http://0rz.net/3307L
1. Delmon Young - OF - Age 19 - ETA: Aug. 2005
.320/.386/.536, 25 HR, 115 RBI, 120/53 K/BB, 21 SB in 513 AB
for low Single-A Charleston
.293/.376/.378, 1 HR, 13 RBI, 21/8 K/BB, 2 SB in 82 AB for Mesa (AFL)
That the Devil Rays chose not to be aggressive with Young last season was quite
a surprise. If the first overall pick in the 2003 draft had gotten off to a
better start, things might have changed. As is,he saved his best for the second
half of the year. Young probably will be pushed this season, skipping high A
ball to start out at Double-A Montgomery. There’s a real chance that he could
spend the final two months of the season as Tampa Bay’s right fielder. He’s a
future .300 hitter with 35-homer power.
2. Scott Kazmir - LHP - Age 21 - ETA: Now
1-2, 3.42 ERA, 49 H, 51/22 K/BB in 50 IP for Single-A St. Lucie
2-1, 1.73 ERA, 16 H, 29/9 K/BB in 26 IP for Double-A Binghamton
1-2, 1.44 ERA, 14 H, 24/11 K/BB in 25 IP for Double-A Montgomery
2-3, 5.67 ERA, 33 H, 41/21 K/BB in 33 1/3 IP for Tampa Bay
Sure, Carlos Beltran and Pedro Martinez are nice. But we have a responsibility
to never let the Mets off the hook for the Kazmir-for-Victor Zambrano deal. On
a pure stupidity scale, it doesn’t quite match Denny Bautista for Jason-
Grimsley. However, it’s the more likely of the two deals to go down as
historically bad.
Kazmir, who slipped to the Mets at 15 in the 2002 draft because of his bonus
demands, throws in the mid-90s and has a top-notch slider. It’s a one-two
punch that only a few lefties can match. Health is a question mark, especially
because of his slight build. If his arm holds up, he’ll probably develop into
a true ace. If not, then maybe his future is as a closer.
3. Jeff Niemann - RHP - Age 22 - ETA: June 2006
Niemann, the fourth overall pick in the 2004 draft, has yet to sign, but he’s
expected to get a major league contract soon. The Rays think the Rice product
will move quickly, probably reaching the majors during 2006. Niemann throws in
the mid-90s and has a terrific slider. If his velocity hadn’t been down last
season -- the result of a groin injury -- it’s unlikely he would have remained
on the board for Tampa Bay. He has as much upside as any pitcher taken in the
draft.
4. Jonny Gomes - OF - Age 24 - ETA: July 2005
.256/.368/.531, 26 HR, 78 RBI, 136/51 K/BB, 8 SB in 390 AB for Triple-A Durham
.071/.133/.071, 0 HR, 1 RBI, 6/1 K/BB, 0 SB in 14 AB for Tampa Bay
Gomes should be starting in left field for Tampa Bay while Rocco Baldelli works
his way back from a torn ACL. Instead, it looks like he’ll return to Triple-A
Durham. Another half season in the minors won’t hurt. The problem is that the
Rays probably aren’t ever going to give him a real opportunity. It’s because
of the strikeouts -- he’s fanned 535 times in 3 1/2 seasons in the minors. Of
course, he’s also worked 230 walks in 1,503 at-bats and displayed very good
power. Furthermore, he was a successful basestealer until last season. Gomes
projects as a quality everyday left fielder. He’ll get his chance someday.
5. Wes Bankston - 1B - Age 21 - ETA: 2007
.289/.390/.513, 23 HR, 101 RBI, 104/73 K/BB, 9 SB in 470 AB
for Single-A Bakersfield
Bankston struggled in 2003, his first full pro season, but last year he resumed
hitting like he did when he led the Appalachian League in home runs after being
drafted in 2002. Bankston possesses plenty of power and patience, and because
he hits a few more singles and strikes out less than Jonny Gomes, he’s less
likely to get buried by the Devil Rays. Shifted to the infield because of the
Rays’ plethora of outfield prospects, he’s now the team’s first baseman of
the future.He’s still athletic enough to play right field if he’s ever traded.
