[農場] Rays Organizational Needs

[csy1911 (招財貓)]

Rays Organizational Needs

Unlike last year, when the Rays had 12 picks within the first two rounds,
this year's draft provides them with less opportunities to acquire elite
talent. The Rays have one pick per round (the 25th) and no supplemental picks
in 2012. Nevertheless, there are some organizational needs that can be filled
by drafting and developing the right players. I'm going to take a short look
at the organizational strength, pointing out the positions I see the Rays
with the most of lack in talent.

不同於去年在前兩輪擁有12枚選秀權，今年獲得出色天分的機會較少。但還是可以在選秀
後搭配適當的養成來填補農場所需。接下來我會介紹農場的優勢，並點出光芒在哪些位置
缺乏天賦。

Starting Pitching

While Starting Pitching has been THE organizational strength for years now,
the minor league depth regarding top starting pitching prospects took a
considerable hit over the last year. Top SP prospects like Chris Archer, Alex
Torres, Alex Colome and Enny Romero have not (yet) developed the way we all
hoped for and a new Matt Moore or Jeremy Hellickson (at least in full-season
ball) is nowhere to be found. Nevertheless, I do see the starting pitching
depth as clearly above average, comparing it to other MLB teams. Here is my
explanation why:

先發投手這幾年一直都是農場裡的亮點，但去年幾位農作物收割後對農場產生了顯著的衝
擊。高階投手新秀包括Chris Archer、Alex Torres、Alex Colome和Enny Romero目前尚未
如預期的成為下一個Moore或Hellickson。但和其他球隊比起來，我們在這個位置的深度還
是高於聯盟水平的。

  1. Despite Alex Torres' struggles and Jeff Niemann's injury, the MLB depth
     is still solid. Alex Cobb should fill in nicely for Niemann. Wade Davis is
     always there for insurance. And Chris Archer seems to recover a bit from a
     slow start to the season.

  1. 雖然Alex Torres低潮、Jeff Niemann受傷，大聯盟的深度還是很穩定，Alex Cobb適
     時的補上Niemann的空缺，Wade Davis也在牛棚隨時待命。Chris Archer似乎從季初
     的不穩反彈回來了。

  2. While the pitchers in A+ and AA are mostly not playing up to their
     potential (with the exception of Mr. Riefenhauser), there is at least some
     MLB-SP potential in there with Alex Colome and Enny Romero.

  2. 雖然A+和AA的投手群大多還沒展現出他們的天分(除了C.J Riefenhauser)，還是有些
     球員具備大聯盟先發實力，像是Alex Colome和Enny Romero。

     補充：AA  Nick Barnese, Jacob Thompson, Kyle Lobstein, Joseph Cruz
           A+  Grayson Garvin, Wilking Rodriguez, Albert Suarez, Braulio Lara

  3. Bowling Green has some very intriguing starting pitching prospects with
     Ryan Carpenter, Parker Markel (both have to improve their K-rates, though)
     and especially Felipe Rivero.

  3. A有幾位令人感興趣的先發投手，Ryan Carpenter、Parker Markel(兩位的三振率都
     要再加油)，特別值得關注的是Felipe Rivero。

     補充：A  Jake Floethe, Roberto Gomez

  4. The overall organizational pitching, and so also its starters, has been
     improving since a horrid start of the season.

  4. 農場的投手群，包括先發投手，和慘淡的季初相比都有所進步。

  5. There are some very interesting, mostly raw but high potential pitchers
     parked in extended spring training. Taylor Guerrieri, Jacob Faria or Blake
     Snell could develop into high-end starting pitching prospects.

  5. 還有一些球技粗糙但潛力滿點的新秀在延長春訓營磨練。Taylor Guerrieri、Jacob
     Faria或是Blake Snell都有不錯的前景。

That said, the high-end depth in SP has definitely taken a hit and could use
some reinforcements through the draft.

