Re: [Blog] 2009 NEW YORK YANKEES SEASON PREVIEW

[MarianoWu (銀河水瓶)]

※ 引述《polebear (比平凡少一點)》之銘言：
: 數字是去年的成績，非預測
: 原文網址：(http://tinyurl.com/bmhsz4)
: http://baseballsavant.blogspot.com/2009/01/2009-new-york-yankees-season-
: preview.html
: 2009 NEW YORK YANKEES SEASON PREVIEW
: Friday, January 23, 2009    by Baseball Savant
: Another new season, another new set of previews. I'm hoping this season I can
: maybe shorten the previews up a little bit so I can write about more teams. I
: usually get all the competitive teams in the AL and then a couple in the NL
: which sort of disappoints me a bit. This season hopefully I can get them all
: in. At least that is what I'm hoping for!
 新的球季, 另一串新的球隊預測. 我希望這個球季我可以縮短每隊球隊預測內容
 如此我可以分析較多球隊. 通常我會針對美聯所有有競爭力的隊伍做分析,
 也會附上一些讓我失望的國聯球隊分析. 希望本球季我可以完成這些球隊的季前分析.

: So the 2008 Yankees! It was a horrible disappointment no question. For the
: first time since 1994 in the strike shortened season the Yankees did not make
: the postseason. If you don't count '94 then this was the first time since
: 1993 the Yankees didn't play meaningful games in October. There was a lot of
: ink spilled about the demise of the Yankees last season, but I think in
: reality the Yankees had two problems that were somewhat magnified given how
: well the Rays ended up playing and the machine they call the Boston Red Sox
: maintaining their dominance over the rest of the American League.
 毫無疑問的, 2008球季對洋基來說簡直糟透了. 自從1994罷工球季後, 洋基第一次
 沒有闖進季後賽. 若略過1994球季不算, 這是自1993年以來洋基第一次沒在十月份比賽.
 有許多論點談論到上季洋基的失敗, 但我認為實際上洋基有兩個問題.

: The first problem with New York was that GM Brian Cashman overplayed his hand
: in hoping Chamberlain, Hughes & Kennedy were going to fill in as the starters
: in New York. Granted, the Yankees had Chien-Ming Wang, Andy Pettitte and Mike
: Mussina in the rotation, but one of the reasons the Yankees passed on Johan
: Santana was their unwillingness to part ways with Hughes and/or Kennedy in
: the potential deal with the Twins. Instead the Twins went with the Mets and
: Santana was pitching in Queens instead of the Bronx.
 第一個問題是現金人過度高估Chamberlain, Hughes & Kennedy可以填補先發投手的洞.
 就算洋基有王葛格, 小派和穆帥, 但洋基放棄爭取Santana的理由之一就是不願用
 Hughes和(或)Kennedy當成交易籌碼. 最後雙城轉而與大都會做交易.

: Unfortunately for Yankees Nation, the young pitchers experiement didn't work
: out. Ian Kennedy was a disaster at the big league level although he was once
: again dominant in AAA posting a 2.35ERA in Scranton over 12 starts, striking
: out 72 batters in 69IP while issuing just 17 walks and 4HR. Kennedy also
: missed about a month with shoulder problems. Phil Hughes wasn't much better.
: Hughes was only slightly better than Kennedy at the major league level
: although he posted good peripheral numbers in Scranton. Hughes missed
: 3-months with a rib fracture in 2008 which means in the last 2 seasons,
: Hughes has been on the DL for 3-months each. In 2007 he had hamstring
: problems which sidelined him for a month.
 不幸的是, 這群年輕投手的試驗並沒有成功. Kennedy在大聯盟徹底失敗, 雖然他再次
 屠宰3A, 在3A的12次先發投了69局三振對手72次, 只送出17次四壞, 只被打4支全壘打.
 他也因為肩傷問題離開球場約1個月. Hughes的表現也沒比較好. 他在大聯盟的表現只
 比Kennedy好一點, 雖然他在Scranton表現不錯. 2008球季, Hughes因肋骨斷裂休息三
 個月, 在最近兩個球季, Hughes每季都進入DL休養三個月. 在2007球季他因為腿筋問題
 休養一個月.

: Joba was dominant both in the bullpen and out of it, but he missed a month
: with his shoulder and was limited to just 100IP. Chien-Ming Wang missed
: 4-months with a foot injury and his injury problems are starting to be
: somewhat chronic. Losing a month in 2007 because of a hamstring. He missed 2
: months in 2005 with shoulder ailments. Over the last 4 seasons, Wang has had
: only 1 healthy one!
 喬巴在牛棚與先發的表現都很優秀, 但他因為肩傷問題休養一個月, 也只投了100局.
 王葛格因腳傷錯過四個月, 他的傷病問題也開始不斷出現. 在2007因腿筋拉傷錯過
 一個月. 在2005因肩膀病痛錯過兩個月. 過去四個球季王葛格只有一個健康球季.

: The Yankees came into 2008 with 6 potential starters (Mussina, Pettitte,
: Wang, Hughes, Kennedy & Chamberlain) and 4 of them missed significant time
: because of injury or ineffectiveness or both! This of course made New York
: reliant upon a cast of characters that included Darrell Rasner, Sidney
: Ponson, Carl Pavano and Dan Giese. They even got a start from Kei Igawa. All
: told, the Yankees used 13 starting pitchers in 2008 which means the injury
: bug was simply killing New York and there was no backup plan at all to
: replace all the problems.
 2008開打時洋基有六位先發人選, 結果其中四位因為受傷或表現不佳而錯過大半球季.
 當然這使得洋基必須依靠Rasner, Ponson, 痛痛人, Giese等人. 甚至連阿宅都曾先發
 上場一次. 總計, 洋基在2008球季用了13位先發投手, 這意會著傷兵問題搞慘了洋基,
 也沒有任何備用計畫來解決問題.

: Mussina & Pettitte did what they could. Mussina finished the year at 20-9
: while Pettitte's 14-14 record belies a lot better peripheral numbers. They
: combined for 67 starts between them meaning that New York was quite possibly
: a 95-97 win team if they could have gotten ANY help from their starting
: pitchers.
 穆帥與小派已經盡其所能. 穆帥20勝9敗, 而小派14勝14敗. 他們倆合計先發67場.
 如果洋基可以從先發投手群得到任何幫助, 洋基的戰績可能介於95到97勝.

: The other problem with New York was their offense. The Yankees ranked 7th in
: the A.L. in RS/G. No matter what anyone tells you, that is a problem for the
: Bombers. New York could have masked some of their deficiencies had they hit
: like we thought they would heading into 2008, but instead the offense flopped
: and that combined with bad starting pitching produced a nightmare for Yankees
: fans everywhere.
 另一個問題則出現在進攻方面. 以單場平均得分排名, 洋基在美聯排第七. 不論別人
 說什麼, 這對洋基來說就是問題. 洋基可以遮掩一些缺點, 但進攻失利再加上殘破的
 先發投手輪值對洋基球迷來說揮之不去的夢靨.

