[新聞] Roger and Them

[tsaimatt (這學期功課比較重)]

今天在華爾街日報上看到這篇文章,僅節錄部分

Roger and Them

Since 2001, it's taken an average of 98.7 wins to take the AL East and 97.3
wins for the AL Wild Card berth. This year, it may take more. The Boston Red
Sox are on a 111.5-win pace, and the Detroit Tigers, currently second in the
AL Central, project out to 101.3 wins.

To get 97 wins, the Yankees need to go 81-49 for the rest of the season.
That's a .623 winning percentage, a season-long pace the team has topped only
twice -- 1998 and 2002 -- since their postseason streak began.

After a cold April, the Yankees face a hard climb to the 97 wins or more that
will likely be needed to make the playoffs. To compile the 81-49 record for
the rest of the season that would get them there, they'll need a 67-45
combined record from their current starting pitchers and bullpen. That means
Roger Clemens needs to win 14 of 18 decisions.

                       WINS  LOSSES
C. Wang                 12      5
M. Mussina              10      6
A. Pettitte             11      8
Other Starters/Bullpen  34     26
TOTAL                   67     45
R. Clemens              14      4
PROBABLE PLAYOFF PACE   81     49

資料來源:www.wsj.com

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◆ From: 24.0.43.111
推 jom217:阿全年162場~其它32場勒？Andy應該會多一點吧
推 leddy:其他無關勝負吧
推 littleyes:每場都應該有一個勝投吧!!
推 adai101:是在說剩下的場次中至少要在得到81勝，以求以外卡資格
→ adai101:打進季後賽，預估其他投手可以貢獻67勝，剩下14勝要從老克
→ adai101:那裡挖出來。所以場次才會只寫到剩的130場吧
推 leddy:前面32場,洋基剛好16-16,加上81-49,97-65應該分區冠軍吧
推 speeddd:襪子今年感覺是要拿百勝的
推 tunababy:redsox project 111.5 win...所以97-65可能只能拿外卡...
推 krara:111勝…，今年真的好難過…
推 speeddd:其實他們也有不穩定因子
→ speeddd:W和S是年紀大的投手!松以前在日本使用量太大
→ speeddd:Beckett以前在馬林魚有是有不少傷病史
→ speeddd:運氣不好的話他們四大先發就..........^^
推 klarc:stO 比起紅襪 洋基的先發輪值不確定因素更高 (￣ー￣；)
推 tunababy:其實襪子最大的問題是在6,7局的pen...
→ tunababy:不過目前先發和打擊都太威了而沒顯出這個問題...
推 bryon:松土反加盟紅襪前有做過精密的檢查了.手臂一切健康.除非有些
→ bryon:狀況是醫學無法偵測的.不然的話就別想他會中途爆彈了