精華區beta TY_Research 關於我們 聯絡資訊
國外也注意到聖帕持續很長一段的雙眼牆觀測 以下是NRL(Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, USA) 的一些看法,其中聖帕內眼牆是否完全崩潰,在強度上可能也些 有不同的變化.其中Katrina就是很好的例子 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Sepat provides another stunning example of the quandary facing the TC warning community. 1. Double eyewalls create a secondary wind max, potentially at a much larger radius than the original single eyewall. 2. If the inner eye collapses, the radius of max winds makes a step jump to a much larger radius. 3. Even if the inner eye does not collapse, it typically becomes much weaker. In both scenarios, the secondary eyewall and its associated high winds present a radically expanded wind field for those in its path during landfall. Coastal warnings, preparations and the expectations of all folks in the landfall region must realize that max winds will NOT be contained within the "typical" small inner core that encompasses 10s of km, but now can be multiple times larger in size. Hurricane Katrina is the classic case, since it was in double eyewall mode at landfall and did NOT collapse the inner eye AND shrink the 2nd eyewall back to replace the inner eye prior to landfall. Thus, not only are we faced with the usual landfall timing and max intensity dilemmas, our need has now advanced to "what eyewall cycle stage will the storm be in at landfall"? This presents fascinating opportunities for research efforts on multiple fronts. Best wishes to our friends in Taiwan. -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.112.25.154
chian1983:有高速翻譯嗎XD 08/18 00:34
littlecut:看不懂= = 08/18 00:34
packie:樓上那篇是6666篇耶~QQ 08/18 00:35
iamsjkla:要博士演的翻譯嗎XD 08/18 00:38
chian1983:四樓那又是另外一篇需要翻譯的文章 08/18 00:39
panghu:看不懂 +1 08/18 00:39
lboevceky:看到最後一句...(抖) 08/18 00:41
ps050097589:譯官 @@/ 08/18 00:41
packie:我可以幫忙翻譯最後一句......XD 08/18 00:42
ryanlin311:內外眼牆共存強度是減弱中,若外眼牆收縮取代內眼牆 08/18 00:40
iamsjkla:Best wishes to our friends in Taiwan..... 08/18 00:43
ps050097589:願祝我們在台灣的朋友.....(抖) 08/18 00:43
lboevceky:它好像還用卡翠娜當作例子? 08/18 00:44
beliled:oh http://babelfish.altavista.com/ 用複製貼上就好了 08/18 00:42
ryanlin311:如Kartrina登錄前有類似情形 08/18 00:43
markbex:最後一句最簡翻譯:............. 天佑台灣人民 08/18 00:44
goldmark:雙眼牆創造了第二強風圈 半徑可能比原本單眼牆的還要大 08/18 00:47
goldmark:第一點應該是指颱風眼半徑吧 08/18 00:48
goldmark:2.如果內眼牆崩潰,則颱風眼半徑則會加大很多 08/18 00:50
goldmark:颱風眼半徑加大應該是指第二點才對 囧 08/18 00:50
rivali:反正就是說跟K一樣都是內眼未完全崩潰就登陸的情形 08/18 00:50
goldmark:3.即使內眼牆沒有崩潰,眼牆的強度也會減弱。 08/18 00:52
rivali:至於內外眼牆 (外眼牆變廣之事) 我覺得是米國少見多怪 08/18 00:51
skn60694:大概就是說如果雙眼登陸強風區很大喔 要注意 08/18 00:56
goldmark:整篇應該是說不管是單一或雙重眼牆 都要做好防颱準備 08/18 00:58
goldmark:因為卡崔那登陸(landfall)前也是雙眼牆並存的狀態 08/18 00:59
chemevil:請教這個例子形成雙眼牆的原因呢? 08/18 01:00
Bioee:至少台灣不會把城市蓋在海平面下...... 08/18 01:14
cuteman0725:現在好像也還在雙眼牆中... 08/18 01:18
> -------------------------------------------------------------------------- < 作者: dix (無情男) 看板: TY_Research 標題: Re: [討論] 對Sepat雙眼牆的見解(From國外學者) 時間: Sat Aug 18 01:08:29 2007 大概翻一下,有錯請指正,括弧就是不確定 : ---------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sepat provides another stunning example of the quandary facing the TC : warning community. : 1. Double eyewalls create a secondary wind max, potentially at a much : larger radius than the original single eyewall. 雙眼牆颱風有第二個最大風速(wind max),其半徑範圍可能比原本單眼牆時大 : 2. If the inner eye collapses, the radius of max winds makes a step jump : to a much larger radius. 內眼牆若崩潰,最大風速(max winds)半徑範圍會跳躍式上升 : 3. Even if the inner eye does not collapse, it typically becomes much : weaker. 即使內眼牆沒崩潰,也會變弱 : In both scenarios, the secondary eyewall and its associated high winds : present a radically expanded wind field for those in its path during : landfall. Coastal warnings, preparations and the expectations of all : folks in the landfall region must realize that max winds will NOT be : contained within the "typical" small inner core that encompasses 10s of : km, but now can be multiple times larger in size. 