結論：高潛力的先發投手相比往年有所下滑，這部分可以透過選秀來補充。

Relief Pitching

Year in, year out, Andrew Friedman and Joe Maddon build an above average
major league bullpen by identifying potential where nobody else sees
potential. Therefore, I'm less concerned about a possible lack of minor
league depth in the relief pitching department, then in other areas.
Nevertheless, the Rays have traded for cheap and controllable bullpen talent
by acquiring young and nearly major league ready pitchers like Josh Lueke or
Brandon Gomes and signed power pitchers who highest likely (or at least as a
suitable fallback option) project as relief pitchers due the draft (Ian
Kendall, Jeff Ames, Jake Thompson, Lenny Linsky, Blake Snell, Jesse Hahn,
...).

一年又一年，Andrew Friedman和Joe Maddon總能透過挖掘被忽視的球員，建立起聯盟水平
之上的牛棚，所以和其他位置相比，我並不在意這個位置的深度。但光芒也透過交易找來
便宜且完成度高的年輕投手，像是Josh Lueke或Brandon Gomes；並簽下高三振能力且具備
後援投手前景(或至少是合適的備案)，像是Ian Kendall、Jeff Ames、Jake Thompson、
Lenny Linsky、Blake Snell和Jesse Hahn……)

With the contracts of most of the Rays late inning saviors (Rodney, Peralta
and Farnsworth) being up after this season, the front office will have its
work laid out in front of them for the upcoming offseason. But, I'm confident
that they find the missing pieces in order to complement the above mentioned
pitchers, as well as converted starting pitchers like Jake McGee, Wade Davis
(for the long run?) and Alex Torres.

隨著光芒幾位後段局數的後援投手合約到期，制服組需要在接下來這個休賽期進行重整。
但我很有信心他們會找到適合的人選補上上述幾位選手的空缺，或是將先發投手轉任後援
像是Jake McGee、Wade Davis(長期目標?)和Alex Torres。

Despite the new CBA being a pain in the ass for the Rays, when it comes to
bonus amounts for highschoolers, they should again try to find raw highschool
pitchers with starting pitching potential, who could be converted into
relievers if not panning out in a starting role. Relief pitching, though,
should not be a premiere priority for the franchise entering the 2012 draft
(or any draft).

雖然新的CBA不利於光芒，提供高簽約金給A新秀的同時，也必須找來低簽約金的B新秀來平
衡簽約金總額，這位B新秀可以是位具有先發潛力的投手，但如果發展不順，也可以轉任後
援。但後援投手不應該是今年選秀(或任一年選秀)的優先考量。

Catching

Jose Molina - MLB - .551 OPS
Chris Gimenez - MLB - .491
Jose Lobaton - DL
Robinson Chirinos - DL
Nevin Ashley - DL
Mark Thomas - AA - .542 OPS
Luke Bailey - DL

With the exception of Mayobanex Acosta, no minor or major league catcher
stands out for his (offensive) play this year. The already barren prospect
pool (with Justin O'Conner struggling heavily in his 1st two MiL seasons and
Luke Bailey not fulfilling his potential by draft day) has taken a big hit
due to injuries and bad performances.  Unfortunately, the Rays don't draft at
the top of the draft (in order to land Mike Zunino), nor have they acquired a
player like him (still sad about that) during the offseason. Bottom line:
What the Rays need most is a FRANCHISE CATCHER. This draft has some highly
ranked catching prospects behind Mike Zunino, with Stryker Trahan, Peter
O'Brien or Josh Elander. Will the Rays draft a catcher early on, once again,
despite having very limited success with the drafting of catchers in the
past? Or will they sign someone from outside? Something has to be done.

從上面的統計數據可以看出，除了Mayo Acosta，沒有任何一位捕手提供進攻上的表現，原
本貧瘠的深度在傷病和糟糕的表現下大受影響(兩位被預估有不錯前景的Justin O'Conner
和Luke Bailey都沒有發揮預期中的潛力，而且目前都躺在DL，其中O'Conner可能因傷整季
都不會上場蹲捕……)。不幸的是，光芒並沒有透過選秀(Mike Zunino?!)或休賽期的交易
(Yasmani Grandal?!)為這個位置挹注天賦。底線：光芒需要一位在關鍵時刻有所表現的捕
手。今年的選秀在Mike Zunino有許多捕手得到不錯的排名，像是Stryker Trahan(最近幾
次Mock draft，都預測光芒會選他)，Peter O'Brien或Josh Elander。在歷史紀錄不佳的
情況下光芒會再次這麼早選捕手嗎？或是他們會從外面進行補充？總之必須有些動作。

