精華區beta Monkeys 關於我們 聯絡資訊
http://www.stathead.com/bbeng/woolner/statglossary.htm Statistics Glossary by Keith Woolner Advanced, Positional, Normalizing or Total Value Statistics VORP (and VORPr) Value Over Replacement Player (and rate) -- developed by Keith Woolner of Stathead Consulting, VORP measures how many runs a player would contribute to a league average team compared to a replacement level player at the same position who was given the same percentage of team plate appearances as the original player had. VORP, in its most advanced form, uses MLV to estimate the change in team run scoring attributable to the player's performance. A full description of VORP, MLV, and replacement value is available at the Stathead Baseball Engineering web site. VORPD VORP + Defense. VORP implicitly assumes all players are average defenders at the position they play. This clearly is not the case for all players. All versions of Fielding Runs in use today are intrapositional -- that is, they compare a fielder to others at the same position. Thus, you can add their FR total directly to VORP to get a more accurate total reading on a players overall value (any of the FR methods will work, depending on your preference). PMLV and PMLVr Positional Marginal Lineup Value (and rate). Based on Marginal Lineup Value (MLV and MLVr), PMLV measure the runs produces by a player beyond what an average player at his position would produce (rather than a league average hitter, regardless of position). Computed simply as MLV(player) - MLV(positional average player with same PA%). RIG family (BRIG, SPRIG, RPRIG) Rate Index Grades -- a family of "Report Card" rate statistics developed by Tom Fontaine of Stathead. The RIG method takes the pool of starting players (or starting pitchers, or relief pitchers), park-adjusts their stats, and measures the mean and standard deviations of performance for a variety of categories (e.g. for batters, some of the stats include AVG, OBP, SLG, but also walk rate, strikeout-to-walk ratio, etc.). Players are assigned a letter grade in each category based on how many standard deviations above or below the mean they are relative to their peers. The resulting "report card" of performance can be easily used to identify a player's strengths and weaknesses, or trends over several seasons. A full description of the RIG family is available in the Stathead Baseball Engineering Library LWTS (or LW) Linear Weights -- Thorn and Palmer's system of measuring baseball production by assigning a coefficient (or weight) to each event and adding up the sums (a linear combination). Batter Runs (BR and ABR), Pitcher Runs (PR and APR), Fielding Runs (FR), Total Player Rating (TPR), etc. are based on this system. LWTS is used extensively in Total Baseball, and is a convenient model for a variety of analyses. The basic LWTS formula is: Runs = (.47)1B + (.78)2B + (1.09)3B + (1.40)HR + (.33)(BB + HB) - (.25)(AB-H) - (.50)OOB TPR Total Player Rating -- Total Baseball's ultimate stat, which represents the number of wins above average attributable to a player. This is roughly equal to the sum of a player's Batting Runs, Pitching Runs, and Fielding Runs (park adjusted, and considering position) divided by 10. The exact divisor depends on the level of league-wide offense in a given season, but is almost always between 9 and 11. Park Factors Park Factors (or PF) are used to control for the effect a player's home park has on his overall raw statistics. There is a great deal of confusion on park statistics, in part because they are used for two similar, but distinct purposes. The most common use of park factors is to adjust for the value of a player's performance by recognizing that individual runs are less valuable in hitter's parks (because it take more of them to earn a win on average) and more valuable in pitcher's parks. This is sometimes thought of as the "run-currency" approach to park factors. Coors-runs are not the same as Astrodome-runs, because they purchase the desired result (wins) at different rates (e.g. it may take an average of 6 Coors-runs to purchase a win, but only 3.75 Astrodome-runs on average) . Using park factors in this way translates all runs earned into a "common" currency -- usually league-average runs. A second and distinct use of park factors is to project what a player's raw production would have been in a neutral park (or a particular park, say guessing what Dante Bichette would hit in Fenway). In general this involves looking at the components of a player's production (i.e. how many of his hits were home runs, doubles, singles, how often he struck out, etc.) and looking at a park's particular effect on that kind of production. When considering a player moving between parks, the park effects come into play twice -- once in converting a player's actual stats to a neutral park as a baseline, then converting into the new park. This kind of analysis is considerably more difficult than the "value" use of park factors, and is done more rarely. The most common form of park factors are computed by dividing the home total of some stat of interest by the road total (assuming equal numbers of games played at home and away). E.g. If Red Sox home games saw 847 runs scored (between both teams), while Red Sox road games saw 770 runs scored, the the Park Factor for Runs in Fenway would be 847/770 = 1.10 (usually written without the decimal point as 110). This means that 10% more runs were scored during games at Fenway than with the same teams (the Red Sox and their opponents) away from Fenway. Park factors can be computed thusly for any stat (HR, SO, etc.), but the Park Factor for runs is the most common. When adjusting a player's statistics, the Park Factor is usually halved, reflecting the fact that only half of the average player's games are played at home, while the rest are in the other league parks (usually assumed to be league average when all road games are aggregated). E.g. If a player had a raw RC/27 of 7.40 and played in a hitter's park with a PF of 108, the actual park factor used would be 104 (half of the 8% inflation in the hitter's park), and the adjusted RC/27 would be 7.40 / 1.04 = 7.12. Similarly a pitcher in the same park who's ERA was 3.80 would see an improvement in his adjusted ERA of 3.65 ( = 3.80 / 1.04). Park Factors for pitchers' parks are < 1 (or less than 100 when omitting the decimal), and serve to boost hitter's numbers while penalizing pitcher's numbers. There are more advanced forms of park factors, which adjust for the differences in batting and pitcher factors, computing road park factors that normalize for the fact that treating the road as league average is not completely precise, and more. A particularly thorough explanation can be found in the glossary on Total Baseball's web site.