不管內眼牆崩不崩潰,外眼牆在登陸時會有強風及大範圍(跟單眼牆比),而且要小心, 跟一般颱風的十幾公里眼牆比幾來,大了好幾倍 : Hurricane Katrina is the classic case, since it was in double eyewall : mode at landfall and did NOT collapse the inner eye AND shrink the 2nd : eyewall back to replace the inner eye prior to landfall. 卡催那就是典型例子,她在登陸時仍是雙眼牆,內眼牆並沒有崩潰被置換至第二眼牆 : Thus, not only are we faced with the usual landfall timing and max : intensity dilemmas, our need has now advanced to "what eyewall cycle : stage will the storm be in at landfall"? This presents fascinating : opportunities for research efforts on multiple fronts. 因此,現在不是只有看登陸時間和最大強度了,現在還要進步到看『颱風登陸時眼牆狀態 』:這是個值得研究的迷人課題之一 : Best wishes to our friends in Taiwan. 祝福在台灣的朋友 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 59.117.217.226
chian1983:肛溫 08/18 01:09
※ 編輯: dix 來自: 59.117.217.226 (08/18 01:09)
rivali:你不確定那句番挫 08/18 01:11
KiYu:應該是指外眼牆縮回去形成單眼 所以內牆消失了?? 08/18 01:12
demitri:卡崔納那段 應該是說 [登陸前第二眼牆"沒有"取代內眼牆。] 08/18 01:11
rivali:樓上對 08/18 01:13
rivali:http://tinyurl.com/2nm4gj FYR 08/18 01:14
dix:那句感覺前後矛盾,我也不了,請高手解釋囉 08/18 01:14
demitri:not修飾後面整段-->NOT[collapse the inner...AND shrink] 08/18 01:17
demitri:所以是內眼牆既沒崩潰, 第二眼牆也沒取代內眼牆 08/18 01:18
KiYu:哈 謝謝r兄和d兄賜教<(_ _)> 08/18 01:18
※ 編輯: dix 來自: 59.117.217.226 (08/18 01:21)
dix:感謝d兄,果然通順多了 08/18 01:22
rivali:我亂玩ㄉ:P 在登陸時仍擁有雙眼牆的卡翠那就是個經典例子, 08/18 01:24
rivali:她的內眼牆沒有崩潰且外眼牆沒有收縮內眼牆就登陸了. 08/18 01:25
> -------------------------------------------------------------------------- < 作者: IanLi (IanLi) 看板: TY_Research 標題: Re: [討論] 對Sepat雙眼牆的見解(From國外學者) 時間: Sat Aug 18 01:30:28 2007 ※ 引述《ryanlin311 (ryan)》之銘言: : 國外也注意到聖帕持續很長一段的雙眼牆觀測 : 以下是NRL(Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, USA) : 的一些看法,其中聖帕內眼牆是否完全崩潰,在強度上可能也些 : 有不同的變化.其中Katrina就是很好的例子 : ---------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sepat provides another stunning example of the quandary facing the TC : warning community. 面對熱帶氣旋警報上,有關令人困惑的現象,Sepat提供了另一個漂亮的例子 : 1. Double eyewalls create a secondary wind max, potentially at a much : larger radius than the original single eyewall. 在雙眼牆結構上,在風力分布上有另一個強風區,可能在原來的眼牆外 有另一個半徑更大眼牆 : 2. If the inner eye collapses, the radius of max winds makes a step jump : to a much larger radius. 若內眼牆崩潰,強風區的分布半徑會跳躍到外眼牆上 : 3. Even if the inner eye does not collapse, it typically becomes much : weaker. 即使內眼牆沒崩潰,也會趨於減弱 : In both scenarios, the secondary eyewall and its associated high winds : present a radically expanded wind field for those in its path during : landfall. Coastal warnings, preparations and the expectations of all : folks in the landfall region must realize that max winds will NOT be : contained within the "typical" small inner core that encompasses 10s of : km, but now can be multiple times larger in size. 在這兩個案例中,外眼牆和伴隨的環狀風場在登錄過程中,會讓警報和登陸地區的 民眾會發現到,最強的風力並不是環繞在數十公里大的內眼牆上,而是原先預期數 倍大 : Hurricane Katrina is the classic case, since it was in double eyewall : mode at landfall and did NOT collapse the inner eye AND shrink the 2nd : eyewall back to replace the inner eye prior to landfall. 颶風Katrina是一精典例子,在登陸時,內眼牆並沒崩潰且外眼牆也沒收縮而取代原 先的眼牆 : Thus, not only are we faced with the usual landfall timing and max : intensity dilemmas, our need has now advanced to "what eyewall cycle : stage will the storm be in at landfall"? This presents fascinating : opportunities for research efforts on multiple fronts. 因此,不只我們要面對登陸的時機和強度的難題,並要思考在登陸時眼牆的結構 是哪樣?這議題是個迷人的機會去研究相關效應 : Best wishes to our friends in Taiwan. -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.115.205.209
Zeel:IanLi翻得比我好多了(汗顏) 08/18 01:31
Jerrynet:"責任聲明:本內容僅供參考" 08/18 01:32
Jerrynet:"精"典例子 08/18 01:32
ipspro:氣象局圖很像在畫太極 雙P眼可怕 08/18 01:34
logdog:大概是股票版的常客 08/18 01:38
XD手滑了 按錯了
rivali:ㄏㄏ 內眼掰ㄌ 白翻了XD 08/18 01:39
seeback:接觸陸地造成眼牆崩潰? 08/18 01:58
※ 編輯: IanLi 來自: 140.115.205.209 (08/18 02:36)