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NBA.com上新出爐的分析 看看新秀們在明年的fantasy NBA表現會是怎樣
http://www.nba.com/fantasy/features/draftrecap2_060628.html
2006 NBA Draft – Pick-By-Pick Analysis
By Pravin Bhandakkar, www.TalentedMrRoto.com
June 30 -
1. Andrea Bargnani – Toronto Raptors
The next Dirk! Or the next Darko! As the number one draft pick, Andrea
Bargnani enters the league with more expectations than any other European
player before him. Bargnani is reported to have nine-category fantasy skills.
It remains to be seen if he can put them to use immediately. Unless a trade
happens, Bargnani will be playing behind the frontline of Rasho Nesterovic,
Chris Bosh and Charlie Villanueva for most of the year. His time will come,
just not this season.
2. LaMarcus Aldridge – Portland Trail Blazers
Aldridge ultimately ends up with the Trail Blazers. Aldridge’s fantasy value
depends a lot on whether Joel Przybilla stays with the Blazers or goes to
some other team as a free agent. The Blazers also added Raef LaFrentz to
their frontcourt mix with a trade. However, this isn’t a healthy front court
and Aldridge will get a lot of opportunities to showcase his skills in the
post. Aldridge will gain fantasy value as the season progresses.
3. Adam Morrison – Charlotte Bobcats
Rookie of the year!! Or is it too early to say that? Morrison is definitely a
front runner in the ROY race and should be the first rookie off the board in
fantasy drafts. Face it, the Bobcats need scoring. Gerald Wallace was their
top scorer, with just above 15 points a game last season. As talented and
young as the Bobcats are, they aren’t a healthy bunch. Morrison immediately
steps in as a threat and it shouldn’t surprise anyone if he ends up as their
primary scoring option within the first few weeks. Love the way the Bobcats
have drafted in their first three years.
4. Tyrus Thomas – Chicago Bulls
Thomas got swapped to the Bulls for Aldridge. Not a bad place to be if you
are a front court player with oodles of rebounding and shot blocking skills.
For a team that played Luol Deng at power forward for stretches, Thomas
becomes an instant starter. Thomas just needs to keep his focus on the
defensive end and he’ll be gold in fantasy leagues before the season ends.
Big-time fantasy sleeper!
5. Shelden Williams – Atlanta Hawks
Oops, they did it again! Is it a surprise the Hawks selected a 6-9 forward?
Even if Al Harrington bolts town, Shelden Williams has Josh Smith and Marvin
Williams to contend with. Shelden Williams is more of a power forward, as
opposed to Smith and Marvin Williams who are more of small forwards. Still
Shelden Williams will have to earn his minutes on this team. He could be a
solid forward if he gets them, but I won’t be gambling on him in fantasy
leagues until I see it for myself.
6. Brandon Roy – Portland Trail Blazers
Lot of trading activity this year and a series of such trades sees Brandon
Roy landing with the Trail Blazers. Aldridge and Brandon Roy! Roy is an
excellent pick for the Blazers. It’s Roy's job to lose as the starting
shooting guard. Roy will be a solid fantasy option this year and a strong
contender for the ROY award. I’m starting to make signs. Roy for ROY. Good
times…
7. Randy Foye – Minnesota Timberwolves
Randy Foye gets to play along side Kevin Garnett, which is assuming Garnett,
subject of many a trade rumor, stays with the Timberwolves next season. Foye
is neither a pure point guard nor a shooting guard; he is more of a combo
guard like Ben Gordon. Not a perfect fit for the Timberwolves but with the
back-court they had last season, anything is an improvement. Foye has Ben
Gordon-type upside, which means a lot of three-pointers and points but not
enough of other stats. There is always a place for a player like that on any
fantasy roster, so be ready to snag Foye when he gets hot during the season.
8. Rudy Gay - Memphis Grizzlies
Say, this Jerry West guy is pretty smart, huh? The Grizzlies landed the best
athlete in the draft. There are issues about motivation levels of Rudy Gay,
but you have to bet West and "The Czar" Mike Fratello will straighten him up
in no time. For fantasy basketball purposes, Gay's value just went south. No
rookie, however talented, can expect to make an impact on the deep Grizzlies
roster. Gay would be lucky to crack the starting rotation this season.
9. Patrick O'Bryant - Golden State Warriors
The Warriors needed front court help and they got some in O'Bryant. Minutes
won't be an issue if he can show the coach that he can play. That said,
7-foot centers have more value in the NBA than in fantasy leagues.
Eventually, O'Bryant will be a valuable center. In Fantasyland, too, but not
this year.
10. Saer Sene - Seattle Supersonics
Another 7-foot center but very, very raw. Don't expect anything for at least
a couple of years.
11. J.J. Redick - Orlando Magic
Some say it's a reach, some say it's a steal. From a fantasy perspective, it
couldn’t get better. We don't know if Redick can hold his own against the
big boys but we do know he can shoot, and with Dwight Howard drawing
double-teams in the paint and Jameer Nelson driving and dishing, Redick will
get to shoot a lot. His field goal percentage might be low, but he will shoot
enough three-pointers to more than make up for it. Be ready to snag him off
the waiver wire within the first couple of weeks, or you won't see him again.
12. Hilton Armstrong - New Orl/OKC Hornets
Armstrong is a solid low-post defender and a shot blocker, which the Hornets
lacked last season. With an aging P.J. Brown ahead of him, minutes won't be
hard to come by. Armstrong has limited offensive skills so the best we can
expect from him is to be the next Tyson Chandler. Good pick for the Hornets,
not so much for a fantasy team.
