[外電] Five questions: Baltimore Orioles

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Five questions: Baltimore Orioles
by Evan Brunell
April 01, 2009


Those poor Orioles. They didn't know what the Curse of Jeffrey Maier was
going to bring them. But lo! Hope arrives on the horizon. Boasting one of the
best offenses in the game and teeming with young major league players poised
to break out and a stable of young arms progressing through the system, this
coming decade portends to be a heck of a lot sunnier than this one.

This is a transitional year for the club. Two aging veterans are nearing the
end of their contracts while their young players entrench themselves into the
majors. What the front office does this year will go a long way towards
determining the future of this franchise. Will they be forever doomed to a
good offense and shoddy pitching? 2009 will tell us that.


Will Matt Wieters save the day?

Wieters, baseball's next greatest catcher, is being looked at as the future
centerpiece of the Oriole offense. Getting out of the way what you probably
already know: he can flat out hit.

As a matter of fact, despite not seeing one pitch at the Triple-A level, the
consensus of the statistical projections have Wieters hitting for a near .300
batting average in the majors and hitting about 20 home runs. Now that's
impressive.

Wieters, who was optioned to Triple-A on March 30th, is a near lock to be
promoted at the end of May or beginning of June. The delay is primarily to
prevent Wieters' arbitration clock from starting early, but there's also the
notion about pressure. By optioning him to Triple-A, the Orioles send a
message to him, the team and fans that they will not rush him just because
he's been anointed the savior ... even though he is.

So, will Wieters save the day?

Getting off to a strong start in his first season behind the plate is
important for the Orioles, if only for morale. There isn't much to look
forward to this year—probably next year too—except for Wieters and trying
to figure out who the Orioles can get in trades for Aubrey Huff and Melvin
Mora.

If Wieters gets off to a bad start, does it mean the end of his career? Of
course not. We all know that it couldn't be farther from the truth. After
all, Dustin Pedroia's first foray into the big leagues saw him hit
.200/.303/.304 in his first 115 at-bats in the bigs (September 2006 and April
2007).

But this season is all about morale and progression for the Orioles. It's not
really about results on the field. It's about Adam Jones continuing to
develop into a five-tool star, about Felix Pie realizing his potential. About
Koji Uehara proving that he can pitch in America, about Hayden Penn stepping
up his game.

So will Matt Wieters save the day? I don't think anyone can possibly save the
day for the Orioles—there's no day that needs saving. But can Wieters live
up to his almost impossible expectations? Given his obscene .365/.460/.625
line in Double-A last year in Double-A and his advanced skills, the
indication is that he can indeed live up to his stratospheric expectations.

If Wieters doesn't, it doesn't change the Orioles' chances for contending in
2010 or on (unless his struggles continue, of course). What it will do, is
turn a bad situation already worse in Baltimore. There's nothing more
demoralizing than having a hyped player who is supposed to save baseball in
the city implode. You could argue that the Texas Rangers are still struggling
over the bust named David Clyde. (I won't argue it, but you can.)


Is there hope for pitching?

The top two spots in the rotation belong to Jeremy Guthrie and Koji Uehara.
Past that, it's anybody's guess. It looks to shake out with Adam Eaton and
Mark Hendrickson occupying two of the final spots. There's a battle between
Hayden Penn, Brian Bass and Danys Baez for the final spot, but the spot will
belong to Rich Hill when he returns from the disabled list about two weeks
into the season.

Talk about not inspiring optimism.

Guthrie is a fine pitcher who would serve as a No. 2 on most other teams.
He's thrust into the mantle of "ace" for the Orioles, however. He's been
lucky over the last two years as his xFIPs in both years were 4.41 and 4.64
respectively as opposed to ERAs of 3.70 and 3.63. Does that mean he's in line
for a regression? Not quite. The Orioles' defense is much improved with Cesar
Izturis at short and Felix Pie in left-field. More concerning than possible
regression is his performance in spring training. After getting batted about
like a pinball in the World Baseball Classic, his struggles have continued in
spring training. 11.1 innings, 7.94 ERA, 14 hits, six walks, nine strikeouts.
Walks were his downfall in Cleveland; if he doesn't turn it around and
pronto, we could see a very ugly season for Guthrie. Long-term, he looks to
give the Orioles solid innings and could possibly be around for the O's first
contending season in the rotation.