: Posada missed two-thirds of the season. Cano got off to a hellacious start.
: Matsui missed time. Melky Cabrera was awful. Father Time is catching up with
: Derek Jeter and A-Rod had an even-numbered offensive year instead of a usual
: odd-numbered MVP year. Posada's replacement, Jose Molina, posted a 51 OPS+
: meaning the Yankees were likely playing with two automatic outs in the lineup
: with Molina & Cabrera for most of the season. When the Yankees went out and
: got Ivan Rodriguez, he too posted an OPS+ of 51 and Brett Gardner was worse
: than Cabrera offensively if you can actually believe that.
 Posada錯過三分之二的球季. Cano表現得讓人無法忍受. Matsui錯過大半球季.
 Cabrera則是糟透了. A-Rod則是演出偶數年他慣有的表現. 接替Posada的Molina的OPS+
 為51, 這意味著洋基打線可能在大半球季中都有兩個自動出局者: Molina & Cabrera.
 I-Rod的OPS+也是51, Gardner的進攻表現則比Cabrera差.

: Even if you are the Yankees, it's too difficult to play with 7 offensive
: players in the lineup instead of 9 given the vagaries of the AL East.
: And thus we come to 2009. Despite protests that the Yankees overspent, the
: bottom line is that the Yankees are likely to have a lower payroll in 2009
: than they had in 2008. Out goes Jason Giambi at 1B replaced by Mark Teixeira
: who should give a little better offensive production while simultaneously
: giving great defense, which is something Giambi couldn't do. In a masterful
: move, Brian Cashman didn't trade away any of his pitching prospects so coming
: into the fold in 2009 were CC Sabathia and AJ Burnett to go along with
: Hughes, Kennedy, Chamberlain and Wang with Andy Pettitte still being a
: possibility if both he and the Yankees can work out a contract in the
: interim. Dan Giese still provides some depth as does Alfredo Aceves. That's
: potentially 9 starting pitchers competing for 5 spots in spring training.
: It's been a huge offseason for the Yankees. Let's now look at the players.
 即使是洋基, 在美聯東區若先發打線只有七位有進攻能力是很難與其他隊競爭.
 即將進入2009球季. 儘管對洋基在自由球員市場大灑銀彈有反對聲浪, 洋基在2009的
 薪資總額可能還比2008低. 一壘方面, 由鐵爺取代吉哥, 鐵爺應該可以提供較好的進攻
 火力同時帶來更好的守備, 這是吉哥無法辦到的事. 在出色的季外補強, 現金人沒有將
 任何一位投手潛力股交易出去, 所以進入2009球季洋基有吸吸沙胖, Burnett, 外加
 Hughes, Kennedy, Chamberlain與王葛格, 而小派仍然是可能人選如果他與洋基能夠
 簽下合約(按:已經簽下). Giese依舊可提供一些貢獻, 如同Aceves一樣. 在春訓期間,
 可能有九位先發人選競爭五個位置. 對洋基而言, 這是一個收穫良多的offseason.
 現在就我們來看看球隊陣容 (終於要進入球隊分析Orz)

: 2009 YANKEES STARTING LINEUP
: C-Jorge Posada: 268/364/411; 3HR, 13-2B, 22RBI, 7.0AB/BB, 0SB, 103OPS+
: Shoulder woes killed the follow up season to his career year in 2007 in which
: he posted a career best 154 OPS+! The big question regarding Posada is his
: healthy. Before 2008, he had played at least 137 games in 8 consecutive
: seasons, but Jorge will be age-37 this season so he's WAY beyond the magic
: number of 30 for catchers. His career got off to a late start so that's
: helped him to a degree but age catches up to all of us. What puts New York in
: a jam is the 4-years/$52.4 million contract they gave him before the 2008
: season that runs until 2011! That's thru age-39 baby! Crazy, but given the
: market for backstops, maybe not outrageous. Either way, what we can safely
: say is that Posada isn't repeating any numbers from 2007 or 2003. However,
: he's not likely to repeat his 2008 numbers either. If healthy, Posada will
: settle into a 110-118 OPS+. If he can give New York 135-140 games behind the
: plate that would be a godsend but don't discount the effect his shoulder can
: have on his defense and his power output. He's on the decline, the shoulder
: just might have made the slope a bit steeper than we expected.
 2009洋基先發打線
 捕手-Jorge Posada
 2007球季Posada繳出生涯最佳進攻表現, OPS+為154. 而肩傷問題使他在2008球季沒什麼
 表現. Posada最大的問題是健康狀況. 2008之前, 他已經連續8個球季出賽至少137場,
 但這個球季Posada將邁入37歲, 已超過捕手的賞味期(30歲). 他的職業生涯比較晚起步,
 因此多少對他有點幫助但歲月催人老啊. 現在讓洋基陷入窘境的是那份4年5240萬的合約
 , 洋基在2008球季前給Posada的這份合約要直到2011球季為止. 屆時Posada超過39歲!
 這太瘋狂了, 但若考慮到捕手的球員市場, 這或許不會讓人吃驚. 我們可有把握地說
 Posada無法重現像2007或2003球季那樣神勇表現, 但他也不太可能表現得像2008球季那
 樣. 如果身體健康, Posada的OPS+將約在110到118之間. 如果他能出賽135到140場比賽,
 那將是天上掉下來的禮物, 但不要低估了他的肩傷會對防守與打擊威力所造成的影響.
 他正走下坡, 肩傷或許會讓他衰退比我們想像的還要快.

: 1B-Mark Teixiera: 308/410/552; 33HR, 41-2B, 121RBI, 5.9AB/BB, 2SB, 151OPS+
: He's the best 1B in the game not named Albert Pujols. Let's put aside the
: question of whether anybody is worth 8-years/$180 million. There are
: noticeably differences between Teixeira and Jason Giambi. The first is that
: Teixeira is a much better defensive 1B than the Giambino. The second is that
: New York has Teixeira from ages 29-36 whereas they had Giambi from ages
: 31-37. They get Teixeira off the books a year earlier and also get 2 more
: peak years from Teixeira than they would have gotten from Giambi. It's
: significant in my opinion. New York essentially paid Giambi 8-years/$142
: million so basically they are giving Teixeira 38 more million for two extra
: years up front and one less on the backside with no injury history. Giambi
: missed 2 half seasons so if you think he got 7-years/$142 million then he
: averaged $20.3 million to Teixeira's $22.5. Bottom line for me is that
: Teixeira gives New York the thumper to go along with A-Rod. You can probably
: pencil Teixeira in for 30-40HR, 110-130RBI and a 950-1000 OPS for the
: lifetime of the contract.
 一壘手-鐵爺
 鐵爺是除了Pujols之外最好的一壘手. 讓我們先將是否有人值得8年1億8000萬合約
 的問題擺在一旁. 鐵爺與吉哥之間有著顯著的差別. 首先, 鐵爺在一壘方面的守備
 比吉哥好很多. 再者, 洋基擁有鐵爺29到36歲的使用權, 反之吉哥的則是31到37歲.
 洋基早一年簽下鐵爺(就簽下球員時的年齡做比較)而且可以多擁有鐵爺兩年的顛峰
 時期. 在我看來這很重要. 當初洋基給吉哥的合約是8年1億4200萬, 因此基本上洋
 基多給鐵爺3800萬是為了多兩年的球員黃金時期與鐵爺沒有背部傷痛病史. 吉哥在
 兩個球季中錯過了一半的比賽, 因此如果你想成吉哥的合約是7年1億4200萬, 這樣
 他的平均年薪是2030萬(鐵爺是2250萬). 對我而言, 吃了重炮果實的鐵爺可以與A-Rod
 串連一起. 或許你可以先計下鐵爺的成績: 30-40隻全打壘, 110-130打點, 合約年
 間總共可貢獻950-1000 OPS.

