作者cardfat ( )
看板NY-Yankees
標題Yankees: Time To Trade Rodriguez
時間Tue Jun 5 01:43:56 2007
這建議挺合理的
對洋基來說避免Arod年底opt-out去某隊又可以拿幾個Top prospects回來
對Arod和其他隊來說
可以早點離開NYC又有銀行隊幫付每年9M
約應該比自己opt-out好談
我看過老外說假設arod能拿150M/7years
那現在的合約再給他4年的extension
實付(150M-9M*3)/7=17.5M
三邊好好談應該是三贏
http://www.nysun.com/article/55786
Yankees: Time To Trade Rodriguez
Baseball
By STEVEN GOLDMAN
Special to the Sun
June 4, 2007
It's time to trade Alex Rodriguez — not because of his strip club habit, his
supposedly bush league "Ha!" play in Toronto, the coolness with which the
home fans regard him, or his slipping skills. Rodriguez needs to be traded
for the only reason that matters — the Yankees have a chance to be a better
team without him. Not only is it their best chance to improve now, it may be
their only chance to avoid several more years like this one.
At first glance, this seems counterintuitive. Rodriguez remains one of the
best players in baseball. Although his bat was relatively cold in May (.235
AVG/.361 OBA/.422 SLG, five home runs), thanks to his torrid April
performance, he is still tied for the major league lead in home runs. After
looking lethargic and confused in the field last season, Rodriguez has
dropped some pounds and recovered his agility. He's likely to pass the
500-home run mark this season, and should continue to be a gate attraction
throughout his declining years as he knocks down one home run record after
another, quite possibly including the career mark that Barry Bonds will set
this year. This is the kind of player you want to acquire, not get rid of.
The problem is that Rodriguez offers the Yankees their one opportunity for a
team repopulating multi-player swap; the team that acquires him would provide
the "multi" part of the equation. Although the Yankees have been somewhat
successful with pitchers in recent years, because of pathetically poor
drafting and development of position players, they boast no non-pitchers
above the high-A ball level who could be described as likely starters in the
majors, let alone potential stars. Since Brian Cashman became the general
manager in 1998, the Yankees have spent high draft picks on outfielder Andy
Brown (no.1, 1998), outfielder Tommy Winrow (no. 2, 1999), catcher David
Parrish (no. 1, 2000), outfielder John-Ford Griffin (no. 1, 2001), third
baseman Eric Duncan (no. 1, 2003), outfielder Jon Poterson (no. 1
supplemental, 2004), and shortstop C.J. Henry (no. 1, 2005). All have been
busts.
The team's one prospect that may grow into a talent too big to be held at the
back of the roster, outfielder Jose Tabata, will not turn 19 until August.
Tabata is currently batting .306/.372/.377 with one home run for the Tampa
Yankees, and he is at least two years away. Even if he were to come faster,
Tabata alone could not solve the team's manpower crisis. Moreover, first base
is effectively vacant now. Right field may become vacant if the Yankees
exercise their $2 million buyout on their $16 million dollar option on Bobby
Abreu. Jorge Posada is unsigned. Finally, Rodriguez has the right to void his
contract and become a free agent; he almost certainly will.
Patching these holes through free agency is unlikely — this winter's class
will be thin. Of course, the Yankees might not see it that way — any team
that concluded Doug Mientkiewicz was a viable first baseman must be drooling
at the chance to sign Sean Casey. The Yankees could attempt to resolve the
outfield problem by signing a Torii Hunter or Andruw Jones to play center
field. This would have the effect of pushing the increasingly limited Johnny
Damon to left field and Hideki Matsui to right (both are under contract
through 2009), but not to designated hitter, which will once again be held in
a death-grip by Jason Giambi, assuming he returns from his current injury in
good working order. Hunter, despite his good season, is a poor bet to hold
his value over the course of a long-term contract. Jones, despite his bad
season, is more likely to rebound. The Yankees might get a shot at Adam Dunn
for one of the outfield corners, but only if the Reds decline his option.