No one quite knows what to expect from Koji Uehara, the Japanese import. He
has solid strikeout numbers and impeccable control, which would seem to
translate well. The 33-year old hasn't pitched much in spring training, so we
can't really determine how he's fared in the transition, but let's try. In
7.2 innings as of this writing, he's walked three and whiffed 12. The
strikeouts are a bit of an aberration—I would think it has to do with
players needing to get familiar with Uehara. Those will come down, but it's
still encouraging. Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA projects Uehara to land around
a 4.72 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 27 walks in 135 innings to go along with 85 whiffs and
22 home runs. Sounds reasonable. I'd take the under on the ERA, but not much.
As long as he doesn't embarrass himself and soaks up innings, the Orioles
will gladly take it.

We've gotten two-fifths of the way through, and it's about to get nasty. So
let's give credit where credit is due: For a rebuilding team, the Orioles
have fashioned themselves a solid one-two complement. If one of the next
three "breaks out," their rotation may be respectable enough to eye .500.

Let's tackle Adam Eaton first. Eaton was released unceremoniously by the
Phillies earlier this year. It was a PR hit they were able to take due to
winning the Series last year, but there's no excusing this disaster of a
signing. Three years at $25.5 million in 2007 was highly dubious from the
start. When you're coming off an injury-plagued year in which you posted a
5.13 ERA in 13 starts, a deal like that tends not to be smart. Indeed, he
would go on to post a horrendous 6.29 ERA in 30 starts in 2007 before
"contributing" to the Phillies' World Series run with a 5.80 ERA (5.18 xFIP)
in 107 innings. There's really nothing from the past three years to suggest
that Eaton can be a competent starting pitcher, but that only shows you the
issues in Baltimore these days. Help is on the way, but not yet, so the
Orioles will give Eaton every shot possible to give them innings.

Hendrickson, a lefty, continues to get chances although he has failed to
perform since being traded to the Los Angeles Dodgers in 2006. Soft-tossing
lefties are generally thought to develop later, so the Dodgers took the
gamble. it didn't work; Hendrickson was sent to the bullpen late in the year
before temporarily recapturing his starting job in 2007. He left the team and
went to Florida where he served a similar role for the Marlins. Interestingly
enough, he has shown the capability to strike more batters out than normal—
he struck out about 4.2 per game in 2004 and 2005, and has been in the
mid-5.0s since with a spike to 6.7 in 2007. His issue is leaving the ball
over the plate more for batters to drive; his line drive rate went way up
although he did calm it down to a relatively sane 20.2 percentage. Like
Eaton, the Orioles will hope to strike gold. Unfortunately for the O's, both
these two look to be fool's gold.

The fifth spot projects to be a rotation all year with fringe prospects
looking to establish themselves. Hayden Penn, Brian Bass, Radhames Liz, David
Pauley... they are all just keeping the seats warm for the bevy of prospects
(top two: Chris Tillman and Brian Matusz) that will hit Baltimore in the next
couple of years. Of course, Rich Hill will take his shot in this spot once he
returns from injury. A former hotly-touted left-handed pitcher, Hill
developed Steve Blass Disease suddenly last year and was moved for a player
to be named later just a year after it would have taken some serious players
to pry him loose. In 2007, Hill turned heads by posting a 3.92 ERA in 32
starts, walking 63 and whiffing 183 in 195.0 innings. Can he recapture his
magic? It's anyone's guess, but recovering from this disease is tough; just
ask Rick Ankiel or for you prospect-lovers, Jason Neighborgall.

There is no hope for pitching at the big league level. None. The bullpen
boasts some interesting arms in Jim Johnson, Chris Ray, Dennis Sarfate, Matt
Albers, Jim Miller... the bullpen is actually not the issue. They have some
nice live arms that they can evaluate for long-term relevancy. The starting
rotation is going to be the team's Achilles heel yet again. Really, all the
Orioles are trying to do this year is to pray Guthrie doesn't regress, Uehara
gives them an arm for the next three years, Eaton/Hendrickson establish value
and then get traded and one of their fringe prospects establishes themselves.
If the top four pitchers hit their best-case scenarios, this team can
definitely finish .500 with that powerful offense. The odds are so large,
however, that even Las Vegas would walk away from allowing people to bet on
it.

Is it the right strategy? I don't think it is. The club shouldn't be giving
innings to Eaton and Hendrickson; they should be giving the innings to the
players that can actually make an impact in the future. A rotation, however
horrendous, of Penn, Liz and Hill would be beneficial to developing these
players. That's just me, though. I can understand trying to strike gold and
at least give their team a shot to win games.


How is it possible to contend in the AL East?


It's not.