: 2B-Robinson Cano: 271/305/410; 14HR, 35-2B, 72RBI, 23.0AB:BB, 2SB, 86OPS+
: Cano had a brutally bad April hitting 151/211/236 which killed his overall
: production for the season. You take April out and Cano hit .297. What is
: somewhat worrisome is that Cano didn't walk as much in 2008 as he did in
: 2007. He's not exactly a patient hitter, but then again Cano usually has his
: contact% in the 90th range so he's not exactly striking out a lot either.
: He'll only be 26 years old in 2008 which means he's coming into his peak
: years. He'll probably put in a year similiar to 2007 which is good enough for
: an OPS+ of 120. Cano is also a helluva defensive 2B giving New York a very
: good defensive right side of the infield with Cano & Teixeira. Jeter is a
: black hole at SS but A-Rod isn't horrible at 3B. The Yankees defense is often
: maligned but it isn't THAT bad. Sure Jeter can't go up the middle but come on!
 二壘手-Cano
 Cano在去年四月的表現慘不忍賭:151/211/236, 這使得他整季表現平均值下滑不少.
 如果去除四月成績不算, Cano的打擊率是0.297. 較令人不快的是2008球季Cano的四壞
 保送次數(26次)比2007球季(39次)少. 他確實不是個有耐心的打擊者, 但Cano的揮擊
 命中率高所以他也不容易被三振. 2008球季時他才26歲, 他正要邁入他的黃金時期.
 他或許將繳出與2007球季相似的成績(OPS+:120, 夠好了). Cano也是個守備好的二壘
 手, 他與鐵爺將讓洋基內野右半部防線固若金湯. 雖然在游擊區域的防守有股淡淡的
 哀傷(是誰敢講隊長的壞話), 但A-Rod在三壘的防守並不差. 洋基的防守常令人詬病,
 但現在並沒有那麼差. 當然, 隊長的守備無法到達中等水準, 但也差不了多少.

: 3B-Alex Rodriguez: 302/392/573; 35HR, 33-2B, 103RBI, 7.8AB:BB, 18SB, 150OPS+
: I'm always amazed at A-Rod's "off" years in which he posts OPS+ numbers in
: the 150s! Since 2003, A-Rod has done a pretty good job of coming alive every
: other year in odd-numbered years. He won the MVP in 2003, 2005 & 2007 while
: having supposed "off" years in 2004, 2006 & 2008. If that trend continues,
: expect A-Rod to take down his 4th MVP trophy in 2009 with yet another monster
: year to break in the House That George Built. I think it's interesting to
: note that A-Rod missed about 3-weeks last season with a quadriceps injury.
: That's the first injury he's had in 8-years! Interesting because A-Rod was
: 32-years of age then and he'll be 33 in 2009 meaning he's out of his peak
: years. A-Rod was also slightly less patient in 2008 as he has been in the
: past when it comes to drawing walks. That was really the difference for
: Rodriguez. Those will be two things to watch going forward. Are injuries
: going to become chronic? Can he get back to established level of selectivity
: at the plate?
 三壘手-A-Rod
 我總對於A-Rod在"冬眠"年可繳出OPS+:150的成績感到驚訝. A-Rod在奇數年通常都有
 相當好的表現. 他在2003,2005和2007球季都贏得MVP, 而在2004,2006和2008球季進入
 冬眠狀態. 如果這個趨勢持續下去, 預期A-Rod在2009球季將拿下第四座MVP獎盃, 並
 在老闆新蓋的球場創下一個驚人的球季個人成績等待被打破. 提到去年球季A-Rod因
 四頭肌傷痛休養約三星期, 我認為這讓人感到興趣. 這是過去八年內他第一次受傷.
 2009球季A-Rod將邁入33歲, 他正要從顛峰狀態走下坡. 相較於以往, 2008球季A-Rod
 在打擊區也顯得比較沒耐心. 對A-Rod來說這真的有明顯差異. 這兩件事將是未來球季
 我們所要關注的. 是否受傷會變為常態? 在打擊區上他的選球是否可以回到以往的
 水準?

: SS-Derek Jeter: 300/363/408; 11HR, 25-2B, 69RBI, 11.5AB:BB, 11SB, 102OPS+
: Diving into the deeper stats with Jeter you find a few things. The first is
: his HR/FB percentage. It was 13%, 17%, and 15% from 2004-2006 respectively.
: From 2007-2008 it stood at 9% each year. What that means is fewer and fewer
: of Jeter's fly balls are going out of the park. He's not Ryan Howard, but it
: shows that Jeter's power is betting sapped and that his 2007 or 2008 numbers
: aren't flukes given that they've been the same over the last 2 seasons. His
: 11 bombs is the lowest total he's hit in a "full" season since 1997 which was
: his 2nd full season in the league. His 25 doubles is also tied for the least
: amount of doubles he's ever hit in a full season in the majors. The other
: thing you see from Jeter is his walk rate is down the last two years than it
: was from 2005-2006. His AB:BB was 8.5 & 9.0 in 2005 & 2006, but raised to
: 11.4 and 11.5 in 2007 & 2008. Jeter's LD% was down last season from the
: previous two and his BABIP was down. That all portends to a declining player
: which isn't really surprising given that Jeter is going to be entering his
: age-35 season. Jeter's defense also went back to being brutal after having a
: decent 3-year run from 2005-2007. His Rate2 was 90 meaning he cost New York
: 15 runs alone with his defense in 2008. Some people talk about Jeter's quest
: to get to 4,000 hits but that is HARD to imagine. Just to get to 4200 he'd
: need 8 more season of at least 200 hits in every season and he'd still be
: 100+ short of Pete Rose's record. In fact, I think he'll be entering his
: age-38 season still shy of 3,000 hits to be honest. The Yankees have a
: serious dilema on their hands with Jeter. On the one hand how can you imagine
: him putting on a different uniform? On the other hand, he's a brutal
: defensive player who is aging that can't switch to either 3B or 1B because of
: Teixeira & A-Rod. He doesn't have the power to carry a corner OF position and
: he probably doesn't have the wheels to play CF and I think the Yankees would
: like Austin Jackson to take that spot anyway. That leaves the possibility of
: replacing Cano but do the Yankees really want to cut a player entering his
: prime so Jeter can slide over to 2B? Putting him at DH is not exploiting that
: inefficiency in the market so what is New York left to do? Jeter certainly
: still has skills left in the tank. He should be able to hit 300/360/400, but
: he'll be 37 in 201o when his contract is up with New York. It's going to be
: interesting to be sure.
 游擊手-隊長
 深入探討隊長的成績表現可發現一些現象. 首先事他的 HR/FB percentage. 2004到
 2006球季分別是13%, 17%和15%. 2007到2008球季每年都只有9%. 這代表隊長所打出
 的飛球越來越無法飛過全壘打牆. 隊長雖不是費城大黑柱, 但這顯示隊長的打擊爆發
 力正在衰退, 而他在2007或2008的數據也不是偶然出現的, 因為過去兩季都呈現這樣
 的結果. 11支全壘打是自從1997年(他的第二個完整球季)以來, 他在完整球季的最少
 產出. 25隻二壘打也平了他在大聯盟的任一完整球季的最少紀錄. 另一件從隊長身上
 發現的事是過去兩年他的四壞保送率正在下降. 在2005與2006球季他的AB:BB分別是
 8.5和9.0, 但在2007與2008球季上升到11.4與11.5. LD%與BABIP也在下降. 這都意味
 著一個球員正在走下坡, 我們要考慮到隊長即將邁入35歲. 防守方面, 在2005到2007
 那三個像樣的球季之後, 隊長退步到不太妙的程度. 他的Rate2是90, 代表他讓洋基
 在2008球季因他的防守多丟了15分. 有些人討論到隊長可追尋4000安紀錄, 但這實在
 難以想像. 要達到4200安紀錄, 他還需要八個單一球季至少200安的球季, 這樣他距離
 Peter Rose的紀錄還少了一百多支. 事實上, 我認為他在邁入38歲時仍未進入3000安
 俱樂部. 洋基在如何安排隊長上進退兩難. 一方面是你能想像他穿上其他球隊的隊服
 嗎? 另一方面是他是個正在老化的球員, 防守不太妙而且因鐵爺與A-Rod無法轉防一
 壘或三壘. 他沒有足夠的打擊爆發力來入主左右外野手的位置, 腳下也沒有風火輪來
 擔任中外野手, 而且我認為洋基希望 Austin Jackson來頂上中外野手的位置. 唯一
 的可能就是取代Cano, 但洋基真的會捨棄一位正邁入全盛期的球員只為了讓隊長移防
 二壘? 讓他擔任DH也是效益不彰, 那洋基還有什麼辦法呢? 隊長確實還擁有打擊技巧,
 他應該可以繳出300/360/400的成績, 但2010年時37歲的他與洋基的合約即將到期.
 這將是件有趣的事情.