13. Thabo Sefolosha - Chicago Bulls
More trading activity sees Sefolosha wearing a Bulls uniform. What he will do
in it is still up in the air. Sefolosha gives the Bulls a defensive-minded
backcourt player, capable of guarding multiple positions, but who won't
contribute much on the offensive end. Bruce Bowen is best of this type of
player and he has limited fantasy value.
14. Ronnie Brewer - Utah Jazz
Brewer is the big point guard that every team would like to have. The problem
here is that the Jazz already have a good point guard in Deron Williams, so
Brewer will have to play at shooting guard more often. A bigger problem is
Brewer’s lack of a shooting stroke. He’ll get playing time and has good
defensive skills. If he works on his shooting he might end up on some fantasy
teams by the time the season is wrapping up. Not a productive fantasy
selection, but should help the Jazz, especially at the defensive end.
15. Cedric Simmons – N.O./OKC Hornets
The Hornets needed to get big in a bad way and drafted another low-post
player. Simmons, however, isn't as ready for the big leagues as Armstrong is,
and won't see enough playing time to make any sort of impact. Simmons does
possess decent shot blocking skills, which will make him useful if the injury
bug strikes.
16. Rodney Carney - Philadelphia 76ers
The Sixers get Rodney Carney via trade and it wasn't a bad deal for them.
Until last year, Carney was expected to be among the top draftees in this
draft. Carney is a terrific athlete and, even though he is very similar to
Andre Iguodala, has good three-point range, which will enable the Sixers to
give him a starting spot at the expense of Kyle Korver. No prizes for
guessing Carney is a better defender than Korver, but most are saying just
that. Be sure to make a spot for Carney on your fantasy roster when (not if)
he wins the starting job.
17. Shawne Williams - Indiana Pacers
Did the Pacers pick the wrong Williams? Marcus Williams, a true point guard,
would have made more sense here but Shawne Williams, a serviceable big man,
it is. Williams needs a lot of work to be useful in the NBA, and isn't likely
to see a lot of playing time this season.
18. Oleksiy Pecherov - Washington Wizards
Not much is known about Oleksiy Pecherov, other than that he is 6-11,
European and sent more copy editors to their press guides than any other
player in the draft.. The Wizards will most likely leave him in Europe to
develop for a couple of seasons.
19. Quincy Douby - Sacramento Kings
Douby is essentially a shooting guard in a point guard’s body. He can light
up the scoreboard on his day and the Kings would bring him off the bench in
his first year to provide instant offense. Douby's scoring and three-point
shooting could be useful in stretches during the season.
20. Renaldo Balkman - New York Knicks
There are plenty of theories as to why Isiah Thomas made this selection. My
theory is that Isiah wanted a player who won't ever complain about lack of
shots, so he has one less player to worry about. Enter Renaldo Balkman.
21. Rajon Rondo - Boston Celtics
Rajon Rondo ends up in Boston courtesy of another trade. Rondo can play at
warp speed, but needs to work on his shooting. Even though the starting point
guard position is up for grabs in Boston, I don't see Rondo beating out
Delonte West in his first year.
22. Marcus Williams - New Jersey Nets
The New Jersey Nets end up with the steal of the draft. Williams may just be
the heir-apparent to Jason Kidd. Great court vision and outstanding ball
handling skills combined with Kidd's tutoring should see Williams develop
into a great point guard over the next few years. Unfortunately, there isn't
much for him to do this season, other than give Kidd a breather from time to
time, and that’s a shameful waste for fantasy teams.
23. Josh Boone - New Jersey Nets
A good draft for the Nets as they managed to pick up a serviceable big man in
Josh Boone, as well as a point guard. Most of Boone's value comes at the
defensive end and the six fouls he brings to the table are more valuable for
the Nets than any fantasy team.
24. Kyle Lowry - Memphis Grizzlies
There is little chance that Lowry would be a first choice guard on any NBA
team, but with a Grizzlies team hurting at point, he’ll get chances. The
health of their backcourt will determine how much playing time Lowry gets and
we’ll see spikes in his fantasy value from time to time.
25. Shannon Brown - Cleveland Cavaliers
Brown gives the Cavs some insurance, just in case a trade involving Larry
Hughes materializes. Brown brings decent offensive skills and solid defense
to the table. He should see some quality minutes as a backup guard. Barring a
significant roster shakeup, his fantasy value will be limited as a rookie.
Keep an eye on him, though - he has the skills to make all-round contribution
when given the opportunity.
26. Jordan Farmar - Los Angeles Lakers
Farmar isn't exactly the point guard Phil Jackson covets, nor does he fit
into his triangle offense, but at this stage they could do worse than a good
ball handler. Farmar won't displace Smush Parker from the starting point
guard job and he won't be starting for any fantasy team either.
27. Sergio Rodriguez - Portland Trail Blazers
They call him the "Spanish Chocolate". Other than a flashy nickname,
Rodriguez didn't have much going for him. In the end, it was enough to land
him with the Trail Blazers, who could definitely use a point guard now that
they have traded away Sebastian Telfair. Spanish Chocolate will get chances
to show what he can do early on in the season and his fantasy value will be
determined by how he responds. The best guess for now is he will dish out
some fancy assists.
28. Maurice Ager - Dallas Mavericks
Ager has the tools to fit in the up-tempo style of the Mavericks and he is a
better than average defender. That said, Ager will find it tough to crack the
deepest rotation in the league. Don't expect any fantasy value from this
rookie this year.
29. Mardy Collins - New York Knicks
Another player who won't scream for the ball! Mardy Collins actually has
solid basketball skills. This guard, however, will be lost in the plethora of
the like the Knicks have.
30. Joel Freeland - Portland Trail Blazers
Joel Freeland is just another 6-11 European who is best described as a
project. In all likelihood, he will stay in Europe for a couple more seasons.
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