The Orioles have to resign themselves to finishing fourth or fifth yet again,
especially with that motley pitching crew. Is there hope out there? Sure.
They have a nice complement of young offensive stars and arms are in the
pipeline. Brian Roberts signed his new four-year extension with the
expectation that they would contend before the extension is up, and while
projecting four/five years out into the future is always tough to do, the
players the O's already have in place certainly make that a possibility. To
truly contend, however, the Orioles will have to not only entice good free
agents to come to the team but adequately replace their aging stars that will
likely depart over the next few years: Melvin Mora, Aubrey Huff, Luke Scott
and George Sherrill are likely to be among those.

This question certainly has a much shorter answer than the previous ones, but
there's no reason to prattle on.


Can the veterans boost their trade value?


The veterans that the Orioles would love to see come through with strong
seasons are the ones who just were named as likely departures.

Mora, 37, experienced a few down seasons after his last great season in 2004.
He was able to rediscover his power stroke and swat 23 home runs last year,
but time is running out for this late bloomer. Mora has a club option for
2010 and is making $9 million this year, so he is a reasonable trade deadline
acquisition by some team looking to shore up its power and the flexibility to
decline the 2010 option if needed. I don't pretend to prognosticate, but I
would imagine Andy McPhail is crossing his fingers that Mora comes through so
he can be shipped out for pitching prospects. (How would he look as an Angel?)

Huff experienced his second-best season ever and drove in 108 RBI, a career
high. He's a free agent at the end of the year and would be a boon to a team
seeking options at first, left and DH—with third in a pinch. As a lefty bat,
he's the most valuable possible trading chip the Orioles have although the
team could simply elect to retain the 32-year-old and have him in their
offense for the next few years. The need for Huff to produce isn't motivated
by trade winds as much as it is the Orioles not being forced to plug another
hole.

Scott is entering his second full year of starting at age 31. He posted 23
home runs, and The Hardball Times projects him to hit 21 this season. Scott
remains arbitration eligible for at least the next two years, so it will take
quite a bit for the Orioles to move him. As the cheapest and most
controllable of the three names, however, he has the potential to bring back
the most in a trade. If he gets off to a strong start, if the Orioles can get
a solid pitching prospect for him, they should consider the move.

The last veteran who is key to their trade value is one who was supposed to
be shipped out already, George Sherrill. I previewed the Orioles team as a
whole over at Fire Brand of the American League and this is what I had to say
about Sherrill:


Sherrill came over in the Erik Bedard trade and posted 31 saves, quickly
becoming a fan favorite. He didn't live up to his 2.36 ERA in 45.2 innings
for the Mariners in 2007, but that wasn't a surprise. He checked in at 4.73
this past year and took one for the league last year, throwing three innings
in the All-Star game. Pre-All Star: 4.08 ERA, 39.2 IP. Post: 13.2 IP, 6.59
ERA. Coincidence? You decide. Either way, he's good, not great.


Scuttlebutt at the time had Sherrill not even opening the year with the
Orioles, much less closing it. A year later though, here we are. With
Sherrill having made it through his first full season as a closer and
unlikely to go through the All-Star wringer that he did, he should improve
his numbers. The Orioles don't have a bullpen full of stud names, but they do
have talent. With Jim Johnson, Dennis Sarfate and Chris Ray (just recovered
from Tommy John surgery) they have the makings of a solid bullpen. A bullpen
that holds enough young flamethrowers that could be promoted to closer that
Sherrill should be on the trading block without a doubt. With teams so
starved for pitching and unable to fill in the gaps in the back of the
rotation, acquiring relievers will become the preferred method this summer.
The Orioles desperately need Sherrill to turn in a solid first half so he can
bring a bounty back. Excepting a terrible/injury-plagued year for Sherrill, I
would be shocked if the Orioles didn't move him—and if they don't, I'll lose
faith in their ability to turn this team around.

We covered Eaton and Hendrickson earlier, but they won't fetch much even if
they were to be league average. Again, I'm aware of the lack of depth
surrounding the O's rotation, but I'm concerned that they seem to be prepared
to give Eaton a rotation spot and go with Hendrickson over young pitchers
while Rich Hill recuperates.


What's the point of the 2009 season?

The Orioles have three goals this season, and three only:

1) Bring their young hitters along. For their offense to remain near the best
both short term and long term, they need to continue the development of Adam
Jones, make sure nothing goes awry with Matt Wieters, and tap into Felix
Pie's potential.