Mike Lowell is the only third baseman of note likely to be on the market. At
.337/.397/.595, he's having a terrific year, but the caveat emptor is as
such: he's 33 years old, has never been consistent at this level, and is
batting .404 at Fenway Park. By September, the numbers will likely tell a
different story — Lowell started out hot last year too, and then faded after
the All-Star break.
There are no solutions to be found on the open market, only compromises that
would make next year's club even more of an aging patchwork than the current
edition. The Yankees could trade young pitching, but events have shown that
they need all of the arms they can muster.
That brings us back to A-Rod, the only escape hatch. Should the Yankees go
much longer without making up ground in the wild card race (the division
title has flown), and perhaps even if they do, they can attempt to shuffle
Rodriguez off to one of the competitive clubs that need a third baseman,
among them the Angels, Dodgers, and the Indians. The Dodgers represent an
especially tempting target. They have a ready third base prospect in Andy
LaRoche, a potentially useful, Lyle Overbaystyle first baseman in James
Loney, the power-hitting outfielder Matt Kemp, and one of the best pitching
prospects in the minors in Low-A lefty Clayton Kershaw. The Yankees wouldn't
be able to snag all of these players in an ARod deal, but getting any two
would brighten the outlook for next year, and possibly the remainder of this
year.
Rodriguez has a full no-trade clause, so he'll have to be convinced to go,
and any acquiring club would probably want to negotiate an extension before
making a deal. These will be major obstacles to negotiating a deal. That
doesn't change the fact that the time is right. Better the Yankees should
risk not playing this October (although having a good player each at first
and third might make them more competitive now than they are with no first
baseman and a great player at third) then give up on next season as well.
That's the position they'll be in if they don't act quickly and decisively to
turn their one bargaining chip into a multitude of prospects.
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 218.174.212.70
推 secaep:那三壘的洞...冏 06/05 01:45
→ secaep:對打線也是很大的傷害... 06/05 01:46
推 NcThoR:囧 都已經在缺砲了 06/05 01:46
推 birdy590:這還不如建議 Cashman 拿把刀先砍掉 Torre 再自殺算了 06/05 01:47
推 sweep:A-Rod到底是哪裡不好了 一堆人不想看到他 06/05 01:50
推 settier:那打線會更囧! 06/05 01:51
→ settier:A-Rod真的很可憐耶...真的是一堆人不喜歡他...orz 06/05 01:51
推 Schnell:現在只剩一門主砲了 囧 06/05 01:51
推 chrislux:對阿砲都沒了 06/05 01:52
