Re: [外電] Scouts Inc. update: Cavaliers vs. Pi …

[LOJ (魯夫)]

: http://insider.espn.go.com/nba/playoffs2007/insider/columns/
: story?columnist=thorpe_david&page=ScoutingCavaliersPistons-Game3


: For the second consecutive game, Cleveland had more rebounds than the
: Pistons, made more free throws, had more steals, forced more turnovers and
: still lost the game.

 騎士在 Game 2 抓了比活塞更多的籃板，製造了更多的罰球，
 比活塞更多的抄截，還讓活塞有更多的失誤，不過活塞還是贏球。

: Their 40 percent shooting from the field just was not enough to earn the win.
: Specifically, it is their fourth-quarter efforts that are coming up short
: (they were awful in the third quarter of Game 2 as well, but still took a
: three-point lead into the fourth).

 騎士隊 40% 的命中率不足以使他們擊敗活塞，
 明確的說，是他們第四節的表現讓他們失去這場比賽。
 (他們在第三節的表現也很差，不過依然帶著優勢是進入第四節)

: Detroit is confident that in a tight game, its experience will come through
: just enough to earn a victory. Games 1 and 2 served to deepen that confidence.
: But the reality is that those games were decided by fractions of inches and
: seconds of time, and Cleveland knows that they can compete with the Pistons
: and even take the series with just a tiny upgrade of offense and some
: momentum. Home court can provide a little of both.

 活塞在僵持的比賽中依然保持著自信，他們的經驗足夠帶他們迎向勝利。
 不過實際上比賽是由幾個關鍵的時間和尺度所決定的，
 騎士知道他們可以打敗活塞，甚至可以拿下這個系列賽，
 只要他們的進攻和能量能再升級一點點，而回到主場的他們可以做到這點。

: Conversely, the Pistons play best when they respect their opponent, perhaps
: even fear them a little, so it is likely that they will play better at
: Cleveland, knowing how close they are to trailing 0-2.

 相反的，活塞尊重他們的對手所以拿出最好的表現，或許還有一點點怕他們呢！
 所以他們在克里夫蘭也會有更好的表現，
 他們知道只差一點點就會變成 0-2 的局面。

: To upgrade its offense, Cleveland may look to increase its transition looks.
: Detroit, in Game 2, showed a soft man-to-man look every time LeBron James
: caught the ball in the half-court. Tayshaun Prince guarded him relatively
: tightly, and the two closest perimeter defenders shaded toward James.

 騎士隊要升級他們的進攻，可以從多增加攻防轉換時下手，
 活塞在 Game 2 對 LBJ 祭出了人盯人防守，只要 LBJ 在半場攻防時拿到球。
 小王子相當嚴密的防守 LBJ，而兩側防守球員也涵蓋了他進攻時可能移動的位置。

: They know James wants to drive, and their aim is to force him to his midrange
: game. James' mindset is hurting him here -- instead of recognizing the
: opportunities to get a midrange jumper, he is trying too hard to get closer
: looks and often taking any shot he can get near the rim, where the Pistons'
: long defenders appear even longer because of the shallow shooting angle he
: has so close to the rim. Or he is taking one-dribble jumpers -- and it is
: very hard to create enough space after just one dribble when defended by
: Prince.

 他們知道 LBJ 想要切入，所以他們針對這點迫使 LBJ 只有在中距離較有機會。
  LBJ 的中距離刺傷了自己，他太想要靠進籃框進行投射，越近越好，
 而不是經過組織後在中距離有個好的出手機會。
 因為他太急著想要靠近籃框出手，活塞的防守大個們就可以干擾到他的投籃。
 另一個選擇是帶一步跳投，可是在小王子的嚴密防守下也是很難有好的空間可以出手。

: Last season, Dwyane Wade, when defended in this manner, would often keep his
: dribble alive while searching for a great midrange spot, and when he found if
: he would jump up and shoot with confidence. James needs to take a similar
: tack more often.
: Of course, amping up the transition game would help James as well and get him
: some open looks, which would build his confidence and impact the rest of his
: game.

 去年，D-Wade 也是小王子負責看管的，
 他會讓自己的運球較靈活些，來找得比較好的中距離投籃機會。
 當他有空檔的時候，他會毫不遲疑帶著信心出手，LBJ 創造更多相同的模式。
 當然，增加攻守轉換的速度也會給 LBJ 比較好發揮的空間，
 這會幫助他建立自己的信心，也會影響往後的比賽。

: Even though the other Cavs are likely to play and shoot better at home than
: they did on the road, they should not expect the Pistons to change their
: defensive strategy until James makes them do so. They seem prepared to let
: the other Cavs score as long as James does not.
: Detroit's defensive orientation towards James makes it susceptible to the
: skip pass, which James has utilized occassionally. He can follow that skip
: pass with a face-cut and a post up and take advantage of the rotating Pistons
: defenders. Once they are all set, of course, their effectiveness improves
: markedly.