6. Chad Orvella - RHP - Age 24 - ETA: July 2005
1-0, 1.33 ERA, 28 H, 76/5 K/BB in 47 1/3 IP for low Single-A Charleston
0-1, 3.06 ERA, 13 H, 24/4 K/BB in 17 2/3 IP for Single-A Bakersfield
0-0, 0.00 ERA, 0 H, 14/0 K/BB in 7 IP for Double-A Montgomery
0-0, 5.40 ERA, 1 H, 2/1 K/BB in 1 2/3 IP for Triple-A Durham
Orvella was primarily a shortstop in college, but one would never know that
from looking at his numbers. The 2003 13th-round pick limited hitters to a .156
average and had a 116/10 K/BB ratio in 73 2/3 IP between four levels last
season. Orvella throws 93-96 mph and has a very good slider. He’s probably a
future closer for the Devil Rays. Expect him to make his debut sometime around
the All-Star break.
7. Joey Gathright - OF - Age 23 - ETA: Aug. 2005
.341/.399/.397, 0 HR, 8 RBI, 30/11 K/BB,10 SB in 126 AB for Double-A Montgomery
.326/.384/.373, 0 HR, 8 RBI, 46/19 K/BB,33 SB in 236 AB for Triple-A Durham
.250/.316/.250, 0 HR, 1 RBI, 14/2 K/BB, 6 SB in 52 AB for Tampa Bay
.365/.400/.423, 0 HR, 1 RBI, 7/3 K/BB,15 SB in 52 AB for Mesa (AFL)
Fantasy owners may not be happy with his treatment, but Gathright still belongs
in Triple-A. While the Rays shouldn’t have jerked him around like they did
last year, they have the right idea now. I’m not confident that Gathright will
ever be a quality leadoff hitter, but he should be a strong enough defensive
center fielder to be worthy of regular playing time. Starting in 2006, he could
be a 50-steal guy in the majors.
8. Reid Brignac - SS - Age 19 - ETA: 2009
.361/.413/.474,1 HR,25 RBI,10/9 K/BB,2 SB in 97 AB for Rookie Princeton
.500/.533/.571,0 HR, 5 RBI, 2/1 K/BB,0 SB in 14 AB for low Single-A Charleston
Brignac, the 45th pick in the 2004 draft, had a terrific pro debut, though he
did commit 11 errors in 27 games at shortstop. He has limited experience at the
position, having also played center field in high school. The thinking is that
he’ll eventually end up at third base -- even without B.J. Upton’s influence
-- but the Devil Rays aren’t planning on making the switch anytime soon.
Brignac should develop 20-homer power and the Rays think he’ll keep hitting
for average. He has a chance to become a solid regular.
9. Elijah Dukes - OF - Age 20 - ETA: 2008
.288/.368/.423, 2 HR, 15 RBI, 47/18 K/BB, 14 SB in 163 AB
for low Single-A Charleston
.332/.416/.540, 8 HR, 34 RBI, 50/26 K/BB, 16 SB in 211 AB
for Single-A Bakersfield
Dukes, a 2002 third-round pick out, blossomed earlier than expected. He hit
just .245/.338/.366 for Charleston in 2003 and he didn’t get off to a great
start last season, but after sitting out a month in order to attend anger-
management classes, he went on an outstanding run in July and kept hitting
after a promotion to the California League. If he can overcome his attitude and
anger problems, his natural talent figures to carry him a long way. He has
power potential, outstanding speed and a fair approach at the plate. Still, it
might not happen for him. This week’s arrest -- his third in 12 months --
dropped him a couple of spots on the list.
10. Jason Hammel - RHP - Age 22 - ETA: July 2006
4-7, 3.23 ERA, 94 H, 88/27 K/BB in 94 2/3 IP for low Single-A Charleston
6-2, 1.89 ERA, 52 H, 65/20 K/BB in 71 1/3 IP for Single-A Bakersfield
Seth McClung doesn’t qualify, so Hammel gets this spot over James Houser and
Chris Seddon. A 2002 10th-round pick, the 6-foot-6 Hammel throws in the low-90s
and the Rays believe he could continue to add velocity. He also uses a
curveball and a change, both of which need some work. If things break right,
he’ll turn into a No. 3 starter. He’ll probably open this year at Double-A
Montgomery.
2004 top 10: B.J. Upton, Delmon Young, Jonny Gomes, Josh Hamilton,
Joey Gathright, Jon Switzer, Chad Gaudin, Doug Waechter,
James Houser, Pete LaForest
2003 top 10: Rocco Baldelli, Josh Hamilton, Dewon Brazelton, B.J. Upton,
Jonny Gomes, Seth McClung, Antonio Perez, Jason Pridie,
Jon Switzer, Wes Bankston
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