2) Jump on trades for their veterans. The sooner the club realizes 2009 and
probably 2010 is a lost cause, the sooner it can actively look to move
veterans. With Huff a free agent and no lock to return, Mora a pricey, aging
option and Sherrill the most valued available commodity on the team, the
Orioles need to take advantage of the needs of others to restock their
prospects at the high levels. For example, the Angels will at some point
crave offensive help and could look to Mora or Huff. If the Orioles could
somehow pull off an acquisition of someone like Kevin Jepsen, they need to do
it.

3) Search high and low for pitching. If the Orioles don't make liberal use of
the waiver wire and roster crunches of other teams who can't afford to wait
on fringe pitchers anymore, I'll be disappointed. The Orioles have solid
pitching prospects, but they aren't steeped in depth. They need to bring in
young arms, and plenty. The Adam Eatons and Mark Hendricksons of the world
are good to fill out a roster, but as the season progresses, they have to
look towards the future.

It's hard times in Baltimore: the current situation has never looked bleaker,
but there is a light at the end of the tunnel. Peter Angelos has given up
control, Andy McPhail has so far displayed competence and the O's have a
burgeoning corps of young stars. What he does this year will dramatically
impact how soon Baltimore can contend again. It's as close as to a watershed
year as you can get, as this year will mark the transition from the old to
the new.



--
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> -------------------------------------------------------------------------- <

作者: odyy (odyy) 看板: Orioles
標題: [轉錄][THT] 2009 Five Questions: Baltimore Orioles
時間: Fri Apr 10 19:53:28 2009

※ [本文轉錄自 MLB 看板]

作者: Tmk (  ) 看板: MLB
標題: [THT] 2009 Five Questions: Baltimore Orioles
時間: Fri Apr 10 19:19:22 2009

  2009 Five Questions: Baltimore Orioles
  http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/five-questions-baltimore-orioles4/

  by Evan Brunell
  April 01, 2009

    可憐的金鶯隊並不知道Jeffrey Maier（96年ALCS G1干擾 Derek Jeter
擊出的飛球而使其成為全壘打）為他們帶來了什麼詛咒。然而，他們的未
來逐漸出現希望。他們已擁有精良的攻擊火力而在 MLB有些年輕人更準備
好要破繭而出，小聯盟更有群年輕強投正努力往上爬，這就代表著下個十
年的前景將比目前光明許多。

  而今年可以說是過渡時期。兩位老將的長約即將到期，而農場的年輕人
隨時可能上大聯盟初試啼聲。今年上層所做的決策對球團的未來有決定性
的影響。他們還會繼續被一堆爛投手拖累嗎？很快我們就會有答案。

  1.Wieters是救世主嗎？

  Wieters 是未來的超級明星捕手，也是未來金鶯打擊的核心人物。你也
許已經知道他有多會打了。

  事實上，雖然他連一場3A比賽都還沒打過，但一般具統計基礎的預測都
認為他已能在大聯盟打出近三成的打擊率和約二十發全壘打。

  Wieters 在3/30被下放到3A，而幾乎可以確定的是他會在五月底或六月
初被升上來。此舉主要是為使 Wieters較晚取得仲裁資格，但也有舒緩其
壓力的意味在。球團這麼做也等於釋放出球隊不會因為對他有所期待就急
於把他推上火線的信息。

  Wieters 能在第一個職業球季就大爆發對金鶯隊的士氣會很有幫助。畢
竟這兩年除了 Wieters還有Huff與Mora能換什麼好料回來之外也不會有啥
大新聞了。

  如果Wieters上來打得不好，是不是他就完蛋了？當然不。畢竟Dustin-
Pedroia在大聯盟的頭115打數也只打了.200/.303/.304。

  今年場上的戰果將不如球員成長及鬥志展現來得重要。Adam Jones能否
成長為五工具明星外野、 Felix Pie能否實現其潛力與上原浩治能否在美
國生存才是重點所在。

  回到主題，我不認為任何人能獨力使今年的金鶯重返榮耀；但 Wieters
能打出與眾人期待相符的成績嗎？.365/.460/.625的火星成績（AA）和他
出色的技術讓我覺得他可以。

  如果他上來打得不好也不會影響金鶯在10年或之後奪冠的機會（除非他
永遠長不起來）。但是，沒有甚麼比一個被捧上天的新秀在大聯盟吃屎更
令人洩氣的了。

  2.投手有希望嗎？

  Guthrie和上原是前兩號先發，剩下的只有天曉得。看來Eaton和Hendr-
ickson似乎會佔走兩個位置，而在Hill從傷兵名單回來之前Brian Bass和
Danys Baez要搶最後一個名額。

