作者logdog (風暴之軌跡)
看板TY_Research
標題[情報] 四級颶風JIMENA 衝擊北半球風王?
時間Tue Sep 1 02:00:32 2009
000
WTPZ23 KNHC 311434
TCMEP3
HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132009
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2009
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE
HURRICANE WATCH TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE
WEST COAST...AND FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...
INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF BAHIA
MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST TO PUNTA ABREOJOS AND NORTH OF SAN
EVARISTO TO MULEGE ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND IN
WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JIMENA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 108.3W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 180SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
目前強度估125KTS
東太平洋2009又一個代表作
目前已和FELICIA (也是東太的)
並列2009北半球熱帶氣旋之王
已經進行過眼牆置換
不過前方SST逐漸轉差
環境條件開始轉差
增強的機會有限
可能已經封頂並逐步轉弱
不過在登錄下加利福尼亞前的威力減弱也有限
目前看來可能以MAJOR HURRICANE(>100KT)之姿登陸下加利福尼亞
那邊要挫咧等囉...
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◆ From: 123.192.171.148
→ killseven :今年目前為止 東太平洋颶風似乎質量優於西太平洋 09/01 02:06
推 killseven :Jimena已經是135kts... 強度直逼五級颶風了... 09/01 08:13
→ ICEFTP :這跟El Nino現像不無關係 09/01 08:50
→ logdog :已是受爭議的五級 今年第一個真命天子誕生了... 09/01 08:50
→ logdog :天啊 LINDA...160KTS 這不是我所認知的東太... 09/01 09:00
→ logdog :那是東太史上最強的嗎? 09/01 09:01
→ killseven :應該差不多是喔 記得1997~1998東太出產質量狠優 09/01 09:03
→ killseven :你可以參考一下聖嬰年東太的狀況 都很優2002也是很 09/01 09:04
推 ICEFTP :Linda當年非常有名，還有上雜誌封面 09/01 09:10
推 brabra :網路新聞講五級颶風了 09/01 10:19
推 bismarck3025:怎麼有這麼筆直的路徑?? 09/01 20:32
推 tytony :數據有錯誤值 09/01 20:39