補充：A   Matthew Rice   (具contact和選球，缺乏長打能力。)
      EST Oscar Hernandez(去年在VSL打得嚇嚇叫，今年來到本土證明成色。)

Middle Infield

Much was said about the Rays drafting - what feels like - 10 shortstop
prospects every year. The prospect pool should be laden, you might think?
Fact is, the Rays don't look very well at short in 2012. While Elliot Johnson
and Sean Rodriguez hold the fort with some respectable play in the majors,
Reid Brignac looks like he won't make it, Tim Beckham is suspended and Hak-Yu
Lee seemengly can't (yet) adjust to AA ball. Derek Dietrich is hitting well,
but might have to move off from short and Jake Hager (why no Trevor Story???)
is being outperformed in full-season ball.

許多人對光芒選秀的形容：這球隊每年要選10位游擊手。你可能會覺得這個位置的深度很
棒，但事實上今年在這個位置的表現差強人意。Elliot Johnson和Sean Rodriguez在大聯
盟交出不錯的成績，Reid Brignac持續低迷，Tim Beckham被禁賽，李學周似乎還沒適應AA
的強度。Derek Dietrich打得很不錯，但可能會換守位，Jake Hager(為何當初不選Trevor
Story??)正在努力克服完整賽季帶來的考驗。

Summarizing, the Rays do have talent at short in the minors. The talent is
mostly not playing up to its potential, though.

結論，光芒在游擊手這個位置有許多人才，雖然他們大多還沒展現潛力。

With Tyler Bortnick and Cole Figueroa, who both could turn out to be useful
utility infielders a la Elliot Johnson, the Rays don't have All-Star caliber,
but solid upper minor league depth at 2B. With Ben Zobrist, Jeff Keppinger
and Sean Rodriguez already at the major league level, All-Star depth is not
necessarily needed either. Therefore, 2B should be okay for the upcoming
years, also with players like Derek Dietrich or Tim Beckham possibly moving
over and Ryan Brett or Hector Guevara emerging.

Tyler Bortnick和Cole Figueroa兩位都有機會像Elliot Johnson長成合格的內野工具人。
在二壘手的位置，光芒沒有全明星等級的新秀，但在小聯盟有很棒的深度。由於大聯盟還
有Ben Zobrist、Jeff Keppinger和Sean Rodriguez，全明星等級的深度並不是這麼重要。
因為有些球員像是Derek Dietrich或Tim Beckham可能換防二壘，加上Ryan Brett或Hector
Guevara逐漸成長，這個位置的深度還不成問題。

補充：EST Brandon Martin(防守出色，具contact和選球。)
      AAA Shawn O'Malley(多守位，具選球，不具長打力。)

Corner Infield

The Bowling Green Hot Rods give hope to the - what seems to be for years -
weakest point of the Rays' minor league system. Both, Jeff Malm and Tyler
Goeddel have the potential to emerge as above average major leaguers. Until
they are ready for the majors, the Rays have to continue to look for stopgap
options across Evan Longoria, though, as the upper minors only have - a much
improved - Henry Wrigley to count for. Therefore, and even despite the 2012
draft looking to be thin at first, the Rays should add one or two potential
power bats to Malm, Goeddel and John Alexander in the lower minors.

