Deep Sixer blog: "Analytics" and the 76ers
數據與七六人：有關建立一個進階數據評估體系
John Mitchell / Philly.com
Posted: Thursday, September 27, 2012, 11:23 AM
http://tinyurl.com/9osdb3d
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Even though we’ve heard a lot of talk coming from the 76ers
these days about their plans to infuse more analytic analysis
into evaluating all things, you don’t get the feeling that
they are by any means going to go off the deep end with it.
即便最近你已經聽到很多關於七六人打算建構一個專業且全方位的數據
分析團隊之相關消息，但是你可能還沒辦法瞭解他們是多認真在看待有
關數字分析的這個領域，並且希望在此投入很多能量。
During the team’s search for a new general manager, there was
much talk of adding a guy experienced steeped in applying
analytics (think baseball’s Billy Beane and “Moneyball”) to
the front office. However, we now know, with the hiring of
Tony DiLeo the Sixers still value the tried-and-true talent
evaluator to handle the day-to-day operations of their front
office.
在球隊尋找新GM的過程當中，我們一直聽到很多關於他們想簽下一個對
於數字較為敏感，對分析富有經驗的經理人作為GM來協助七六人（有點
像是Billy Beane的故事，就是俗稱的Moneyball）。但是無論如何，我
們知道他們最後還是找了一個傳統的籃球經理人，也就是在七六人團隊
當中服務22年的Tony DiLeo；不過即便如此，他們還是在尋找有關於能
夠加強七六人制服組數字分析能力的優秀人才，來進行日常的分析與顧
問工作，協助行政團隊更有效的進行他們的鴻圖大業。
This is not to sell the analytic’s role short, not at all.
When DiLeo had the second of two interviews for the position
with team owner Josh Harris, Harris made it abundantly clear
that the front office would incorporate and place significant
emphasis on hiring someone to ascribe value to draft picks,
free agents and anything else player related that goes beyond
pure talent evaluation.
基本上不代表他們不認為數字沒有這麼重要了。DiLeo在接受大老闆第
二次面試的過程中，大老闆很清楚的表明了希望讓現在的籃球事務運營
部門能夠吸收有關數字分析的養分，尤其重視有關選秀球員、自由球員
以及其他在雷達上的球員們的價值分析，協助制服組作決定；而非僅單
獨憑靠有關於天份與傳統技能的評估。
“I have a formula that I have been using,” DiLeo said, “
but what we are planning will take it to a whole different
level of advanced analytics. That’s the approach the
ownership group has. They want to make sure that our front
office has every advantage. It’s important to them to make
sure that nobody is better prepared to make decisions.”
Tony DiLeo:
過去我在也在分析的過程當中使用過一些公式，但是我們希望將這個領
域的處理能力提昇到一個完全不一樣的層次，並且得到更為進階的分析
結果。這也是大老闆們希望七六人能夠提昇的，他們希望能夠確保七六
人的制服組在短期可預見的未來當中，在每一個領域都能有保持一定的
優勢。換言之，大老闆們不希望有人在做決定之前，有其他球隊的制服
組在事前準備與評估的質量上勝過七六人。
Analytics will play a large role in making the more nuanced
decisions. For instance, making the trade for Bynum, a giant
24-year-old, two-time all star capable of 20 points, 10
rebounds, two blocks and multiple changed shots per night (and
the fact that he’ll require nightly double teams in the
center-poor Eastern Conference), probably didn’t require a
whole lot of deep thinking and numbers crunching by the Sixers
to determine the benefits of adding him.
這些分析的結果將會在未來扮演更重要的角色，不過通常是面對分析的
標的有著細微且需精密分析才能得到結論時，才顯得這些演算法非常重
要。舉個例子，就如同Drew的交易案好了，他是個二十四歲的巨人，兩
度全明星獲選，並且在可預期的未來能夠成為一個平均20-10-2b的戰力
中堅，並且大幅改善七六人的進攻模式（在此我們還沒有列入他在缺乏
優秀中鋒的東區能夠有效吸引包夾並找到更多空檔隊友的好處），第一
印象是這似乎不需要很精密的計算，就能夠得到一個清楚的結論：七六
人引進他雖然有風險，但是一言一敝之就是百利無一害的買賣，而不需
要用到各種複雜的公式才能得到一樣有效的結果。
“You can’t let it dominate your decisions; there has to be a
happy marriage,” is how DiLeo described it.
Tony DiLeo:
你不能讓這些數字去主宰你的思考過程與邏輯，就如同一段幸福的婚姻
一般，沒有哪一方特別壓過另一方的問題。
DiLeo says that throughout the league there are teams who use
analytics to a very high degree (he pointed to Houston and
Oklahoma City as the top proponents) and some who use it to a
much lesser degree.
Tony還表示，在整個聯盟當中，有些球隊對於使用演算法工具已經到了
高度依賴的程度，休士頓以及奧克拉荷馬市尤甚；但是反過來說，也有
很多球隊對於分析數字帶來的結果並不是這麼感到興趣。
While DiLeo did not give a time frame for bringing in this
person, it is clear that the team is focused on making this
happen much sooner rather than later.
到目前為止，Tony DiLeo還沒有提出延攬這樣的優秀人才的明確時間表，
但是毫無疑問的是，七六人目前對於數字分析這個領域確實是求才若渴，
他們希望越快開始組織他們新型態的數字分析部門越好，而非落人之後。
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嗯，頭腦很清楚XD
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Definitely one of the all-time under-rated sixers. Glad to see
him finally getting some league wide recognition the last few
years (All-star, All-NBA defense, Team USA). As much as he's
been bashed on these boards over the years I'm sure he'll be
missed. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wV0ubjT6eDk
76ers' ACE of Spades in the past Decade, Andre Iguodala #9 forever.
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◆ From: 111.243.223.231
※ 編輯: willyt 來自: 111.243.223.231 (09/28 02:19)