精華區beta Monkeys 關於我們 聯絡資訊
http://www.stathead.com/bbeng/woolner/statglossary.htm Statistics Glossary by Keith Woolner Defensive Statistics DA (Defensive Average) The Baseball Workhop/Project Scoresheet has been tracking the location of every batted ball in every game for the past several years"Defensive Average", or DA, is the rate at which fielders turn balls hit into their zones into outs. DA is analagous to a fielder's "batting average against" in that it measures times reached base (by hit or error) per opportunity (ball hit into his zone). The areas of responsibility for DA span the entire field -- no portion of the field in considered to be beyond the reach of some fielder. More info on DA is available in the Defense section of the Stathead Baseball Engineering Library. ZR (Zone Rating) STATS devised their own system of zones to track locations of batted balls. STATS uses this data to measure a fielder's "Zone Rating", or ZR. Zone Rating differs from DA in several ways, notably in that an outfielder is credited with two outs on a double play (DA counts just the fact that a batted ball was converted into an out, without attempting to measure the value of the 2nd out). The areas of responsibility for ZR are smaller for each fielder than in DA. ZR areas of responsibility do not span the entire field -- some areas (for example, deep in the gap between CF and RF) are considered to be a "no man's land" that is ordinarily beyond the reach of fielders, and thus a ball hit there is not considered an opportunity. RF Range Factor, RF = (PO + A) / Innings Played * 9 (sometimes computed as RF = (PO+A)/Games Played) Range Factor is, essentially, the number of plays made per 9 innings (or game). It is a somewhat better measure of defense than Fielding Percentage, in that it does take into account how well a fielder gets to a batted ball. RF is calculable for most of baseball history, and as such is probably the best tool we have for assessing historical defensive performance. RF's are generally only comparable at particular positions (i.e. you can compare a 3B to another 3B, but not to a SS or a CF). RF is sometimes adjusted for the number of strikeouts the pitching staff makes in front of the fielders (more strikeouts means fewer outs made by the fielders). The major disadvantages of RF are that there is no real control for opportunities (you can't tell whether, say, a shorstop's RF is high because the he was an excellent fielder, or because he played behind a extreme groundball pitching staff). Fielding Percentage (aka Fielding Average) Defined as F% = (PO+A)/(PO+A+E). PO = Putouts, A = Assists, E = Errors. Fielding percentage is the most common defensive rating in baseball today, which is unfortunate because it is probably the least accurate of any major commonly used statistic in baseball. Why? It doesn't measure what it claims to measure (success rate of fielding opportunities). If you accept that the primary role of a fielder is to convert batted balls into outs, then fielding percentage measure only those batted balls which the fielder could easily each, and only those failures to convert them that the official scorer deemed should have been made with ordinary effort. A lack of range or mobility does not show up in fielding percentage. Indeed a fielder who does not attempt to make a difficult play fares better than an Ozzie Smith-type who can get to the ball, but may get charged with an error in trying to complete the play. The difference in errors among major league players in the modern era is so low (amounting to a handful of balls per year), that differences in range dominate the true differences in defensive performance, yet fielding percentage essentially ignores it. The keys here is that opportunities are not independent of the fielder's own performance, and that the most frequent kind of failure is not penalized. Avoid using fielding percentage if at all possible. Fielding Runs Fielding Runs (or FR) are a generic term for any statistical treatment of fielding that converts a fielder's performance to runs. The most common approach is that used by Total Baseball. A full description of the technique can be found in the glossary on the Total Baseball web site. Basically, TB's approach involves weighting the number of putouts, assists, and double plays made by each fielder, and comparing the totals to positional norms to come out with a figure above/below average. Each extra out made (or hit allowed) is worth X runs in the LWTS model, which leads to the FR figure. The disadvantages of the TB method are similar to those of Range Factor, and the FR figures are considered particularly unreliable for catchers and first basemen. Career figures are also considered better indicators than individual seasons. There are also FR figures based on Defensive Average, which are considered more reliable in the few years where DA is available. In principle, FR could be done for ZR also, but I am not aware of any published attempts at doing so.