缺乏出色的角落內野手一直是光芒的弱點，但今年A的球員們滿足了我們長年的期待，Jeff
Malm和Tyler Goeddel有潛力成為大聯盟水準之上的打者，在他們準備好上大聯盟前，光芒
都必須在Evan Longoria之外，持續尋找暫時的替代人選，因為高階聯盟只有今年大幅進步
的Henry Wrigley值得信賴。雖然今年選秀一壘手深度不足，光芒也應該在Malm、Goeddel
和John Alexander之外，為低階聯盟加入1~2位潛力砲手。

補充：A  Cameron Seitzer  (具contact和選球，有不錯的gap power，但缺乏長打能力)
      A+ Philip Wunderlich(和上者相反，具長打能力，contact和選球不佳)
      A+ Riccio Torrez    (有速度和一點gap power，缺乏長打能力)

Outfield

The best for the end! With Matt Joyce, B.J. Upton, Desmond Jennings and Ben
Zobrist forming one of the best outfields in the majors, the Rays look good
for 2012. Brandon Guyer could/should take the first spot that opens up in the
majors (due to Upton leaving after the season or Zobrist moving back to 2nd)
and contribute regularly in 2013. Sam Fuld, Rich Thompson or Stephen Vogt
then could compete for a possible last spot in the outfield. Behind them,
Kyeong Kang (for a COF spot) and Ty Morrison (for CF) should be in AAA full
time next year and provide solid depth, while with Mikie Mahtook, Josh Sale,
Drew Vettleson, Kes Carter (if healthy), Grandon Goetzman and Johnny Eierman
lots of potential gems have time to grow into future big league roles.
Therefore, and while I definitely expect the Rays to select at least one or
two athletic SS/CF guys in the draft, outfield is THE NEW STRENGTH of the
system and less of a need in this year's draft.

在光芒野手群中，外野是最具深度的位置，Matt Joyce、B.J Upton、Desmond Jennings和
Ben Zobrist組成聯盟裡最棒的外野陣容之一，今年看起來也很棒。Brandon Guyer是升上
大聯盟的第一順位，Upton明年離隊，或是Zobrist移防二壘，都能讓他明年獲得穩定的出
賽機會。Sam Fuld、Rich Thompson和Stephen Vogt則會競爭外野的最後一席。除此之外
Kyeong Kang和Ty Morrison明年應該都會升上AAA，提供穩定的深度，加上Mikie Mahtook
、Josh Sale、Drew Vettleson、Kes Carter、Grandon Goetzman和Johnny Eierman，這些
潛在金礦有時間長成未來的大聯盟選手。加上我預期光芒可能會選入1~2位SS/OF，外野將
是這個農場最新的亮點，也是最不需要透過選秀補強的位置。

補充：A   Todd Glaesmann (具備速度，contact和選球不佳。)
      EST James Harris   (具備速度和選球，contact不佳。)

--
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◆ From: 111.251.154.153
推 srysry      :先推翻譯 今年選秀沒多少簽 加上這屆選秀評為有點虛
→ srysry      :Raysprospects討論比較少....
→ srysry      :Emmy Romero目前K/9下滑 BB/9沒改善  有點失望中...
→ srysry      :捕手方面 來自DSL的Araiza也可以被期待的捕手新秀
→ srysry      :可以花一個高順位賭捕手儘管過去養捕手一直失敗就是
→ srysry      :VSL和DSL目前都能提供一定質量的替補捕手....
→ srysry      :Martin應該是SS  去年在GCL都是SS守位 有要換守位？
→ srysry      :O'Malley主要還是在棒子問題 生涯只有一季OPS超過0.7
→ srysry      :Seitzer以去年RK的成績 算是很有砲瓦 還可以再觀察
→ srysry      :Todd Glaesmann具有一定的砲瓦 只是目前沒有打出@@
先謝謝sry大補充 XD

Araiza屬於防守型捕手，今年意外長出power，不過DSL的成績水分頗高，有待觀察。

Martin基本上是SS(最好的證據就是球團將他和Hager錯開，目的就是為了讓兩個人都先在
SS磨練)，會寫在那邊純粹是補充mid-infielder，可能s大誤會了。 XD

Seitzer當初最被詬病的就是他的power不夠站一壘，去年的11支HR也差不多都出現在前幾
場比賽，後面就下修很多，是不是慢熱還有待觀察，不過他的選球和contact真的很成熟，
就看power和防守能不能磨出來了。

推 Edwardex    :推翻譯~~~~
→ catsondbs   :阻殺二壘!
※ 編輯: csy1911         來自: 111.240.229.103      (05/28 02:09)