probably "a couple years" from contending.
Between now and then, they need to rebuild.
That could mean that just about anyone could be traded, including Cole Hamels,
Jimmy Rollins, Ryan Howard, Jonathan Papelbon, Marlon Byrd and—provided teams
aren't scared off by his elbow issues in 2014—Cliff Lee.

"I know we have to do some things differently, which is certainly the plan,"
said general manager Ruben Amaro Jr. according to Todd Zolecki of MLB.com.
In theory, the Phillies have the right idea. But in light of their general
unwillingness to rebuild in recent seasons, we're finally going to find out
just how serious they are about rebuilding. And even if they are, it will be
fascinating to see if the market is all that interested in what they have to
offer at this point.



6.揪竟會不會有費城大甩賣呢？

廢城人（用字無誤）不是個好的球隊。他們可能再起，但首先，他們必須重建。為了重建，
他們必須停止墮落，並好好利用他們自己有剩餘價值的資產。

過去幾年，他們沒有這麼做，但看來今年他們會這樣做了。

最近，費城人的臨時CEO Gillick告訴CSN Philly的John Clark，費城人已經奮鬥了一段時
間，現在開始，要重建囉。
這代表著任何人都可以被交易，包括黑魔使、J-Ro、Howard、中二寶貝碰、Marlon Byrd，
還有Cliff Lee –如果你沒被2014年手肘問題嚇到的話。

GM Amaro說：「我知道我們必須做些不同的事，這是一定的」。

理論上來說，費城人想的是對的。但按照他們過去幾年不情不願的重建狀況，他們是否真的
要重建，必須繼續觀察。就算他們真的要重建，也要看看市場上有沒有人要他們的貨啊～



5. Who Will Replace Derek Jeter?

For 20 years, the New York Yankees didn't need to worry about looking for a new
shortstop. With Derek Jeter, they were covered.
But as you may or may not have heard/been reminded of a million times, 2014 was
Jeter's last season. He's gone now, and the Yankees have a hole at shortstop.
And as you'd expect, exactly how they should fill that hole is a good question.
The Yankees could pick from a number of free agents, including Stephen Drew,
Jed Lowrie or Asdrubal Cabrera if they're looking for a cheap-ish stopgap. If
they want more than that, they could pay big bucks for Hanley Ramirez. Provided
they don't mind continuing to live with horrid defense at short, of course.
Or the Yankees could turn to the trade market. As Joel Sherman of theNew York
Post pondered, that's where they could find Didi Gregorius, Jose Iglesias,
Jimmy Rollins or Alexei Ramirez. Or maybe they could make everyone's day
(including his?) by pulling off a blockbuster trade for Colorado Rockies
shortstop Troy Tulowitzki.
We'll see. That the Yankees need a replacement for Jeter is only half the
intrigue. The sheer amount of options they have is the other half.


5. 誰會頂替Re2pect的位置？

20年來，NYY從來不用煩惱找個新的SS來，Jeter太罩了。但正如你聽到/注意到幾百萬次的
消息，Jeter已退休，NYY必須補上SS的洞。誰來補呢？

NYY可以從FA裡面選，如果要選便宜的打工仔，有史蒂芬朱、Jed Lowrie、Asdrubal
Cabrera可以選。如果他們要更貴更好的，他們可以選小亨利，當然，NYY就必須面對小亨利
日益恐怖的SS守備，科科。

或者，NYY可以透過交易，根據NY POST的Joel Sherman做的功課，包括Didi Gregorius、
Jose Iglesias、J-RO、Alexei Ramirez都是選項。或者，他們可以盤來兔肉，這交易之大，
全世界球迷都會高潮噴汁。