  Guthrie 還不錯，在別隊他大概是二號。不過他過去兩年的運氣好了些
，xFIP分別是4.41與4.64而ERA是3.70與3.63。 這是說他即將被打回原形
了嗎？不盡然。游擊變成Cesar Izturis和左外野變成Felix Pie使金鶯防
守大幅進步。比過去運氣問題更值得關注的是他的春訓表現。在經典賽被
狂轟濫打以後，回到春訓他還是投得一樣爛。11.1局、7.94 ERA、14安打
、六保送、九三振。保送過多是他在克里夫蘭的致命傷，如果他不馬上改
善他的問題，我們將看到他被扁得很慘。不過長期而言，他還是能提供穩
定的局數，且金鶯重返競爭行列時他可能仍是輪值圈中的一員。

  沒人知道舶來品上原到底會投得怎麼樣。他得三振能力不差且控球精準
，看來似乎能適應良好。33歲的他春訓出場機會不多，所以我們沒法確認
他適應得怎麼樣，但目前為止 7.2局中三保送與12三振看起來真的很超過
。PECOTA的預測是135局中4.72 ERA、1.31 WHIP、27 BB、85 K 和被打22
支全壘打。看來還算合理，但我覺得他 ERA會低一點點。只要他不要出大
問題而能吃局數金鶯就會很高興。

  好，對於一隻重建隊而言金鶯的一二號還算是挺不錯，但剩下三位簡直
是一團糟。如果三個位置中有人「爆發」，那金鶯甚至可能有五成勝率。

  讓我們從Adam Eaton開始談起，早先他才被費城一腳踹開。雖然他們去
年是世界冠軍，但Eaton的合約仍然是一場災難。07年簽下三年25.5M打從
一開始看來就有問題，用這樣的價碼去簽一個因傷去年只出賽13場並投出
5.13 ERA的人看來並不聰明。實際上他在07的三十場先發投出恐怖的6.29
ERA，而在08年以投了107局並交出5.80ERA（5.18 xFIP）的表現幫助球隊
獲得世界冠軍（…）。這三年的成績看來 Eaton不會是個稱職的先發，而
這正也是金鶯隊的問題所在︰農場的援兵尚未成熟，所以他們只能找Eat-
on這種人來吃局數。

  雖然在06年被賣到道奇隊之後一直表現不佳，左投 Hendrickson還是有
人要。一般認為軟左投有大器晚成的趨向，所以當年道奇決定賭一把。不
過並不見效，而近幾年間他就在道奇隊與馬林魚隊的先發後援兩頭跑。有
趣的數據顯示出有時他能三振不少人–他在04與05年有 4.2的三振率，之
後升到五點多，而在07年飆到 6.7。不過看來他只是拼命把球塞到好球帶
讓打者打罷了，因為在此同時他的 LD%也一路飆升，而在08年他的三振率
下降且LD%也降回較合理的20.2%。這兩個人看來都很鳥蛋。

  五號先發將會由一堆勉強算是新秀的人爭取。Brian Bass、Radhames -
Liz、David Pauley這些人這幾年將為未來的大物投手（Chris Tillman與
Brian Matusz是其中最棒的兩位）暖場。當然，Rich Hill 傷好了以後會
佔據這個位置，但這位前幾年很夯的左投去年突然忘了怎麼投好球結果價
值爆跌到只能換到個PTBNL（Player to be named after ，一般不會是頂
級新秀）。07年他可是在32次先發中交出了195IP、3.92ERA、63BB、183K
的成績。大家都希望他能復活，但問問 Rick Ankiel這件事有多難吧。（
如果你是個新秀控，你可以改問Jason Neighborgall）

  這樣的策略是對的嗎？我不覺得。他們不該給Eaton和Hendrickson機會
，而應該把機會讓給那些有未來性的選手。雖然把Penn（剛被賣）、 Liz
、Hill這些人放在在輪值圈裡看來很恐怖，但這對他們的成長有幫助。不
過我也可以理解他們想要藉由在先發挖到寶來讓隊伍贏球的心態。

  事實上金鶯的牛棚不是問題，他們有Jim Johnson、Chris Ray、Dennis
 Sarfate、Matt Albers、Jim Miller 等可能值得長期持有的投手。如果
他們的前四號都投出代表作，搭配上他們的攻擊他們可以達到五成勝率，
但這無疑是沒啥希望的賭注。

