[洋基] Young Pitching

[xiemark (aisinjuro)]

一篇有趣的文章。

http://firetorre.blogspot.com/2006/10/young-pitching.html


Young Pitching

I'm going to have a little fun today. Baseball Prospectus releases it's year
"PECOTA" predictions, attempting to pin down the performance level of every
major leaguer. I'm a strong advocate for staying away from the free agent
market and using our pitching depth to fill the voids, which creates the next
logical question. How good can they be?

Our candidates for promotion out of spring training next year are Steve
White, Phil Hughes, Tyler Clippard, Jeff Karstens, J.B. Cox, T.J. Beam,
Darrell Rasner, and Sean Henn. I am going to give "my timeline and
projection" for these young pitchers this year. Note, this is incredibly
unscientific and completely meaningless. That said, it can be fun.

Offseason: The Yankees bring back Mike Mussina, Randy Johnson, Chien-Ming
Wang, and Carl Pavano.

Spring Training: The Yankees audition their pitching staff in Tampa. It is
determined that Phil Hughes, although he could certainly do well in the major
leagues right now, would be served well long term if he took a little more
time to tighten up his changeup. Tyler Clippard, J.B. Cox, T.J. Beam, and
Steve White are determined not ready to pitch in the major leagues. Sean Henn
sees no spot for himself and is traded away . Darrell Rasner is promoted to
the major league bullpen as a long man, and Jeff
Karstens is made the Yankee's 5th starter.

April: While Mike Mussina and Chien-Ming Wang succeed, Randy Johnson falters.
Carl Pavano pitches marginally well, but is booed every time he takes the
mound by Yankee fans. Jeff Karstens pitches about as well as Pavano.

May: Randy Johnson starts to recover, but his ERA is still north of 5. Carl
Pavano sits on a tact and injures his shoulder, landing on the 60 day DL.
Phil Hughes, who hasn't allowed a run in 15 innings, is promoted from AAA.
Hughes immediately dominates.

June: Scott Proctor, after a stellar start to the season, sees his control
falter. It is discovered that he is fatigued, and lands on the DL with some
sort of shoulder or elbow injury. Brian Bruney, pitching fairly well, takes
his responsibilities. Kyle Farnsworth is pitching excellent. The Yankees call
up T.J. Beam, who pitches fairly well.

July: Brian Bruney goes down with some sort of elbow trouble, after throwing
30+ innings in June. The Fire Joe Torre blog is filled with accusations of
Joe Torre ruining pitchers. J.B. Cox is called up from AAA. In the warm
weather, Randy Johnson becomes marginally useful. Carl Pavano reinjures his
arm while writing a letter to Angelina Jolie. Jeff Karstens sees his ERA fall
below the league average.

August: Scott Proctor returns, sending Cox back to the minors until
September. However, he is not effective. His velocity and control are both
way down following shoulder trouble. By now, Hughes is being talked about as
a no brainer for ROY, and possibly the Game 2 starter for the New York
Yankees in the playoffs. Chien-Ming Wang, throwing his new cutter, finally
learns to strike people out again. Wang is considered for the Cy Young
award.

September: While trying to rehab the small hole in his buttox, Carl Pavano is
hit by a bicycle. No one observes the event, but Pavano insists that it had
two wheels. Steve White, who pitched fairly well in AAA, and Tyler Clippard
are called up with the expanded rosters. Eric Duncan and Justin Christian are
also called up to help the team. Kevin Thompson is called up, but not used
once. The Yankees clinch early, as both the Blue Jays and Red Sox fail to
assemble a team much different from their 2006 team.

October: Phil Hughes and Chien-Ming Wang lead the Yankees to a championship.
Randy Johnson does not make the playoff roster, with the 4th starter slot
taken by Jeff Karstens.

Season lines:

Phil Hughes - 24 starts, 174 innings, 3.63 ERA. 162 Ks, 46 BBs. Wins ROY.
Jeff Karstens - 31 starts, 184 innings, 4.31 ERA. 126 Ks, 52 BBs.
T.J. Beam - 42 games, 38 innings. 3.72 ERA. 37 Ks, 17 BBs.
J.B. Cox - 36 games, 37 innings. 3.42 ERA. 28 Ks, 12 BBs.

--
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◆ From: 211.23.177.142
推 LagioTan:這是馬林基隊嗎.....
推 CTHsieh:小王真的要練卡特球嗎??
推 xiemark:http://tinyurl.com/f9kb8  更搞笑。
推 holymars:看到Painvano一直被酸XD  這次被腳踏車撞了
推 upscom:下次被滑板車撞嗎...........
推 Boyzone:蠻爆笑的...XD
推 CCfss:哈哈哈有笑到 好像每次過新年都會出來預言一年大事的算命師
推 whgamicat:好酸XD
推 kevinloo:Pavano進60天DL 然後復出被腳踏車撞 但沒人看見...XD
推 elido:他是2006 DL MVP (指標性人物)
推 tsming:砍掉重練2007
推 wildsky:這篇真的很好笑...尤其是Paivano的部份...XD
推 tsming:趴瓦諾被拿來酸已經是國際趨勢了，沒有他日子很難過啊XD
推 mikeck:金正日??
推 devilsky:有沒有高手來翻一下 我也很想笑 囧
推 raiderho:小王cutter？八月對水手謎之92mph往右打者外角竄的球路？
推 osamadavis:94的伸卡...92的卡特...96的直球...好high啊...
推 raiderho:控球進步一點，三振自然長出來。
推 Makubex82:推一下94的伸卡 92的卡特 96的直球 這個好
推 jackoop:這作者對Hughs跟Wang還真樂觀啊~~~
推 crypupa:實在令人很想笑~XD
推 Being:Painvano寫信給Angelina Jolie的時候受傷. ==a 真搞笑
推 jonw0115:哈哈哈 推Pavano被腳踏車撞到
推 w1379:可惜小王說他從來都不知道卡特怎麼投...
推 cariles:王會卡特？他使用說明書怎麼沒這項...?
推 raxxar82:好像有傳聞在練習 Mo有次還中繼一場 示範什麼叫正宗卡特
推 Pom:"Pavano在寫信給安潔莉納裘利時又傷了他的手臂" 這個好笑