: LF-Hideki Matsui: 294/370/424; 9HR, 17-2B, 45RBI, 8.9AB:BB, 0SB, 108OPS+
: Godzilla is out of the Bronx after this season. Over the past 3-years, Matsui
: has been injured in 2 of them so I guess we'll see if he can stay healthy
: this year. The Yankees have positioned themselves OK in the OF with guys like
: Matsui, Damon, Cabrera, Gardner, Swisher and Nady in case a lof them get hurt
: or are ineffective. Right now Matsui would have to be the odds on favorite to
: play LF everyday for New York. I like Matsui as a player and think New York's
: offense has a different dynamic without him in the middle. When healthy,
: Matsui is a selective .300 hitter who'll hit 25-30HR, grab 100RBI and post a
: 120-130 OPS+. That's some production baby when you consider most people think
: Matsui is one of New York's 2nd tier offensive producers. Interestingly
: enough, I've read where Matsui is an avid porn collector who has an extensive
: library of the stuff. These are reasons why you probably don't want to know
: about these guys' personal lives!
 左外野手-Hideki Matsui
 在2009球季後哥吉拉與洋基的合約即將到期. 過去三個球季, Matsui在其中兩個球季因
 傷缺陣大半球季, 因此我們將要觀察今年他是否能健康出賽. 洋基在外野陣容方面已準
 備就緒, 有Matsui, Damon, Cabrera, Gardner, Swisher和Nady, 預防其中有人受傷或
 表現不佳. 目前Matsui有可能成為洋基先發左外野手. 我個人喜歡Matsui擔任野手, 也
 認為少了他在中間打線串連, 洋基的進攻將少了些動力. 當他處於健康狀態, 他可能是
 位打擊率三成的打者, 並產出25-30支全壘打和100分打點, OPS+在120-130. 當你考慮
 到多數人認為Matsui是洋基隊中攻擊力排名第二層級的選手之一, 鄉親啊, 這就是產出
 啊. 更有趣的是, 我曾讀到Matsui是位擁有豐富收藏的A片控. 這就是為何你可能不想
 知道球員個人生活的原因之一.
 (真想去洋基球場跟Matsui來個技術相互授權)

: CF-Johnny Damon: 303/375/461; 17HR, 27-2B, 71RBI, 8.7AB:BB, 29SB, 118OPS+
: Damon is another one coming off the books after 2009. In a lot of ways I
: think 2009 is the last season for New York to get that elusive championship
: they tried so vehemently to buy when they started signing everyone. They went
: through Randy Johnson, Carl Pavano, Jaret Wright, Mike Mussina, Jason Giambi,
: Johnny Damon, Hideki Matsui, Bobby Abreu, Gary Sheffield, Javier Vazquez &
: Alex Rodriguez and still haven't won a World Series. Most of those players
: are gone but the last vestiges are Damon & Matsui who are also gone after
: this season. It makes you wish Mussina could have stuck around for one more
: season. Still, Damon moves back to CF for New York because Melky Cabrera is
: terrible and Austin Jackson isn't ready. Damon's skill set remains pretty
: much the same as it always has been. If his BABIP runs around 33%-35% then
: he'll hit 305-315 and if it's around 30%-31% then he'll hit around 290.
: Either way he's going to give you some pop from the leadoff position, good
: OBP% numbers and 25-30 steals. Austin Jackson has a year in Scranton to work
: it out. Then he hits the big time in 2010 as Damon probably seeks his final
: contract.
 中外野手-Johnny Damon
 Damon是另一個合約在2009球季後到期的選手. 我認為2009是洋基最後一個瘋狂灑錢
 簽自由球員只為了得到久違的冠軍的球季. 這段期間洋基共簽了Randy Johnson,
 Carl Pavano, Jaret Wright, Mike Mussina, Jason Giambi,Johnny Damon,
 Hideki Matsui, Bobby Abreu, Gary Sheffield, Javier Vazquez & A-Rod
 而仍然沒有贏得一個世界大賽冠軍. 這些球員大多已離開陣中, 而Damon與Matsui也
 將在這球季結束後合約到期. 這讓人希望穆帥可以再多投一個球季. Damon再度回到
 中外野防區因為Cabrera表現不佳而Austin Jackson還沒準備好. Damon的打擊技巧
 維持得就像他一直以來的一樣好. 如果他的BABIP介於33%到35%之間, 打擊率將在
 0.305到0.315. 如果在30%到31%之間, 打擊率將在0.29左右. 他擔任開路先鋒將帶來
 好的上壘率, 25-30次盜壘, 也會來幾發致命一擊. Austin Jackson在Scranton還有
 一年的時間可好好磨練. 然後他會在2010年展開大聯盟生涯而屆時Damon可能在追求
 他的最後一份合約.

: RF-Xavier Nady: 305/357/510; 25HR, 37-2B, 97RBI, 14.2AB:BB, 2SB, 128OPS+
: I wouldn't be fooled by the overall numbers. Nady put up a 144 OPS+ in
: Pittsburgh but came down to a 105 OPS+ in New York. In fairness to Nady, this
: was the first time the guy has been completely healthy in his entire career
: and a look at his prospect reports show that everyone and their aunt thought
: this guy had tremendous talent. On the other hand, Nady is going to be
: 30-years old and he doesn't exactly walk much. That means Nady is going to
: have to stay healthy, hit .300 and bash out 50+ extra base hits to have value
: at a corner position. The Yankees can probably get away with having a hole in
: RF, but who knows?
 右外野手-Xavier Nady
 我不會被他的總和數據所愚弄. Nady在海盜隊的OPS+是144, 但來到洋基後卻降到105.
 公正而言, 這是Nady生涯中第一個健康球季, 而球探報告顯示每個人都認為他有驚人的
 天份. 另一方面, Nady即將30歲, 他的四壞保送不多. 這表示Nady必須保持健康, 繳出
 3成打擊率與50隻以上的多壘打, 才有擔任左右外野手的價值. 洋基可能將他交易出去
 讓右外野成為漏洞, 這我們不得而知.