  3.他們今年在東區有競爭力嗎？

  沒有。（下略，懶得翻）

  4.老將能提高他們的交易價值嗎？

  在眾多老將中金鶯隊最希望看到那些有交易價值的人打出好成績讓賣相
變好。

  Mora在明星級的04球季後沉寂了好一陣子，但上季他找回了失落的長打
力並擊出23支全壘打，但這名大器晚成的老將可能已快不行了。Mora今年
的薪資是9M而明年有球團選擇權，因此一支需要火力升級的球隊會想把他
交易過來，他的選擇權也增添了在表現不好時能擺脫掉他的彈性。

  Huff去年打出了個人生涯次佳的攻擊成績，而 108打點更是生涯最高。
今年結束後他將成為自由球員，且能幫助需要一壘、左外野、指定打擊或
急缺三壘的球隊。32歲、左打的Huff是金鶯最有價值的交易籌碼，不過他
們也可以和他續約以留住這位重砲。與其說金鶯希望Huff打得好是要增加
其交易價值倒不如說金鶯是真的需要他的打擊火力。

  31歲的Scott正要迎接生涯第二個完整的球季。他去年打了23HR，而THT
預測他今年能打21HR。 Scott至少在兩年內還不會變FA，因此要把他弄到
手可能得付出不少代價。這三個人裡面他薪資最便宜也能留最久，因此他
有換回最多東西的潛力。假如他開季打得不錯而使金鶯能用他換到不錯的
投手新秀，他們就該考慮這麼做。

  他們可能應該立刻開始兜售最後一位具交易價值的老將–George Sher-
rill。我在http://firebrandal.com/ 發表對金鶯整隊的評論，而我這麼
說︰

  Sherrill在Bedard交易中來到金鶯隊且拿下31次救援成功而迅速成為球
迷的最愛。他投得沒有07年（ 2.36ERA，45.2局）那麼好，而這並不令人
意外。他去年的成績是4.73ERA，不過也進了明星賽還投了2.1局。明星賽
前︰4.08 ERA，39.2 IP。後︰13.2 IP，6.59 ERA。這只是巧合嗎？不過
，無論如何，他還不錯但算不上很棒。

  去年此時甚至有謠言指出Sherrill將不會從大聯盟開季，更別說當終結
者了。一年以後他卻做到了。有了一年當終結者的經驗且今年應該不會進
明星賽被狂操，他今年應該可以更上一層樓。然而金鶯隊的牛棚雖然沒啥
大名字卻有很多有才華的投手，像Jim Johnson、Dennis Sarfate、Chris
 Ray（剛從Tommy John手術中康復）。牛棚裡有這麼多有潛力成為終結者
的年輕剛速投手，當然應該開始兜售Sherrill。急需補強投手戰力的球隊
如果沒辦法補到後段輪值自然就會轉向補強後援投手。金鶯亟需Sherrill
有個不錯的上半季以讓他們從交易市場中海撈一票。除非Sherrill表現得
很糟或傷痛纏身，否則假如金鶯隊沒把他賣掉我會很震驚–而假若真的是
這樣，我就會開始懷疑他們拯救這支球隊的能耐。

  5.2009年的目標是什麼？

  1)讓年輕選手成長

  2)把老將賣掉

  3)四處物色投手

  金鶯的現狀依然艱難萬分，但隧道的盡頭已露出一絲光芒。Peter Ang-
elos（老闆）終於把權力還給Andy McPhail（GM）而目前看來他也能勝任
這個職位，年輕球星也逐漸成長為球隊的核心。今年GM的作為對金鶯何時
能重返競爭行列有戲劇性的影響力。今年球季對金鶯來說是個分水嶺，新
世代將崛起而取代老將帶領這支球隊。

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推 badom:強者TMK大大！
推 goopa:Mora應該有拒絕交易的權利，忘了是10-5還是NTC...
→ goopa:如果要他答應交易，他可能會要求把明年的option吃下...
→ goopa:這點會限制他的交易價值...
→ goopa:另外如果水手打的不錯，我覺得七月份Sherrill很可能出現在西
→ goopa:雅圖，這樣他們就可以把Morrow趕回先發了...
→ Tmk:NTC 不過留在BAL我覺得他option被撿的機會非常低
→ goopa:如果他打的好的話，這不但對球隊是個談判籌碼，對他本身也是
→ goopa:如果他打不好就沒有太高交易價值，打的好有NTC也會影響...
→ goopa:所以我覺得如果能換出去應該就不錯了，不期不待比較好...
推 odyy:Tmk大大，這篇可以轉到金鶯板嗎？謝謝
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