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http://0rz.tw/9c5gL
Posted by: Ben K. in Polls. Tagged: Xavier Nady
As the Yanks head into Spring Training, they may or may not have a roster
with too many outfielders for too few spaces. Johnny Damon is entrenched in
left field and the lead-off spot while Brett Gardner and Melky Cabrera will
seemingly battle it out for center field. In right, Nick Swisher and Xavier
Nady offer the Yanks a plethora of platoon options with Hideki Matsui as the
DH.
The Yanks could look to trade an outfielder. Damon wouldn’t — and probably
shouldn’t — be the one to go while no team would take on Hideki without a
guarantee that his knees could hold up. So that leaves Swisher and Nady as
the potential trade bait. Swisher had a seemingly poor 2008, but luck had a
big role in suppressing his numbers. He also has a better track record than
Nady.
But no one seems to generate more discussion than Nady as the Yanks shop
their outfielders. In answering some mail this week, Steve Goldman opined
about Nady:
What happened to the Yankees’ fondness of Xavier Nady? It seemed like when
they got him, the organization really liked him. But now they’re thinking of
trading him? Trading away a .305 AVG, 25 HR and 97 RBI from an offense that
had trouble scoring runs last year? Does that even make sense? –Tucker
It makes a ton of sense, Tucker, because Nady isn’t really a .305 hitter. In
his career, he’s been far closer to the hitter he cooled from his hot
pinstriped start, a .268/.320/.474 hitter. As far as corner outfield
production goes, it’s subpar. If Nick Swisher gets back on track this year,
he’ll get on base much closer to 40 percent of the time and show comparable
power. The value in Nady last season was that he was a huge in-season upgrade
on Melky Cabrera, who he displaced from the lineup by allowing Johnny Damon
to go back to center. That was a very nice move by Brian Cashman to staunch a
bleeding wound, but Nady isn’t someone a championship team plans on
starting.
Meanwhile, one of the various Steve’s who read RAB wrote in with this take
on the X Man:
He’s one of the more misunderstood players on the Yanks, with many believing
“he had a fluke year” and “he’s a NL player,” both of which are
demonstrably false.
Check out the progression Nady has made over the past 5 years, especially vs
righties. (The numbers are BA/OBP/SLG/OPS.)
2004
AVG OBP SLG OPS
vs R .178 .213 .311 .524
vs L .344 .417 .563 .979
2005
vs R .223 .270 .431 .700
vs L .323 .400 .452 .852
2006
vs R .263 .312 .424 .736
vs L .336 .418 .551 .969
2007
vs R .274 .322 .479 .802
vs L .295 .356 .463 .819
2008
vs R .317 .357 .529 .886
vs L .262 .361 .444 .805
He has steadily improved from being a platoon player who only hit lefties, to
one who hit righties better than lefties last season. Even if that was a peak
year for him, if he was to revert to his 2007 line he would still be a fine
everyday player and a good replacement for Abreu, especially when you factor
in his value as a (slightly better than league average) fielder, and Abreu
being the worst RF in the AL by most measures.
Now to the AL/NL stuff:
2007
1st Half .291 .344 .504 .848
2nd Half .255 .303 .425 .728
2008
1st Half .321 .377 .525 .901
2nd Half .284 .333 .492 .825
The middling second half he had leads many Yankee fans to believe that he’s
“not an AL player,” but he actually had a similarly weak (.80 drop off in
OPS both years) 2nd half in 2007 in the NL, which could say something about
his conditioning or training regimen, but not the league. It’s also worth
noting that he only became a full time player in 2008 (607 PAs), he had about
500 PAs in 2007/2006 and 356 PAs in 2005. Again, he is progressing from a
platoon player to an everyday player.
So what will it be? Should the Yankees trade Xavier Nady? I’d be inclined to
keep him as a fourth outfielder, long his traditional role, and if Swisher
falters, they have a Plan B. He provides a lot of pop off the bench, and the
Yanks don’t need to trade him right now.
Let’s open the floor on this debate with an ever-popular poll, and feel free
to use this post as tonight’s open thread.
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