: DH-Nick Swisher: 219/332/410; 24HR, 21-2B, 69RBI, 6.1AB:BB, 3SB, 92OPS+
: I've read reports that Swisher didn't really like Chicago or Ozzie Guillen
: for that matter. I can't say I blame him on either front. Chicago tries to be
: a poor's man New York City and Guillen is probably the last manager in
: baseball I'd want to play for. Still, Swisher's skill set remained completely
: intact despite a season that looked brutal. I think it mostly came down to
: Swisher's BABIP. From 2005-2007, Swisher established a BABIP of .288. In 2008
: that number dropped to .251. If Swisher's BABIP had gone to .288 and all
: things remained equal then here is what we'd see:
: Actual: 219/332/410; 24HR, 21-2B, 69RBI, 6.1AB:BB, 3SB, 92OPS+
: Adjusted: 249/362/461; 27HR, 24-2B, 77RBI, 6.1AB:BB, 3SB, 109OPS+
: It's still a bad year given Swisher's previous seasons, but it's not quite as
: bad. Hitting .250? You're better than that! He's still just 28-years old and
: he can play a variety of positions so Swisher definitely gives the Yankees
: some flexibility. If they are looking to trade one player, they'd be better
: served to trade Nady instead of Swisher simply because of Swisher's contract
: status.
 指定打擊-Nick Swisher
 有報導指出Swisher不喜歡Chicago或Guillen教頭. Guillen或許是最後一個我願意效力
 的教頭. 儘管如此, Swisher的技巧保持完善雖然上個球季的表現蠻糟的. 我想主要原
 因在於他的BABIP. 2005到2007之間, Swisher的BABIP是.288. 在2008卻跌到.251. 如
 果將他的BABIP調到.288, 所有數據調整後如下

 現實: 219/332/410; 24HR, 21-2B, 69RBI, 6.1AB:BB, 3SB, 92OPS+
 調整後: 249/362/461; 27HR, 24-2B, 77RBI, 6.1AB:BB, 3SB, 109OPS+

 對照他以往的成績, 這依舊算差的, 但這也不算很糟. 他才28歲而且可以防守多個位置,
 因此Swisher為洋基帶來些彈性空間. 如果洋基試著交易球員, 最好將Nady交易出去,
 簡單來說就是因為Swisher的合約狀況.

: 2009 YANKEES BENCH
: C -Jose Molina  : 216/263/313; 3HR, 17-2B, 18RBI, 22.3AB:BB, 0SB, 51OPS+
: IF-Angel Berroa ; 230/304/310; 1HR, 13-2B, 16RBI, 11.3AB:BB, 0SB, 62OPS+
: OF-Brett Gardner: 228/283/299; 0HR, 5-2B, 16RBI, 15.9AB:BB, 13SB, 53OPS+
: OF-Melky Cabrera: 249/301/341; 8HR, 12-2B, 37RBI, 14.3AB:BB, 9SB, 68OPS+
: IF-Cody Ransom  : 302/400/651; 4HR, 3-2B, 8RBI, 7.2AB:BB, 0SB, 170OPS+
: They Yankees don't exactly have a great bench. Molina is a solid defensive
: catcher but he's an out-making machine as a hitter. Why the Yankees signed
: Berroa is beyond me although I guess he provides some depth behind Jeter
: although Ransom does too so why sign a guy that can't hit? Gardner showed
: some serious speed on the bases last season stealing 13 and getting caught
: just once, but he struckout 30 times in 147AB. You give the guy 550AB at the
: top of the lineup and Gardner strikesout 113 times! I don't know where
: Cabrera fits in to be honest. He simply can't hit enough to be a regular
: player and with Austin Jackson hitting the scene in 2010, there is no place
: for Cabrera to play. Ransom is going to be 33-years old in 2009 so his best
: days are behind him even with that 43AB explosion for New York last season.
 2009洋基開特力貴賓席
 洋基的板凳深度並沒有很好. Molina是個可靠的防守型捕手, 但拿起球棒時他是個出局
 製造機. 我實在想不透為何洋基要簽Berroa, 雖然我猜他可以替Jeter擋一下,
 但Ransom也可以做到, 那為什麼要簽一個只帶手套上場的球員? 上個球季Gardner展現
 出驚人的盜壘速度, 成功盜壘13次而只被抓到1次, 但他在147打數中被三振了30次.
 若讓他擔任開路先鋒, 打了550打數會出現113次三振! 老實說我不曉得Cabrera適合哪
 個位置. 他無法成為一個常態出賽的選手, 而A.Jackson在2010年即將升上大聯盟.
 已沒有任何空間可讓Cabrera發揮了. Ransom在2009即將33歲, 他早已過了全盛期,
 即使他去年有短暫的驚人演出.

: At best the Yankees cannot rely on their bench at all. At worst a couple of
: these guys are made regular players and the Yankees are dealing with a lineup
: of 6-7 hitters instead of the usual 9! That didn't play in 2008 and it won't
: play in 2009 either.
 洋基不能依靠他的板凳球員. 最糟的情況就是這些板凳球員有幾位成為先發選手, 洋基
 的九人先發打線又只有六到七人比較可靠! 在2008球季這種作法已經失敗, 在2009依舊
 不會成功.

: OVERALL IMPRESSION OF THE NEW YORK OFFENSE?
: It is still a beast of an offense. The Yankees led the AL in RS/G in 2007,
: but fell to 7th in 2008 because of injury. I think they head into 2009 with
: much the same hype as they had going into 2007 or 2008 but will need to stay
: injury free again. Adding Teixeira is a huge upgrade in my opinion for the
: Bombers. The Giambino is comparable but Tex is heading into his peak years
: and hitting in front A-Rod should do wonders for him. Look at what happened
: to Chipper Jones' numbers with Teixeira in the lineup.
 洋基的進攻依舊如野獸一般. 2007球季洋基的單場平均得分在美聯是第一, 在2008因
 傷兵問題掉到第七. 我認為洋基挺進2009球季前有著與前兩年一樣多的宣傳話題, 不
 過洋基必須再度提防傷兵問題. 鐵爺的加入對洋基來說是一大升級. 吉哥是不錯但鐵
 爺正要邁入全盛期, 而且打線在A-Rod之前應該能為A-Rod帶來好的化學效應. 看看去
 年鐵爺在勇士陣中時C.Jones的數據表現.

: A-Rod is probably in for one of his odd-numbered MVP years and I also think
: Jeter, Cano and Swisher rebound a bit. The big question for a team like this
: is health. While it wouldn't kill them, losing Posada and Matsui again would
: be tough because it messes up the lineup. Molina would have to step in which
: isn't great and with Matsui out, it would probably force Damon to LF and
: probably Cabrera back to CF.
 A-Rod可能會進入奇數年的無雙狀態, 我也認為Jeter, Cano和Swisher的表現會跌深反
 彈. 這支球隊最大的問題就是健康狀況. 雖然傷兵問題不會擊倒洋基, 但再次失去
 Posada與Matsui將會相當棘手因為這會使得打序大亂. 這樣Molina將必須擔入先發捕
 手, 而逼使Damon到左外野, 或許Cabrera又會回到中外野.

: Still, the Yankees have a top-3 offense that only injury could derail.
 洋基的進攻火力排名是前三名, 只有傷兵問題會使他們有出軌演出.

