pen support and luck 指數 for starters

[yyhong68 (come every now and then)]

以下指數僅以先發投手，後援投手此兩項數據皆為0


                   Pen  Support           Luck   W  L  E(W)  E(L)
Andy Pettitte        0.192               -2.26   4  5  6.1  4.8
Chien-Ming Wang      1.721                0.62   7  4  5.8  3.4
Mike Mussina        -0.058               -1.96   3  5  3.9  4.0
Tyler Clippard      -0.693                2.60   3  1  1.5  2.1
Darrell Rasner      -0.693               -1.26   1  3  1.3  2.0
Matt Desalvo        -2.130               -0.68   1  3  1.3  2.6
Roger Clemens        0.443               -1.16   1  2  0.8  0.7
Philip Hughes        0.027               -0.47   1  1  0.8  0.3
Kei Igawa            0.770                2.49   2  1  0.7  3.2
Carl Pavano          0.721                1.09   1  0  0.5  0.6
Chase Wright         0.000                1.05   1  0  0.3  0.4
Jeff Karstens       -1.354                0.00   0  1  0.0  1.0

Luck, as measured by the number of extra wins, and short losses the pitcher
actually got, versus his expected record. LUCK = (W-E(W))+(E(L)-L)

E(W):  Expected win record for the pitcher, based on how often pitchers
       with the same innings pitched and runs allowed earned a win or loss
       historically (this differs from how it was computed, which was a more
       complicated, theoretical calculation).

E(L):  Expected loss record for the pitcher, based on how often pitchers
       with the same innings pitched and runs allowed earned a win or loss
       historically (this differs from how it was computed, which was a more
       complicated, theoretical calculation).


Pen Support
The number of additional runs charged to the starting pitcher that his
bullpen allowed to score after he left the game, compared to an average
bullpen. Negative Pen Support means the bullpen prevented more runs from
scoring than an average pen (i.e. the pitcher's ERA looks better than it
should because of good bullpen support).


Data from  Baseball Prospectus
Data Updated Through June 24 2007
http://tinyurl.com/2zo2q2

(由於非會員，所以網頁並非以上述兩個項目之排名排序)

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◆ From: 140.109.23.211
推 Ksp:還有幸運值的喔XD
推 fnac:淪落到要比luck了...唉
推 yyhong68:原本只是要找pen support，剛好有luck數值，並非要比luck
→ fnac:我的意思是：真的要比luck了 ...  不比不行 xd
推 tulas:去年牛棚超挺小王,pen support-5.353,今年要平衡一下  XD
推 royechen:問一下,pen support 是高要愈高愈好嗎,跟luck一樣嗎???
推 yyhong68:剛找到解釋，等會附上
→ Jimmytp:不知道當年small的luck的指數是多少
※ 編輯: yyhong68        來自: 140.109.23.211       (06/26 17:50)
推 tulas:05年Small的luck:5.71,看起來ok,但他GS:9 IP:76,所以...科科
推 peterwu4:Hughs今年投了兩場喔@@? 以為受傷那場是他初登板說
→ peterwu4:    ^e
推 hiro1221:王今年是不是壘包上留下的跑者全回來啦？
推 nokei:好像是!_!  救援投手似乎都會把壘上的都送回來....QQ  囧
推 ERWILSON:王去年壘上留24個跑者只有6個回來,今年到現在留7個5回來
→ ERWILSON:去年王的luck值高居大聯盟第2,今年....??
推 nokei:抱歉我只有印象~~樓上專業:P
推 cardfat:去年第2是santana(LAA)
推 ERWILSON:sorry我記錯了,王7.79,有RJ/Santana/Garland/Garcia在前
→ ERWILSON:排第五才對 :P