 即使，騎士隊其他的球員們在自家的投籃表現比在客場好，
 他們還是不用期望活塞會改變他們防守 LBJ 的策略，除非 LBJ 迫使活塞改變，
 他們看起來準備好讓其他人得分，可是還是會盯牢 LBJ 的。
 活塞的防守陣勢使得 LBJ 只能當個傳球中繼站，那是 LBJ 很少遇到的。
 他會利用這種導球來進行跑位或是走到低位，到低位時他是有身材優勢的。
 只要活塞把陣型都設定好，他們的效率是很顯著看到的。

: Detroit's offensive performace thus far has been, in one word, awful.
: Bailed out by a few big shots by Chauncey Billups in Game 1 and Rasheed
: Wallace in Game 2, the Pistons should not assume they can always find someone
: to step up late after struggling all game. They are settling for too much
: 5-on-5 action against a team that excels at forcing that action and then
: defending it. Cleveland's ability to slow down the Pistons' plays (pin-downs,
: single-doubles, and ball-screens) by helping quickly and recovering even more
: quickly, coupled with Detroit's willingness to grind things out every trip,
: put the Cavs in position to win both games.

 活塞的進攻表現到目前為止，只有一個字可以形容：慘！
 除了 Game 1 槍溪幾個關鍵球和 Game 2 的溪蛙救了他們，
 活塞不能指望每場比賽都糾纏到最後再有人跳出來，
 他們被迫有了太多的 5-5 站定位的攻擊，
 那是對方專精設下的策略，準備了很好的防守等著活塞。
 騎士減緩活塞的進攻速度 (pin-downs, single-dorble, ball-screen)
 是利用快速的補防，來讓防守端站定位。那是活塞懂得去對付的，
 他們就是這樣輾過了以往的對手，把騎士逼到需要取得這兩戰的勝利。

: On the road, Detroit must be greedier on offense. Since Cleveland will likely
: run more, the Pistons want to avoid getting into a true running game, yet
: when they have numbers they should jump on the chance to get a good, quick
: shot. It may be the only way to get many open looks.

 活塞續要在客場作戰展現更貪婪的進攻企圖心，
 騎士隊想要把速度帶起來，而活塞就是要盡量避免比賽成為跑轟的類型，
 當然，當自己進攻時有人數優勢時，他們必須要把握機會，
 這或許是要有好的投籃機會的唯一辦法。

: This puts enormous pressure on Billups, who did not handle pressure well in
: Detroit. His 12 turnovers to just 11 assists so far is the biggest surprise
: of this series. Detroit is enoying a fine series by Wallace, but Billups will
: be the key to stealing at least one game in Cleveland, especially considering
: that Prince is 1-for-19 from the field, so focused is he on defending James.
: With two teams struggling so on offense and two razor-sharp defenses, it is
: difficult to project which team will find its shooting touch first. Since
: Detroit has been struggling since the middle of the Chicago series on offense
: and with Cleveland going home to a wild crowd, I give the Cavs a slight
: advantage to tighten up this series in another close game.
: One caveat: If either team can get hot from 3-point range, that could swing
: the game and give us the first blowout of the series.

 這給了槍溪極大的壓力，他在主場面對壓力並沒有好的表現。
 到目前為止，這系列賽最大的驚奇大概就是他有 12 次失誤卻只有 11 次助攻，
 活塞現在是由溪蛙驚人的表現所支撐著，
 可是要在騎士主場偷到至少一場比賽回去，就必須要槍溪跳出來表現了。
 尤其小王子到目前為止的 1-19，他必須專注的在與 LBJ 對抗著。
 當兩隊都在進攻陷入困境卻都有銳利的防守時，是很難預測哪隊會先在進攻端開張，
 活塞自從與公牛系列賽中期就在進攻上慘兮兮，
 又要面對騎士主場鼓譟的龐大觀眾群，我覺得騎士隊是有多一點點的優勢，
 不過還是會是一場比分膠著的激戰。
 如果哪一隊可以在三分線上火熱發燙的話，
 那就會出現這系列賽第一場大筆分差獲勝的比賽了。

: PREDICTION: Cleveland wins Game 3

 --
 這是只篇小小的賽前預測，就讓它留在活塞板就好了。

--

  █◣◢█     ▄▄▄ 　　 Thank you, Rasheed Wallace
     ─        WALLACE     ★2005-2006 STATISTICS　　
 ▌PISTONS   ▌ ３６         PPG 15.1  RPG  6.80  APG 2.3  EFF +17.62
 ▌  36      ▌            ★Selected to third All-Star team 02/09/06
 ▌          ▌            ★Receives NBA Community Assist Award For April

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