: 2009 YANKEES STARTING ROTATION
: #1-C.C. Sabathia:
: 253IP, 7.9H/9, 8.9K/9, 4.3K:BB, 2.1BB/9, 0.7HR/9, 1.115WHIP, 162ERA+
: The best pitcher in the game just coming into this prime years. Sabathia is a
: beast if he can keep up his current levels of production. An unlucky start to
: his 2008 campaigned and a mid-season trade probably wrecked his chances for a
: 2nd straight Cy-Young award, but his overall numbers at the end of the season
: were the best in baseball. I'm not sure there are negatives for Sabathia.
: He's a durable leftie who thows 94mph with elite control that keeps the ball
: in the yard. He has a sweet slide piece that dives in on righties and a
: changeup about 8mph slower than his fastball. He's big, durable and powerful
: with tremendous makeup. The only negative with Sabathia is his workload. If
: you include the postseason, he's pitched well over 500IP the last 2-seasons.
: He was handled gingerly in Cleveland so I think it's OK to take off the kid
: gloves. Sabathia got the big contract and I think he made the right decision
: in coming to New York given his star potential. All in all, the big question
: for Sabathia is his decision to have either played for the contract which he
: received, or play for his place in history which could be downright amazing.
: We'll see his true character in 2009.
 2009洋基先發輪值
 一號先發-吸吸沙胖
 這位最佳投手剛要進入全盛期. 如果沙胖能持續他目前的水準, 他的表現有如猛獸一般.
 去年球季初跌跌撞撞的表現與季中交易可能使得他無法連續兩年拿到賽揚獎. 但他在球
 季結束的總合數據表現是最好的. 我不確定沙胖是否有缺點. 他是耐操的左投, 94mph
 的精準直球使得小白球不易飛出全壘打牆外. 他的滑球在對付右打者時會急速下降, 而
 變速球約比直球慢約8mph. 他很大隻, 又耐操, 有球威. 唯一的負面缺點就是近年來的
 超時加班. 若連季後賽都計算在內, 過去兩季他共投了500局. 沙胖在克里夫蘭時期被
 謹慎地使用, 所以我想被操一下是ok的. 沙胖日前得到了大合約, 我想他選擇加入洋基
 是正確的, 因為他有明星特質. 總之, 對沙胖最大的問題是, 他究竟是為了大合約還是
 為了他在棒球史上的地位而奮鬥. 我們將在2009球季看到他真實的人格特質.

: #2-A.J. Burnett:
: 221.3IP, 8.6H/9, 9.4K/9, 2.7K:BB, 3.5BB/9, 0.8HR/9, 1.342WHIP, 105ERA+
: Burnett combines 95mph heat with a sweet deuce that if it's working makes him
: almost unhittable. That 4.05ERA last season is more in line with a 3.30ERA
: given his peripherals. It's all about the injuries with this guy. He simply
: won't pitch unless he feels 100% which is something baseball players almost
: never are. Most pitchers play through some discomfort but not Burnett. He got
: another huge contract from the Yankees and it remains to be seen what he'll
: do. His record against the AL East is incredible. Against Toronto, Boston,
: Baltimore & Tampa Bay, Burnett is 20-5 with a 3.29ERA in 241IP! If he's right
: he's one of the top-5 best pitchers in the league and there is no questioning
: the nastiness of his "stuff". It's a big gamble for New York but big risks
: are the ones that end up with big rewards.
 二號先發-A.J. Burnett
 Burnett有著95mph的火球外加犀利的變化球, 若他的變化球可以正常發揮時會使他幾乎
 無懈可擊. 上季防禦率4.05比他生涯的最佳3.30有段差距(peripheral到底是什麼東東)
 . 這全都因為傷勢問題. 他不想登板投球, 除非他覺得身體百分百正常, 但棒球員幾乎
 不曾可以百分百的狀態出賽. 大多數球員都帶著一些不適的感覺出賽, 但Burnett不想
 這樣做. 日前他和洋基隊簽下肥約, 我們就看看他將會做些什麼. 他對上美聯東區球隊
 時的成績簡直令人無法置信. 對藍鳥, 紅襪, 金鶯, 光芒, 他的戰績是20勝5敗, 241局
 的投球防禦率3.29! 如果他身體無恙, 他是聯盟中前五強的投手, 洋基這次賭很大, 但
 高報酬總伴隨著高風險.

: #3-Joba Chamberlain:
: 100.3IP, 7.8H/9, 10.6K/9, 3.0K:BB, 3.5BB/9, 0.4HR/9, 1.256WHIP, 171ERA+
: On talent alone he's the best pitcher on the Yankees staff. Just take a look
: at his peripherals and realize this kid is still only going to be 23-years
: old in 2009. Joba started out in the bullpen last season and posted a 2.28ERA
: in 20 appearances holding opponents to a .558 OPS! He was then given a
: rotation spot where he was handled with caution. All he did in 12 starts is
: go 3-1 with a 2.76ERA striking out 74 hitters in 65.3IP and holding opponents
: to a .641 OPS. He then went on the DL for a month but when he came back he
: was put in the bullpen again and posted a 2.38ERA in 10 appearances holding
: opponents to a .593 OPS. Joba has 4-pitches but works mainly off his
: fastball/slider combo. He already keeps the ball in the yard but if he can
: get his control down to 2.0-2.5 walks per 9 then look out. If he throws 200IP
: he's a 20-game winner & Cy Young winner just waiting to happen. If he lowers
: the walk rate we are talking greatest pitcher in the game.
 三號先發-Joba Chamberlain
 單就天份而言, Chamberlain是洋基最佳投手. 單單看他目前的表現而且他2009球季才
 剛要邁入23歲(我懷疑他偷吃藍波丸). 喬巴上季從牛棚出發, 20次出賽防禦率2.28,
 對手的OPS被壓制在.558.接著他被賦予先發任務, 洋基也謹守喬巴法則避免他投球數
 量過多. 他12場先發戰績 3勝1敗, 65.3局投球防禦率2.76, 三振數74, 對手OPS被壓
 制在.641. 之後他進入傷兵名單約一個月, 等他歸隊後, 他再度進入牛棚, 10次出賽
 防禦率為2.38, 對手OPS為.593. 喬巴有四種球路, 不過主要都使用直球與滑球.
 他已經有辦法讓球留在場中, 倘若他可以將四壞保送控制在2.0-2.5/9IP, 那大家就
 要小心了. 若他能投200局, 他會是個20勝選手, 賽揚獎也是指日可待. 假如他可以
 降低四壞保送次數, 那我們正在討論的人就是聯盟最強投手.

: #4-Chien-Ming Wang:
: 95IP, 8.5H/9, 5.1K/9, 1.5K:BB, 3.3BB/9, 0.4HR/9, 1.316WHIP, 109ERA+
: Wang can easily be described as the forgotten man in this rotation. He's gone
: from #1 starter to #4 or maybe even #5 if Pettitte returns despite going
: 38-13 from 2006-2007 and starting the 2008 season 8-2 before a foot injury
: sustained running the bases ended his season prematurely. Now he's mentioned
: as a back-end starter and trade bait for the Bombers! The foot injury has
: nothing to do with his pitching. He brings a hard 92-93mph sinker combined
: with his slide piece to induce and absurd number of groundballs. He keeps the
: ball in the yard and doesn't walk a ton of batters. It's not #1 starter
: material but it's easily #2-#3 if he goes 200IP which is likely. That 3.3BB/9
: is concerning but out of line with his previous levels. If he's healthy
: apparently he wins 19-games a season.
 四(?)號先發-王葛格
 簡單描述王葛格就像是先發輪值中的Dororo易被遺忘. 他的先發順序已從一號掉到四號,
 如果小派回來甚至可能變成五號先發. 儘管他2006-2007戰績38勝13敗, 2008在腳傷
 使他提前結束球季之前的戰績是8勝2敗. 他現在被視為後段先發投手和交易籌碼.
 他主要依靠92-93mph的沉球搭配滑球, 誘使打者揮擊成滾地球. 他不易被擊出全壘打,
 四壞保送數也不多. 他不是一號先發的料, 但如果他投200局以上(這很有可能發生)
 他毫無疑問地是二號或三號先發. 3.3BB/9IP 值得注意. 如果他能健康出賽, 他似乎
 會是個19勝投手.

