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推 decorum:球隊、球員似乎都對自己的球風很自豪，不太願意改變 10/03 23:06
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看看洋基的球探怎麼看老虎
Yankees: Scouting report on Tigers
Tuesday, October 03, 2006
from www.nj.com
BY DAN GRAZIANO
Star-Ledger Staff
Breaking down the Tigers with the help of an American League scout who
requested anonymity.
AT THE PLATE
"They're kind of an all-or-nothing group," our scout says. What he means is
that the Tigers' offense relies mainly on the home run. They don't have any
classic big boppers in the lineup (though Magglio Ordonez used to be), but as
a team they ranked third in the American League in home runs behind only the
White Sox and the Yankees.
Unfortunately for the Tigers, all of those home runs appear to have convinced
their hitters that the best way to approach an at-bat is to swing, swing a
lot and swing hard. They had three players with more than 120 strikeouts
(Curtis Granderson, Brandon Inge and Craig Monroe), and Granderson led the
team with a paltry 66 walks. "They are very undisciplined, and they don't
like to work deep counts and take walks. They're looking for fastballs, early
in the count, and they will be very vulnerable to pitchers who can throw
sinkers and can command their off-speed pitches."
Uh-oh. Does that sound like he's talking about guys like Chien-Ming Wang and
Mike Mussina -- the Yankees' starting pitchers in Games 1 and 2?
"I'd take Carlos Guillen on my team any day -- he's their best hitter," our
scout told us. "But Pudge (Ivan Rodriguez) isn't what he used to be, and
neither is Magglio, and there are a lot of ways to get their lineup out. If
the team they play makes mistakes in the strike zone, they could crush some
balls. But if they see good, smart pitchers, they're not going to score
much."
ON THE MOUND
"(Rookie right-hander Justin) Verlander is the real thing," our scout said.
"I love his fastball -- high 90s, and he can locate it where he wants to.
Real strong curve, and people don't even talk about his changeup, but there
are nights when that's his out pitch, his swing-and-miss pitch. I guess it's
possible he's wearing down toward the end of the season, but I think he'll be
fired up and pitch well in the playoffs."
Of course, Verlander isn't pitching until Game 2. The Tigers will go with
lefty Nate Robertson in Game 1, presumably because manager Jim Leyland likes
the idea of a left-handed pitcher in Games 1 and 5 at Yankee Stadium.
Robertson is "a five-inning guy, especially if it's the Yankees," our scout
says. He controls his pitches well, but "once a team sees him a second time
through the order, he gets hit a lot harder." The Tigers will hope Robertson
(and Game 3 starter Kenny Rogers) can just keep things under control so they
can get to their bullpen.
"They have a nice lefty specialist guy in (Jamie) Walker, and that gives them
a little balance," scout says. "I don't know how Todd Jones is doing it, but
he's been getting guys out for the past year and a half, and he's been
consistent about it. He won't make you feel comfortable, but he gets the
outs. (Joel) Zumaya's the guy with the best arm. I've seen him throw a real
102 (mph) fastball, and nobody's going to like seeing that in the eighth
inning."
IN THE FIELD
Detroit plays very good defense -- another area in which they're stronger
than the Yankees. Third baseman Brandon Inge is "one of the best in the
league" at the position. Rodriguez is a future Hall of Famer behind the
plate, in large part because of his defense. "They're strong up the middle
with Guillen and (Omar) Infante, Casey's smooth at first base, and even their
outfielders can go and catch the ball." The Detroit pitching staff has had a
nice year, and when you see a good pitching staff, it's usually a good bet
that it's got a strong defense behind it.
IN THE DUGOUT
Jim Leyland, the Tigers' coarse, chain-smoking, old-school manager, has been
a major key to the team's resurgence and will be a huge factor if they're to
make any noise in this postseason. Leyland is a great manager of men, and
well suited to guide a team through a long season. But he's at his best when
it's time to actually play baseball games, out-strategize another manager,
change pitchers at just the right time and make the move that might win the
chess game. In 1997, when he managed the Florida Marlins in the playoffs and
knew the team was going to trade all of its stars, win or lose, he gave what
players called "a Knute Rockne speech" before every game. Leyland is certain
to be able to outfox Joe Torre in a close game, but the Tigers' success may
have more to do with his ability to convince them they can win.
THEY'LL WIN IF ... they can score four runs a game and their starting
pitchers can keep the Yankees' terrifying lineup from scoring more.
THEY'LL LOSE IF ... Wang and Mussina are on their games and toy with the
hyper-aggressive hitters in the Detroit batting order.
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