推 birdy590:基本上完整的建議乾脆把所有人賣光, 整隊換成 Scranton 06/05 01:52
推 FallenAngels:降是要直接放棄今年了嗎? Q_Q 06/05 01:52
→ birdy590:然後就會發現自己先被老闆砍了 06/05 01:52
推 qpig2:推拿刀砍Torre再自殺 06/05 01:52
推 ckcson:合理?我看是合理放棄2007吧..沒事還是不要學人家砍掉重練.. 06/05 01:53
推 bachelour:這樣的交易感覺上是先自宮後再練葵花寶典 06/05 01:55
推 gosling168:本文作者是洋基專家Steven Goldman不是隨隨便便的路人 06/05 01:55
推 Greatgenius:話是這樣沒錯啦...可是洋基從來沒有像現在這樣需要他 06/05 02:02
→ Greatgenius:當然專家有專家的考量...但是我相信要是球團真的這樣 06/05 02:03
→ Greatgenius:洋基會付出更慘痛的代價...一堆洞 怎麼補? 06/05 02:03
推 agoodjob:現在市場的三壘手有誰 06/05 02:05
推 sylviehsiang:撞我們家小明那位 06/05 02:05
推 colechen:阿是要換誰阿??? 想看Cairo守三壘 XD 06/05 02:06
推 cardfat:這只是一種方向 cashman7/31要買要賣可能連他自己都不知道 06/05 02:07
推 Greatgenius:要是可以開賭盤 我一定賭不會賣 06/05 02:10
推 birdy590:如果 Cashman 六月初就開始打算賣掉主砲, 100% 會被砍頭 06/05 02:11
推 ckcson:要這樣搞,除非Cashman進DL (原因:腦殘) 06/05 02:11
→ Greatgenius:因為洋基戰績已經沒有本錢少A-ROD 換誰來都一樣 06/05 02:10
→ Greatgenius:有啦 換右門神...但是A-ROD大概沒辦法去那個地方 06/05 02:12
→ Greatgenius:這篇專欄的作家...我想只是從單一角度來寫明吧 感覺啦 06/05 02:13
推 gamer:把現在陣容中長打率最高的打者交易? 06/05 02:13
→ gamer:那洋基大概是真的要放棄今年了吧。 06/05 02:14
推 NcThoR:單純想賣的話現在是個賣點 可是洋基不可能砍掉重練吧 06/05 02:14
推 eric2003002:= = 這什麼鬼... 06/05 02:15
推 Greatgenius:其實我覺得洋基已經算是砍過後重整了...用人上跟過去 06/05 02:17
推 kasase:還有一個重點,A-Rod要自己想去-.- 06/05 02:17
→ Greatgenius:差很多...我意思是指從農場生出來的選手 多太多了 06/05 02:17
推 birdy590:他自己都講到重點了, A-rod 有完全的拒絕交易權 06/05 02:18
→ birdy590:如果 A-rod 真的想 opt-out 大賺一筆, 根本不必同意交易 06/05 02:18
→ Greatgenius:其實我覺得NYY這球隊性質還挺適合A-ROD的個性... 06/05 02:19
→ Greatgenius:另外 常公其實也稱讚過ABREU 也是很適應NYY的選手 06/05 02:21
推 ChaseWright:昨天看到有某米國鄉民說換賣肉的過來XD 06/05 02:32
推 minamumumi:怎麼感覺這個時機寫這種文章很像唯恐天下不亂 =__=||| 06/05 02:40
推 jayouch:我不要阿肉還有阿布走...>_< 06/05 02:51
推 alexfun:都已經快要沒有40+HR的人了還把A-Rod弄走?laugh out lound 06/05 03:09
→ alexfun:what a smart STEVEN GOLDMAN....then who'll at 3B??lol 06/05 03:11
推 mark1986321:Arod 季賽打的很好沒錯 可是季後賽完全不clutch 06/05 03:16
→ mark1986321:有什麼用 季後賽打不出來的人 06/05 03:17
推 asdfzx:好吧 我承認作家有截稿壓力....... (關電視) 06/05 03:16
推 seawolfssn:又要鞭季後賽了-*O *-|||| 06/05 04:24
推 saiboyu:END 看到標題就感覺是廢文 06/05 06:03
推 akujiki:現在洋基連進季後賽都有問題,就在開始鞭季後賽某人關鍵時 06/05 06:16
→ akujiki:刻打不出安打?沒有AROD,昨天對紅襪能贏嗎? 06/05 06:17
推 devilsky:有人會跟人家戰到一半把大砲拿去熔了做五把步槍出來嗎? 06/05 06:33
→ devilsky:又在季後賽了 煩不煩啊 06/05 06:35
推 AdamHuangNew:腦殘...... 06/05 07:14
推 GAIEGAIE:去年季後賽有誰打得好 全隊都要交易嗎? 06/05 08:02
推 otakiller:季賽打不好連季後都沒有啦...倒果為因 06/05 08:16
→ djcc:AROD絕對要留著 今年FA有什麼三壘大物比AROD強 別傻了 06/05 09:40
→ djcc:洋基要的是冠軍 錢不是問題 06/05 09:42
推 tertwo:那些吵著要換的人,講個買(換)得到的3B來聽聽阿! 06/05 09:56
推 AceCash:總之季賽沒力就沒有季後賽 這才是最重要的 06/05 10:22
推 soaringfish:那家報紙的新聞都這樣嗎= =...難不成是小報型的... 06/05 10:59
推 Zoomyoyo:原po 應該是襪迷吧 06/05 11:59
推 xsonic:Time to trade this reporter 06/05 13:22