作者abc12812 ()
看板NY-Yankees
標題Is Derek Jeter Underrated?
時間Thu Jun 18 17:20:39 2009
http://friarforecast.com/?p=1074
Yesterday, I wandered over to espn.com in search of an update on the score of
the Padres game. I quickly discovered the Padres were losing 5-0 in the
fourth, and after a brief glance at the box score revealed Adrian Gonzalez
was the only Padre to record a hit at that point, I disgustedly hit “back”
on my browser, and proceeded to scroll through the rest of the scores. A
few lines down, I stumbled upon a stunning score: Yankees 15, Mets 0…
W-Burnett, L-Santana. An examination of the box score revealed Johan Santana
had been lit up by the Yankees bats. Derek Jeter led the charge with a 4 for
4 day at the plate.
Jeter’s day piqued my interest. I noticed it brought his batting average up
to 0.310, and his on base percentage to 0.378 on the season. Very solid
numbers, particularly for a shortstop. This got me thinking. Has Derek Jeter
become underrated? As a fan who reads a lot of sabermetrically friendly
articles, and does not live in New York, I believe he has.
In recent years, it has become popular to call Derek Jeter overrated. A 2008
poll of 495 major league players conducted by Sports Illustrated resulted in
“Cap’n Jetes” being labeled the most overrated player in the game. Most
fielding studies have concluded Jeter is, if not the worst, then one of the
worst fielding shortstops of his generation. Certainly not worthy of his
three gold gloves. The Jeter backlash has been further compounded by his
status as captain of the New York Yankees, and his $189 million contract.
Lost in all of this is that Derek Jeter is actually a great player. And he
has been. For a long time. For his career, Jeter has 2614 hits, 215 HR, and
an OPS of 0.845. He has been remarkably consistent, only recording an OPS
below 0.800 three times in 14 seasons, and none below 0.771.
About a month ago, Beyond the Boxscore published an article and accompanying
chart that highlights the career WAR for an “average hall of famer” and a “
replacement hall of famer.” Below I have updated the chart so we can see
how Jeter stacks up (note: Seasons are arranged in descending order of WAR):
While Jeter’s career is not finished, to this point, it looks a lot like
that of an “average” hall of famer. Essentially, a Tony Gwynn, Eddie
Murray, or Brooks Robinson type career. The correlation between Jeter’s WAR
and that of an average hall of famer was a remarkably high 0.985.* WAR does
not consider variables such as “heart,” “determination,” or “post-season
excellence.” It merely considers a player’s contributions with the bat and
in the field during the regular season. Even throwing out all of the “
intangible” arguments, Jeter has played at a hall of fame level throughout
his career.
*Note: In 2009, Jeter has already accumulated 2.5 WAR. I decided to bump it
up to 4.0 WAR for the year, and include it has a data point.
While Derek Jeter is probably not the best player to play the game, he is
certainly amongst the best. His election to the hall of fame (whenever that
occurs) will have been deserving. Sure his fielding is poor, and at one
point, he probably received too much credit for the Yankee’s success, but
somewhere along the way, some of us (certainly myself) lost track of just how
good Jeter has been. And still is.
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◆ From: 140.112.5.3
推 goopa:比較少看到討論Jeter被低估的文章,推一個... 06/18 17:48
→ jdtrue:推大家都不看好結果WAR還是隊上第二高的隊長 06/18 18:13
推 siliver:WAR??一堆只看的懂AVG的,別太奢望他們哩. 06/18 18:14
推 kimifort:還好我都看dating mates 06/18 18:46
→ abc12812:我覺得DP比較好懂,畢竟這是跟葛格最相關的數據 06/18 18:52
推 unicotexalex:XDDD 06/18 19:13
→ Sechslee:5樓XD 06/18 21:42
推 stevely:5樓XDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD 06/18 21:49