[新聞] 今日農村 ─ Philip Hughes

[pathfinder (視角年代)]

Checking in on the Eastern and Southern Leagues

原文節譯自 http://0rz.net/931A6 by Chris Constancio July 10, 2006

    前言：各位鄉親、各位農友大家好。 The Hardball Times 對各區的年輕投
          手做了些預測，我僅節錄有關洋基農場最受矚目的 2A 農產品 Philip
          Hughes 的段落來翻譯。詳細全文請參照上面的連結。

Eastern League
東區聯盟

The following list represents the top 10 pitching performances (ranked
by fielding independent ERA) among pitchers with at least 70 innings
in the Eastern League this year.
底下這張名單列出今年東區聯盟主投 70 局以上有著頂尖表現的十名投手。
(根據 fielding independent ERA 來排序)

ORG AGE  PLAYER             IP   W  L   H  BB   K HR   ERA FIP-ERA  Notes
DET  23  Humberto Sanchez 71.2   5  3  47  27  86  2  1.76    2.28  ＊   
TOR  23  Davis Romero     73.2   6  5  57  19  70  3  2.93    2.55
NYY  23  Jeff Karstens    74     6  0  54  14  67  4  2.31    2.65       
NYM  26  Willie Collazo   97.2   6  5  81  13  72  4  2.86    2.68
NYY  21  Philip Hughes    72     5  3  52  23  76  5  2.75    2.86       
PHI  22  Scott Mathieson  85.2   6  2  67  26  95  7  3.05    3.07
PIT  26  Shane Youman     74.1   5  2  57  16  44  3  1.57    3.10  ＊   
TOR  23  Kyle Yates       79     5  6  73  24  61  3  3.42    3.12
BOS  24  Kason Gabbard    73.2   9  2  51  25  68  4  2.57    3.19
TOR  24  Mike MacDonald  106.2   7  5 106  19  62  6  3.63    3.26
SF   26  Chris Begg      110     6  9 101  25  71  7  3.60    3.34  ＊   

附註 1. DET  23  Humberto Sanchez  SP in Futures Game  未來星星賽先發
     2. PIT  26  Shane Youman      Leads league in ERA 聯盟最佳防禦率
     3. SF   26  Chris Begg        Leads league in IP  聯盟主投局數最多

All Star Most Likely to Succeed
全星星裡最有可能成功的。

Philip Hughes struggled in yesterday's Futures Game, but he just
turned 20 years old and is already one of the best pitchers in the
Eastern League. I get more e-mails about Hughes than any other
baseball prospect, so I've been thinking about his performance a lot
lately. Hughes has an above-average walk rate while striking out more
than one batter per inning. Here's something worth thinking about:
Only one 19- or 20-year-old pitcher, Edwin Jackson, has had comparable
strikeout and walk rates at the Double-A level during the past five
years. That comparison is useful in two ways. First, it is an
indication of how rare this kind of performance is for such a young
pitcher. There is a temptation to dismiss Hughes as just another over
-hyped Yankees prospect, but he really has had an exceptional career
thus far. However, the comparison also illustrates how difficult it is
to project young pitchers' careers. Jackson was an outstanding
pitching prospect, but he has not had any success since leaving the
Southern League three years ago. So even if I declare Hughes "most
likely to succeed" due to his accomplishments, you should be very
skeptical of any kind of projection for a 20-year-old pitcher.

Philip Hughes 在昨天的未來星星比賽中表現不佳，但他才剛滿 20 歲而他已經
是東區聯盟裡最優秀的投手之一。我收到關於 Hughes 的電子郵件比任何棒球潛
力新秀還多，因此近來我已經思考他的表現好一陣子了。當 Hughes 每局三振掉
超過一名打者時有著高於平均的保送率。有件事是值得好好想想的：在過去五年
裡在 2A 等級只有一個 19 或 20 歲的投手 Edwin Jackson 有著可相提並論的
三振與保送率。這個比較有助於兩個方向的思考。首先，這象徵著對如此年輕的
投手來說有這樣的表現是很難得的。這也誘使著人們不考慮把 Hughes 當作另一
個過度宣傳的洋基潛力新秀，然而到目前為止他的確有著卓越的生涯表現。無論
如何，這個比較也說明了預測一名年輕投手的生涯是多麼難的事。 Jackson 是
個傑出的潛力投手新秀，然而自從三年前離開南區聯盟後他毫無所成。因此即使
我基於 Hughes 的成就而宣布他是"最有可能成功的"，你也應該對各種有關 20
歲投手的預測表示強烈的質疑。

譯文僅供參考。

--

  長い助走が終わりつつあります。飛翔の為の準備を始めました。

--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
推 affs:Jackson是被rush還是什麼原因@@?
推 pathfinder:唔，我對躲人的農場並不熟，我只知道他原本是明星野手
→ pathfinder:然後被養成投手，19歲 MLB Debut，後來載浮載沉
→ pathfinder:現在隸屬 TB，前天Wang的比賽中有出場...
推 RollingWave:應該是rush到了...
推 egghead:TINSTAAPP
推 YANKS:推"今日農村"@@  (
推 ted10:好文推
推 oukeheo:我有在哪個板(忘了哪啦) 看到某位大大感嘆 Edwin Jackson
→ oukeheo:前兩年的頂級新秀 如今沈輪到魔鬼魚 而且是敗戰處理投手..
推 hairworm:今日農村 XD
推 mstar:推「今日農村」 XD 二十年前週末下午都會播這個...
推 mingzhe:XDDD
推 Fitzwilliam:我在這兒提過，不過推文應該已經淹到海裡了 XD
※ 編輯: pathfinder      來自: 220.132.95.124       (07/12 00:01)