等著看吧，洋基要找替代SS人選只是他們陰謀裡的一部份，他們陰謀可多著呢。



新手上路，請多包涵。
若有錯譯，煩請各位大大推文補正，謝謝～

我想看棒球啊啊啊啊啊QQ




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※ 文章網址: http://www.ptt.cc/bbs/MLB/M.1414993710.A.765.html
※ 編輯: GioGonzalez (140.114.113.175), 11/03/2014 13:49:33
※ 編輯: GioGonzalez (140.114.113.175), 11/03/2014 13:51:54
推 SamFuld: Push
推 jardon: 推推
推 kokc: 前田健太不是已經說了明年打算留在日本嗎?!
→ appshjkli: NYY搬空農場系統也換不到兔肉 人家也不想要
推 f22708363: 推推推推
推 dudu5566: Jeter的守備都能忍受了 簽來小亨利應該也很快能適應吧
推 su43123: WS結束沒幾天就覺得整個冬天沒求看很空虛 T__T
推 jefftie2000: 坐等日美明星賽ing
推 a26513323: 期待廢城搶劫嗯歪歪(？
推 k33536: 為了紀念洋基隊長SS應該從NY退休  (誤
→ GioGonzalez: for RE2PECT，NYY宣佈取消游擊守位
→ wuming2: XD
→ OnlyTD: 5. NYY"從"來不用
→ OnlyTD: 10. Gordon
→ OnlyTD: 9.標題的QO免s
推 andy880036s: 推
推 OnlyTD: 6.臨時CEO Pat Gillick
推 OnlyTD: 5. Alex"e"i Ramirez
筆誤還真多，謝謝～
※ 編輯: GioGonzalez (140.114.113.175), 11/03/2014 15:15:54
推 watermelon20: NYY取消SS守位~新增搖擺人守位針對每一球做自由布陣
推 secpeda: 依照慢壘規則 取消SS 新增十洞
推 kaku216: COOL
推 joel010203: 兔肉來了話真的會噴XDDDD
→ secpeda: 簽一個只打明星賽前的貴死人SS?
推 maxspeed150: Didi不是被比做Jeter嗎
→ Strasburg20k: 恩歪歪不如把游擊守位跟2號一起退休掉
推 jojo2147: 想要Didi!!
推 hunlong: 我要叫了喔XDD
推 stevetroy: 推推
推 BMHSEA: 前田那篇 even still是說"即使如此" 不是even的甚至
謝謝orz
※ 編輯: GioGonzalez (140.114.113.175), 11/03/2014 17:07:39
※ 編輯: GioGonzalez (140.114.113.175), 11/03/2014 17:08:25
推 yulun718: 結果A-Rod復出守游擊(誤
推 chinhsi: 高潮噴汁XD
推 ultratimes: 小亨利的守備，書僮最明白
推 snake17: 推
推 k33536: PG變NONO
推 wuchianlin: 勇士要不要考慮從費城人那邊盤幾個老頭來用
推 jeremykobe: 前田還沒有mlb的實力吧
推 boston31:
→ Serphim: 4號SP有誰會花100M去買?
推 ppphantasy: 推
推 jeffhill: 推
推 CraigHansen: 前田沒有MLB的實力? 至少能扛後段輪值吧
推 iverson7761: 對SF而言，重返世界大賽的路很簡單，最簡單就是再等
→ iverson7761: 兩年
推 XDXDXDD: Cliff Lee去勇士吧(幻想
推 Skynet: Cliff Lee很貴的 2016年的Option光是Buyout都要12.5M
→ rayven: 沒拿到怎可以說是損失，又不是一開就欠你的
推 gn01370926: 高潮噴汁 XDDDDDD
推 tentryway: 推 翻譯
推 japan428: 跟前田相比  我倒覺得金子可能比較有機會獲得成功.....
推 aaaaa0703: OMG tulo到NYY真不敢想像
推 aannnn: 推高潮噴汁
推 williebom: 說真的 可以忍受隊長這幾年站SS 我覺得讓小亨利站也還
→ williebom: 行 更不用說兔肉了...兔肉就算只守半季SS WAR還是電翻