: #5-Andy Pettitte:
: 204IP, 10.3H/9, 7.0K/9, 2.9K:BB, 2.4BB/9, 0.8HR/9, 1.412WHIP, 98ERA+
: Pettitte was a lot better than those numbers indicate. His BABIP was a brutal
: .339 compared to the AL's average of .304 meaning that H/9 was way too high.
: I'm actually penciling in Pettitte because the Yankees are probably going to
: get a deal done with the lefty. It simply wouldn't seem right not having him
: in the rotation. Pettitte is actually a pretty darn valuable commodity. He
: still strikesout 7 a game and he doesn't walk hitters or is prone to the
: gopher ball. If you give this guy some run support he'll win 16-18 games for
: you easily. Having him as your #4-#5 starter is somewhat ridiculous. Bringing
: back Pettitte serves other fuctions for New York in the long term as well.
: Bringing Pettitte back essentially keeps either Hughes or Kennedy out of the
: rotation for another season. It also pushes Wang to the #3 slot and moves
: Chamberlain back to the #5 slot which will mean a lot lower expectations and
: a lighter workload.
 五號先發-小派
 小派的實質表現優於數據所呈現的. 他的BABIP(.339)相較於美聯投手平均(.304)糟透了
 , 這代表H/9過高. 我將小派列入分析是因為洋基可能將要與小派達成協議. 若先發輪值
 沒有他似乎不是正確的選擇. 事實上小派還是位有價值的投手. 他一場比賽仍然可投出7
 次三振, 四壞保送少, 常被打出滾地球. 如果給他多些火力支援, 他將有16-18勝. 讓
 當四號五號先發是有點荒謬. 簽回小派對洋基長期來說還有另一項功用. 小派歸隊可讓
 Hughes or Kennedy再磨一年. 這也讓王回到三號先發, 喬巴回到五號先發, 這會讓喬巴
 減輕心理壓力與工作負荷量.

: SP-Phil Hughes:
: 34IP, 11.4H/9, 6.1K/9, 1.5K:BB, 4.0BB/9, 0.8HR/9, 1.706WHIP, 67ERA+
: SP-Ian Kennedy:
: 39.7IP, 11.3H/9, 6.1K/9, 1.0K:BB, 5.9BB/9, 1.1HR/9, 1.916WHIP, 54ERA+
: SP-Dan Giese:
: 43.3IP, 8.1H/9, 6.0K/9, 2.1K:BB, 2.9BB/9, 0.6HR/9, 1.223WHIP, 126ERA+


: 2009 YANKEES BULLPEN
: CL-Mariano Rivera:
: 70.7IP, 5.2H/9, 9.8K/9, 12.8K:BB, 0.8BB/9, 0.5HR/9, 0.665WHIP, 317ERA+
: LP-Damaso Marte:
: 65IP, 7.2H/9, 9.8K/9, 2.7K:BB, 3.6BB/9, 0.7HR/9, 1.200WHIP, 105ERA+
: RP-Brian Bruney:
: 34.3IP, 4.7H/9, 8.7K/9, 2.1K:BB, 4.2BB/9, 0.5HR/9, 0.990WHIP, 242ERA+
: RP-Jon Albaladejo:
: 13.7IP, 9.9H/9, 8.5K/9, 2.2K:BB, 3.9BB/9, 0.7HR/9, 1.537WHIP, 112ERA+
: RP-Jose Veras:
: 57.7IP, 8.1H/9, 9.8K/9, 2.2K:BB, 4.5BB/9, 1.1HR/9, 1.405WHIP, 124ERA+
: RP-Edwar Ramirez:
: 55.3IP, 7.2H/9, 10.3K/9, 2.6K:BB, 3.9BB/9, 1.1HR/9, 1.229WHIP, 114ERA+
: LP-Phil Coke:
: 14.7IP, 4.9H/9, 8.6K/9, 7.0K:BB, 1.2BB/9, 0.0HR/9, 0.682WHIP, 724ERA+
: RP-David Robertson:
: 30.3IP, 8.6H/9, 10.7K/9, 2.4K:BB, 4.5BB/9, 0.9HR/9, 1.451WHIP, 83ERA+
: This is a great bullpen. In the Hardball Times 2009 Baseball Annual, they
: broke down each team into their WPA (Wins Probability Added) according to
: lineup, rotation and bullpen. New York's 8.3 WPA for their bullpen was 2nd
: best in the entire major leagues behind Tampa Bay's 9.3 and tied for 2nd with
: Philadelphia's 8.3. That means that the Yankees bullpen added 8 more wins
: than average. What's great about the Yankees is that they won't have to deal
: with contributions from either LaTroy Hawkins or Kyle Farnsworth so it's more
: like addition through subtraction with those guys. On the other hand, the
: Yankees probably aren't going to get another year out of Rivera they did in
: 2009 and we'll still have to see how guys like Bruney, Coke, Robertson and
: Albaladejo hold up over an entire season.
 2009洋基牛棚
 牛棚陣容太屌了. 在Hardball Times 2009棒球年鑑中, 他們根據各隊打線陣容,先發
 輪值與牛棚陣容來計算WPA. 洋基的牛棚帶來的WPA是8.3, 在整個大聯盟僅次於光芒
 (9.3), 而與費城人並列第二. 這意味著洋基牛棚可為球隊多贏八場. 對洋基來說更棒
 的是擺脫Hawkins與Farnsworth的合約, 這樣又多了些薪資空間. 或許Rivera的表現可
 能不會像2008球季那樣強, 而我們仍須觀察Bruney, Coke, Robertson和Albaladejo的
 整季表現會如何.

: What we can say about this pen is that every pitcher is dominant. Not one of
: them strikesout less than 8 hitters per 9IP. Some of them still have issues
: with their control but for the most part this Yankees pen is very solid if
: not as celebrated as you might expect. There was a lot wrong with the 2008
: New York Yankees, but one thing that wasn't wrong was the bullpen. In fact,
: it was the brightest spot on the team.
 洋基牛棚養的牛每隻都是蠻牛. 沒有人在每九局的三振數少於8. 雖然其中幾位有控球
 上的問題, 但整體來說洋基牛棚是相當可靠的. 2008球季洋基陣容出了很多包, 其中
 沒有出錯之一的就是牛棚. 事實上, 牛棚是全隊最生氣勃勃的.

