Fw: [討論] Royals Starting Pitcher Target: James

[TBdrays (這就是人蔘啦)]

※ [本文轉錄自 Royals 看板 #1Ee3QEcW ]


Name: James Shields is a 29 year old right-handed pitcher for the Rays

Contract:

2012: $7M ($2M buyout)

2013: $9M ($1.5M buyout)

2014: $12M ($1M buyout)

Bonuses exist to the tune of around $3M

Pitches:

4 seam fastball: ~91 MPH

2 seam fastball: 85 to 88 MPH

Usage of the fastballs were around 45%. Last season it dropped to 35% because
he used his curve more.

Change up: low 80 in MPH.  Used 25% of the time.

Cutter: 87 MPH. used around 15% of the time

Curve: 77 MPH.  Used normal around 10% in the past.  In 2011 it was around 20%

Results:

Year GS    IP K/9 BB/9 BABIP    GB%  HR/FB  ERA  FIP xFIP SIERA WAR
2006 21 124.2 7.5 2.7  0.328 42.7 % 13.7 % 4.84 4.39 3.99 4.14  1.9
2007 31 215.0 7.7 1.5  0.282 43.4 % 11.1 % 3.85 3.86 3.65 3.60  4.5
2008 33 215.0 6.7 1.7  0.287 46.3 %  9.8 % 3.56 3.82 3.87 3.81  4.1
2009 33 219.2 6.8 2.1  0.308 42.3 % 11.2 % 4.14 4.02 3.85 3.99  3.7
2010 33 203.1 8.3 2.3  0.341 41.3 % 13.8 % 5.18 4.24 3.55 3.57  2.0
2011 33 249.1 8.1 2.4  0.258 46.2 % 11.1 % 2.82 3.42 3.25 3.29  4.9

He has been fairly consistent for a pitcher over the years.  2010 and 2011
were the two years at the extremes.  Even though he had similar xFIP (3.55
and 3.25) and SIERA (3.57  and 3.29), his earned runs were way off (5.18 vs
2.82). The reason was a difference in HR/9 (1.50 vs. 0.94) and BABIP (0.341
vs 0.258).  Generally, I would expect to see him at 7 K/9 and 2 BB/9 or
around 4 WAR/season

Injuries: None

Conclusion: James is by far the the best pitcher I have looked at in this
series. Healthy, good, consistent. The key is what the Rays want in trade
from the Royals. I would not be surprised to see Butler has part of the
trade. It may take Butler and either Montgomery or Myers

I would not make a huge trade for him unless the Royals have another good to
decent SP in place. By himself, James will probably not be enough to make a
difference in 2012. I think trading for him should be the final piece.
Otherwise the Royals should look to find other possible pieces to solidify
the starting staff.


Butler for 神盾~!!

好像不錯!!!XD

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推 TBdrays:借轉
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
※ 轉錄者: TBdrays (140.112.250.67), 時間: 10/21/2011 02:33:57
※ 編輯: TBdrays         來自: 140.112.250.67       (10/21 02:34)
→ knoxvillt   :...真的要換 不可能只有butler 一定會加幾位新秀
→ knoxvillt   :個人覺得這篇純粹只是幻想文而已 討論的點不多
→ knoxvillt   :要換跟紅人換比較好 紅人農場有我們要的捕手新秀
→ knoxvillt   :雖然皇家農場也是很棒
推 lingjj      :希望能再便宜用盾哥一年 不過此時確是最佳交易時機
→ Connec      :多配個Hosmer可以考慮一下XD
→ csy1911     :以光芒過去交易的歷史 不可能要Butler 何況還是用Ace
推 immortalqq  :不可能加Hosmer拉 XD
→ bluemkevin  :盾哥能吃那麼多局 皇家要拿出誠意才可以
推 Connec      :以局數算的話可以換到對方一海票投手欸XDDDD
推 qazwsdf     :Butler明年要8M 換過來我們可用薪資反而變少...
→ qazwsdf     :C跟DH還是沒有解...我看還是算了吧
推 mess0706    :Hosmer 你是要拿Moore去交易嗎XD