: There is no better closer in the game than Rivera. Veras, Ramirez & Marte
: make a tremendous trio in getting the ball to Rivera. Bruney, Coke and
: Albaladejo make up the other guys most likely in the pen. If Bruney can walk
: fewer batters he's an 8th inning ace in the making. Coke is pretty
: interesting. He's a lefty who has been a starter his entire career and last
: year started at AA Trenton. We went 9-4 in 20 starts with a 2.51ERA but when
: he was promoted to AAA Scranton, the Yankees stuck him in the bullpen where
: he made 14 appearances, striking out 22 hitters in 17IP. That got him to the
: Bronx where he put up incredible numbers for a 15 inning cup of coffee.
: Robertson might be the odd man out but the prospect spent half his time
: between AA and AAA. Here are his ratios at both destinations:
 本尊是聯盟中最好的closer. Veras, Ramirez和Marte則是稱職的中繼三人組.
 牛棚的其他人選應該是Bruney, Coke和Albaladejo. 若Bruney的四壞保送少一點,
 他會是王牌set up man. Coke讓人感到興趣. 他是位左投, 生涯一直都是擔任先發角
 色而去年 從2A出發. 20次先發奪得9勝4敗, 防禦率2.51. 但當他被升到3A, 洋基把
 他送進牛棚. 14次出賽投了17局三振22次. 之後升上大聯盟後15局的投球內容讓人
 驚艷. Robertson可能是遺珠之憾, 但他花了他一半的時間在2A與3A. 下列是他的總
 和成績.

: Robertson:
: 53.7IP, 4.7H/9, 12.9K/9, 3.3K:BB, 3.9BB/9, 0.2HR/9, 0.950WHIP, 1.68ERA

: If you are looking for the heir apparent to Rivera, Robertson might be your
: guy. I think at the major league level right now he's at least a 7th inning
: guy if not a dominant set up man to Rivera which sort of makes you wonder if
: David Robertson isn't to Mariano Rivera was Rivera was to John Wetteland when
: Rivera was coming up. Robertson might start the season in Scranton but I'm
: not sure how much longer New York can keep him there. He's listed at 5-11
: which may be the reason he's not more highly touted, but Tom Gordon is 5-9
: and he's been in the league for 20 years and has 3-seasons of at least 27
: saves.
 若你正在尋找本尊的接班人, Robertson或許就是那個人. 我想在以大聯盟的強度來說,
 他現在最多就是第七局的投手. 若本尊之前沒有強力set up man, 這會讓你懷疑是否
 Robertson會如同當年本尊在J.Wetteland之前所擔任的角色. Robertson這季可能會從
 3A出發, 但我不確定洋基會放他在那多久. 他只有5呎11吋, 或許是這個原因使他不受
 到矚目. 但Gordon只有5呎9吋, 他已經在大聯盟闖蕩20年而且有三季至少有27次救援.

: OVERALL PROJECTION FOR THE 2009 YANKEES
: I don't think there is much argument to be made that this is the best team in
: baseball at the moment. There really isn't a weakness on the team although I
: think New York could see significant problems if the big contracts don't work
: out. My predicition is 1st Place in the AL East for 2009. I think the offense
: will be tremendous with the addition of Teixeira in the middle of the lineup.
: I also think the bullpen will once again be solid which only leaves the
: starting lineup. There are a ton of question marks regarding the rotation,
: BUT the talent is obviously there. I really think Pettitte gets it done with
: New York so he'll be on board giving New York some good depth. It'll really
: big a big year for the Yankees. I think a lot of questions will be answered
: for guys like Sabathia, Burnett, Wang, Chamberlain, Hughes & Kennedy. The
: Yankees have a lot invested going forward in Sabathia & Burnett. We'll see
: how it turns out, but for now on paper, this is the best team in baseball.
 2009洋基整體預測
 我不認為將洋基視做聯盟最強球隊會引來太多爭議. 這支球隊無懈可擊, 雖然我認為
 若最近簽下的幾位大咖表現失常時洋基可能會遇到麻煩. 我預測洋基會是美聯冠軍.
 我認為有鐵爺擔任中心打者會讓進攻火力更強. 我也認為牛棚會再次有好表現, 只剩
 下先發輪值. 先發輪值存在許多變數, 但這些人的天份是無庸置疑的. 我認為小派終
 究會與洋基簽下合約, 所以他將為洋基帶來不錯的戰力. 今年對洋基無比重要. 我認
 為對Sabathia, Burnett, Wang, Chamberlain, Hughes和Kennedy的問題將會得到答
 案. 洋基投了巨額投資在沙胖與AJB身上. 我們看看這是否會奏效. 但現今紙上談兵
 來說洋基是最強的球隊.

 (有沒有萬能遙控器可以將時間快轉到球季開幕賽?)

--
 終於完成這篇翻譯. 文中有些字句實在是看不懂.
 若有大大發現我在胡言亂語時, 歡迎指正, 感謝


--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) 
◆ From: 123.110.246.13
→ MarianoWu:為保持文章完整性, 我將之前已翻譯部分再納入, 請容許我
→ MarianoWu:騙吃騙喝Orz
推 herosir:感謝翻譯
推 angor:完整好文~大推
→ OoyaoO:感謝翻譯  作者對喬巴超有愛XD 希望他今年能投很棒的150IP
→ OoyaoO:那後年我們就會看到很久沒看到的自家出產ACE
推 Cefilos:原PO真的辛苦了,給您拍拍手
推 ifkill:看的很蘇胡
推 Sechslee:推 現在只希望*事件不會影響A-Rod在2009開無雙
推 GTOnizuka:感謝翻譯！辛苦了～
推 Melson:推~~~
推 polebear:推
推 krara:推，我也好希望快點開幕啊QQ
推 kaku216:推
推 charles1975:感謝翻譯
推 toper:感謝推
推 brothers5023:推依個
推 aspip33:儘管ARod進入奇數年..這次類固醇事件會不會影響他仍是問號
推 cruising:有看有推 真是太辛苦了
推 richertkk:A-rod一定要開無雙+爆器+變身成超級賽亞人4..不然...
→ richertkk:他上場打球就只有噓聲了..球迷都是很健忘的
推 siliver:辛苦了辛苦了.
→ shepell:好懷念moose
推 yoyoboy1:把王講的一無是處 好像沒什麼實力 19勝是撿到的一樣
→ siliver:樓上是連中文翻譯都看不懂啊......
推 smail363:好多如果......
推 kenneths:感謝推
推 dp44:這算被害妄想症嗎= =a
推 jayin07:神戰士！
推 Fanicom:推推~
→ OoyaoO:ARod明年勢必得爆氣了 不然一定酸不完 來個.310/.420/.620
→ OoyaoO:最重要是要求神拜佛讓RISP到07 Mode 才讓人酸無可酸
推 richertkk:現在A-ROD就要求全能全知的神..讓他能夠爆氣..
推 liyard:結論就是全員健康最重要...
→ dreambreaken:王部分講的好奇怪，一開始批的一文不值，最後又說可
→ dreambreaken:拿19勝，精神錯亂嗎=_=
推 djcc:當史上最強的NO2好了  生涯19勝拿了19次  XD
推 waitla:那個地方把王批的一文不值了?
推 ptt2005: 小王第幾順位都不重要 拿下20勝才重要~~
推 Sechslee:哪裡有批王? 重複看3遍都沒看到
→ siliver:大概只要沒說王是一號就被認為是批的一文不值吧.
推 Belladonaa:http://0rz.tw/TO4sQ http://0rz.tw/aiRif 專家在這
推 rayven:推，辛苦了。派派回來Joba第一個受益啊
→ rayven:上面幾個發神經的是王板鄉民？
推 dp44:不是專家嗎
推 Sechslee:是專家 (點頭)
推 jayin07:因為看不懂，所以認為在批王。
推 yao60301:push
推 heacoun:其實王一直都好好的，只是有些鄉民有被害妄想症..
→ durant1224:CC兩年有500局喔...真是個怪物..